Archive for the ‘Elections’ Category

CBS’ Will Rahn on The Unbearable Smugness of the Press

Thursday, November 10th, 2016

This piece by Will Rahn of CBS News on the unbearable smugness of the press is so good it needs a post of its own:

The mood in the Washington press corps is bleak, and deservedly so.

It shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone that, with a few exceptions, we were all tacitly or explicitly #WithHer, which has led to a certain anguish in the face of Donald Trump’s victory. More than that and more importantly, we also missed the story, after having spent months mocking the people who had a better sense of what was going on.

This is all symptomatic of modern journalism’s great moral and intellectual failing: its unbearable smugness. Had Hillary Clinton won, there’s be a winking “we did it” feeling in the press, a sense that we were brave and called Trump a liar and saved the republic.

So much for that. The audience for our glib analysis and contempt for much of the electorate, it turned out, was rather limited. This was particularly true when it came to voters, the ones who turned out by the millions to deliver not only a rebuke to the political system but also the people who cover it. Trump knew what he was doing when he invited his crowds to jeer and hiss the reporters covering him. They hate us, and have for some time.

And can you blame them? Journalists love mocking Trump supporters. We insult their appearances. We dismiss them as racists and sexists. We emote on Twitter about how this or that comment or policy makes us feel one way or the other, and yet we reject their feelings as invalid.

It’s a profound failure of empathy in the service of endless posturing. There’s been some sympathy from the press, sure: the dispatches from “heroin country” that read like reports from colonial administrators checking in on the natives. But much of that starts from the assumption that Trump voters are backward, and that it’s our duty to catalogue and ultimately reverse that backwardness. What can we do to get these people to stop worshiping their false god and accept our gospel?

We diagnose them as racists in the way Dark Age clerics confused medical problems with demonic possession. Journalists, at our worst, see ourselves as a priestly caste. We believe we not only have access to the indisputable facts, but also a greater truth, a system of beliefs divined from an advanced understanding of justice.

Snip.

That’s the fantasy, the idea that if we mock them enough, call them racist enough, they’ll eventually shut up and get in line. It’s similar to how media Twitter works, a system where people who dissent from the proper framing of a story are attacked by mobs of smugly incredulous pundits. Journalists exist primarily in a world where people can get shouted down and disappear, which informs our attitudes toward all disagreement.

Journalists increasingly don’t even believe in the possibility of reasoned disagreement, and as such ascribe cynical motives to those who think about things a different way. We see this in the ongoing veneration of “facts,” the ones peddled by explainer websites and data journalists who believe themselves to be curiously post-ideological.

That the explainers and data journalists so frequently get things hilariously wrong never invites the soul-searching you’d think it would. Instead, it all just somehow leads us to more smugness, more meanness, more certainty from the reporters and pundits. Faced with defeat, we retreat further into our bubble, assumptions left unchecked. No, it’s the voters who are wrong.

Read the whole thing, then check out the comments, which are running 99% in support of Rahn

Trump Victory Reaction: SJW Literal Shaking Meltdown

Wednesday, November 9th, 2016

Still haven’t had a chance to do a coherent election roundup, but in the meantime, this video (no idea who ShoeOnHead is, but she seems to be a moderate lefty channeling Boxxy) tells it like it is about the corrupt DNC and the ridiculous SJW meltdown:

“Hillary was fucking nothing.”

Insert Insightful Analysis of Trump’s Victory Here

Wednesday, November 9th, 2016

Look, I was up past 3 AM watching election results come in. Things are going to be slow and out-of-step today.

Maybe I’ll have some links and insightful commentary later today and tomorrow.

Watch this space.

Sorta Liveblogging the 2016 Election

Tuesday, November 8th, 2016

First results: Trump takes Indiana and Kentucky, Clinton takes Vermont.

Trump leading the national vote.


Trump wins West Virginia.


Trump leads in Virginia.


Fox calls Portman for Ohio Senate.


Trump running ahead of Romney’s totals in KY, IN.


Trump ahead by 10+ points in Virginia. 11% in.


Trump ahead in Florida.


Tim Scott wins SC senate.


Trump up 10 points in NC.


Fox calls SC for Trump, even though actual totals have Clinton slightly ahead. (Insert shrug emoji.)


Kentucky Dem Speaker Stumbo going down. Last Dem Speaker in South (if you don’t count Straus).


Trump now up by 11 in VA.


Trump still leading national vote total.


Oklahoma called for Jill Stein.

Ha, just kidding. Trump.


Clinton takes lead in FL. Still too close to call. Clinton also now ahead in NH. Not good.


Trump still up in VA.


Mississippi called for Trump.

Missouri called for Trump

Tennessee called for Trump.


Pizza break.


HOLY FUCK! 28 votes separate Trump and Clinton in Florida.


Trump edges ahead in FL. Now up 8,000 votes.


GOP takes KY house.


Fox callas Alabama for Trump. Try to contain your shock.


Todd Young kicks Evan Bayh’s ass in IN Sen.


Rand Paul and Marco Rubio win their Sen races.


NBC calls Republican maintaining control of House.


Trump lead in Florida keeps widening. 91% of votes in.


Trump up a full point in Florida.


Hurd winning in TX CD23.


Nate Silver says Senate shifts right. Interesting.


Trump winning Texas by less than I expected.


Trump behind in Ohio. 1/3rd of votes in.


Could never imagine Trump winning Florida but losing Ohio, but that’s how it’s trending right now.


Crist picks up FL House seat, alas.


Trump still winning Florida and the popular vote.


Fox: “Ohio. A difference of do the math.”


Trump still leading Virginia.


Blake Farenthold (R) crushes it.


Trump takes lead in Ohio,


Texas called for Trump. Much narrower than I expected.


Trump still up in Florida.


Trump widens lead in Ohio, takes lead in NC.


McCain wins in AZ Sen, promises more pancakes, Matlock.


FL: 93% in, trump lead widens.


Debbie Whatshername Schultz on Fox now. Mute. God it was good for the GOP to have her running the DNC.


Trump still up in Virginia with 72% of the vote in. Maybe all the felons voted for Trump!


Trump still leads VA.


Trump WAY up over Clinton in WI, but only 3% of the vote in.


GOP guy on Fox: “Trump will win Ohio.”


Local returns. Restroom break.


Zimmerman losing ATCC? A Hillary vote surge causality?


Trump still up in FL with 94% in.


Trump up in VA and NC.


Trump winning MN, but only 2% in.


Hillary under 80% in Philadelphia?


Trump way up in Ohio.


NM called for Clinton.


Tappert: “This may put the polling industry out of business.”


NYT’s COHN: “Trump favored to win for first time.”


Trump super narrow lead in VA.


Slight Clinton lead in VA.


Stupid Austin passes stupid transportation bond.


Foxes projects Clinton to win VA.


Women on PBS definitely gazing into an abyss.


PBS sounds like a wake. “No one from the Clinton campaign wants to talk to us.”


Trump up BIG in Michigan. Michael Moore may turn out to be a prophet.


Trump still up in NH.


RCP says Trump won Ohio.


Seeing projections Clinton wins VA.


Hearing Manchin (D-WV) may flip to Republican next year. His state already has.


If Trump wins electoral vote and Clinton wins popular vote, liberal heads will never stop exploding.


Trump up in both MI and WI.


NYT chances of Trump winning up to 91%.


Fox: Trump doubles Romney’s black vote total. Me: Not hard.


Sadly, Daryl Glenn loses in Colorado.


Fox calls NC for Trump.


PBS calls FL for Trump.


“Clinton staffers leaving her victory party.” Well, there’s all that shredding to do…


NYT’s: Trump’s chances of winning < 95%
Utah called for Trump. take that, Egg McMuffin!


Clinton’s campaign has gone dark. There are all those servers to destroy.


TRUMP WINS WISCONSIN! The fat lady has started warming up…


TRUMP WINS IOWA.

Trump has won the Presidency.


Trump on verge of winning NH. That’s the last nail in the coffin.


Trump only 7,000 votes behind in Penn.


Too busy jaw-dropping and celebrating to blog.


“Clinton campaign staff in tears.”


“It’s time to start talking about Trump Democrats.” After tonight, I don’t think they’re Democrats any more.


Now both hookers and weed are legal in NV.


Toomey pulls it out in PA Sen.


AP called PA for Trump. Still waiting for Fox.


NYT calls Pennsylvania for Trump. Finally, Brunhilda can give her aria.


AP calls race for Trump.

Shep Smith is trying to cast a sleep spell upon us.


FINALLY! Fox calls Pennsylvania (and the Presidency) for Trump.


Clinton called to concede the race.

Trump making a very gracious victory speech, calling for the country to come together.


Thanked Reince Prebius, as well he should. RNC did a fantastic job.

Congratulations to Donald Trump for being elected the 45th President of the United States of America.

Goodnight folks.

Vote Today!

Tuesday, November 8th, 2016

This is it! If you haven’t already early voted, get out there and do so!

Some quick and dirty voting day links:

  • All my Hillary Clinton corruption and scandal posts.
  • Williamson County polling locations.
  • Travis County polling locations.
  • Zero Hedge on what to look for in early voting patterns.
  • Clinton Corruption/Election Update for November 7, 2016

    Monday, November 7th, 2016

    The election is tomorrow, so let’s just combine the Clinton Corruption update with the election news update:

  • FBI punts again.
  • Qatar gave the Clinton Foundation $1 million for Bill Clinton’s birthday while Hillary was head of the State Department, in violation of Department policy and Clinton’s own “ethics agreement,” and without Hillary informing the State Department. “While Qatar was obvious engaged in pay to play, what makes this instance even worse, is that Hillary and Bill were confident enough they could simply get away with it by never telling the State Department of the new influence money.”
  • Impending calamity for the Clintons:

    When the Clintons left the White House in 2001, pilfering over $190,000 worth of china, flatware, rugs, and furniture as they cleared out, they claimed they were flat broke. Their net worth today is now in excess of $150 million, accumulated not by traditional means of work and investment, but rather by pay-for-play influence peddling through speeches and Clinton Foundation fundraising — with the tacit understanding that the Clintons would be in a position to return favors to donors after Hillary won the 2016 presidential election.

    The Clintons symbolize the institutionalization of corruption in Washington, which now permeates almost all the government agencies. Even the so-called independent Federal Reserve has been corrupted by politicians whose profligate deficit spending puts pressure on the Fed to maintain a zero-interest policy that artificially masks the real cost and risk of a growing unsustainable level of debt.

    For the better part of eight years of the Obama administration, polls have consistently shown that nearly 70% of Americans believe that the United States is headed in the wrong direction. Separately, a recent MSNBC poll shows “liar” is the most common word that comes to mind when voters think of Hillary Clinton. Another recent NBC poll shows that only 11% think of Hillary as honest and trustworthy. Even if one doubts the accuracy of these polls, how is it possible for a majority to think the country can get on a better track by electing as the next U.S. President a liar who embodies the corrupt status quo?

    (Hat tip: Director Blue.)

  • Normal people don’t see Islamic State military oilfield gains as an “opportunity”. But Clinton cronies aren’t normal people.
  • Chelsea Clinton used the Clinton Foundation as her own personal piggy bank to pay for her wedding. “If true people (then) worth well into 8 figures used 501c3 $ to pay for a wedding.”
  • The mystery of the Clinton Foundation’s missing $20 million in Haiti relief funds. Money that came from Frank Giustra and Carlos Slim. Also involved: Jean Marc Villain, who oversaw the fund while going through his own bankruptcy, and who “violated state laws in 2001 when he did not file donation reports for the Haitian-American Political Caucus.” (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • “Hey Hillary? Think you could stop mentioning classified war information in emails from your illegal private server? KThxBye – John Podesta”
  • Clinton News Network gonna Clinton News Network.
  • Scott Adams shows you how to unhypnotize a Clinton supporter.
  • “Market Indicator Gives Trump An 86% Chance Of Winning The Election.”
  • Chris Wallace: “I think the media could not do a worse job than this year….It’s like watching a badly refereed basketball game where we’re seeing make-up calls and we’re seeing particularly print going – and I’m not a Trump defender at all – but going after Trump in ways that I think violate every canon of ethics for news reporting.” (Hat tip: Instapundit.)
  • Bill Clinton tells donors borders are going to be porous “for a very long time.” (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • Clinton advisor Jennifer Palmieri admits that some Clinton Foundation donors wanted pro quo for their quid. (Hat tip: Stephen Green at Instapundit.)
  • Hillary’s coughing fit returns.
  • Sunday Trump held rallies in Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Notice how neatly those stops align with Michael Moore’s contention that Trump will sweep the rust belt. (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • The fact that the Clinton campaign is panicing over Michigan, deploying both Bill Clinton and Obama there, also lend credence to the theory. (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • False story alert: That story about a “murder suicide” of an FBI agent who leaked Clinton scandal info from the non-existent “Denver Guardian” is a hoax.
  • Noted without comment: “Farrakhan compares Hillary Clinton to Hitler.”
  • Donald Trump’s Closing Message

    Saturday, November 5th, 2016

    Don’t agree with all of it, but I think it’s very effective at targeting potential Trump voters:

    Scott Adams calls it “a masterpiece. It’s a full-body experience. Best I’ve ever seen. Deeply persuasive. He made you wait. Magnificent bastard.”

    Thoughts?

    LA Times Poll Has Trump Up By 5.4 Points

    Saturday, November 5th, 2016

    The latest Los Angeles Times poll has Donald Trump up over Hillary Clinton by 5.4 points. That’s the largest lead Trump had since the “Clinton collapse” story broke.

    Polls are screwy this year, and Trump has a way of defying all conventional wisdom, but given the in-the-tank media loudly proclaiming “No, Hillary’s polls are just fine, I tell you! Just fine!” in the wake of the FBI and Wikileaks revelations, the LA Times poll seems significant.

    (Hat tip: Zero Hedge.)

    Clinton Corruption Update for November 4, 2016

    Friday, November 4th, 2016

    So the big Wikileak topic today, the Friday before the election, is a John Podesta email which mentions “spirit cooking,” which involves “blood, sperm and breastmilk.”

    (Blink. Blink.)

    Cue Scott Adams:

    Caveat: This is one of those stories where this tiny little email is being spun out into “sex cult” and “Satanist” headlines. I find it hard to believe that Clinton’s inner circle are dabbling in Neo-Satanism, because that would mean worshiping something other than money and power. But maybe Podesta might want to break his silence on this one email because what the hell, dude?

    Now for some slightly less icky Clinton Corruption news:

  • “The FBI has found emails related to Hillary Clinton’s tenure as secretary of state on the laptop belonging to the estranged husband of Huma Abedin, Anthony Weiner, according to a U.S. official. These emails, CBS News’ Andres Triay reports, are not duplicates of emails found on Secretary Clinton’s private server.” So CBS is stopping just short of saying “Clinton perjured herself.” (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • It’s not Hillary’s corruption, it’s her stupidity:

    There are a lot of angles to these Clinton scandals, but the thing that transcends all of it is the rank stupidity of the people involved. There were safer and more secure ways to establish clandestine communications. Even with their setup, a modest amount of discipline would have prevented most of this from happening. All they had to do was limit mail going out of the system. When the time came to burn it down, they only had to destroy the server entirely and no one would be able to prove anything.

    The argument from Team Trump in the closing days of the election is that Hillary Clinton is too corrupt to rule. He’s painting her as the face of the larger problem, which is the metastasizing corruption of the ruling class. It’s a good closing argument and it resonates, but the reason Hillary should not rule is she is dangerously incompetent and she surrounds herself with outlandishly stupid people. A society can survive crooked rulers, but it cannot survive stupid ones. Hillary Clinton is too stupid to rule.

    (Hat tip: Ace of Spades HQ.)

  • The IRS is examining the Clinton Foundation as well.
  • How to spot a paid Hillary troll. (Hat tip: Ace of Spades HQ.)
  • The Clinton Campaign did a poll of vulnerabilities for various Clinton scandals.
  • Missed this from early October, but does John Podesta still own 75,000 shares in a Putin-connected energy company?
  • Huma Abedin’s felony. (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • Vanity Fair writer: The Washington Post is every bit as fair and balanced as Breitbart. (Hat tip: Instapundit.) “For the first time in my memory, some of the major media organizations in this country have now abandoned all semblance of objectivity in furtherance of electing Hillary Clinton, or perhaps more accurately, in furtherance of the defeat of Donald Trump.” False. They’ve merely stopped pretending to that objectivity.
  • “But no one has ever been elected president who has been so hobbled by such festering wounds as Hillary Clinton would be if she is elected on Nov. 8.”
  • LA Times fires reporter who wanted Trump dead. (Hat tip: Ed Driscoll at Instapundit.)
  • Jill Stein: Hillary Clinton is the queen of corruption. (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • Chelsea Clinton shared her complaints about Doug Band with “a Bush-43 kid“? That’s like Fredo Corleone complaining to the FBI that Moe Green isn’t getting a big enough cut.
  • The Democrats are in bad shape even if Hillary wins. (Hat tip: Jonah Goldberg’s G-File email.)
  • LinkSwarm for November 4, 2016

    Friday, November 4th, 2016

    Believe it or not, there is some non-Presidential race news. But yeah, I’m starting with that:

  • Trump takes lead in Florida.
  • Tied in Colorado. (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • Another poll shows Trump leading in Virginia. Trump jumped 10 points from early October, and Hillary dropped 5 points.
  • Trump up 13 with independents in D+7 poll. That’s a Trump rise of 6 points and a Clinton fall of 7 points. (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • And he’s within the margin of error, down only one point in Michigan.
  • Michael Moore on why trump will win: “He is the human Molotov Cocktail that they’ve been waiting for; the human hand grande that they can legally throw into the system that stole their lives from them.”
  • “Former Democrat pollster Pat Caddell says this year’s election could be like 1980 – a 40 state Trump landslide.”
  • Early black voting is down this year. Bad sign for Hillary? Maybe.
  • Why Trump will win, and what comes after:

    Trump will win because:

    • The polls pervasively understate his support (the “shy Trump voter”).

    • Enthusiasm for Clinton is low, enthusiasm for Trump is high. Early voting is showing a pattern closer to 2008 than 2012 (high turnout). Given the enthusiasm gap, this is bad news for Clinton and supports the Shy Trump Voter hypothesis.
    • This (like 2008) is a “Change Election”. Three quarters or more of voters think that the country is on the wrong track. Clinton is the insider, Trump is the outsider. Advantage: Trump.
    • The Clinton camp is paralyzed by the emerging scandals. It’s been 5 days [post is from 11/2 – LP] and there’s no coherent reply to the FBI reopening the email investigation. The paralysis says that Clinton’s inner circle is divided on what to do, and she has poor leadership skills – and so the campaign twists in the wind. This is a very, very bad sign for her.
    • The Marc Rich announcement today is almost inexplicable. There’s no reason that a FOIA request announcement couldn’t wait until after the election. Instead, it came out 4 days after the previous FBI announcement. My take is that Obama has polling showing that she’s going to lose, and lose big. It’s no secret that the Obamas and the Clintons despise each other – this is his chance to dismantle the Clinton machine in the Democratic party (and hill the resulting power vacuum with his people).
    • The UK betting markets are showing the same pattern as before the Brexit vote – a few big money bets on Clinton (as with Remain), but a huge number of small bets on Trump (Leave).
    • Independents are leaving Gary Johnson and breaking hard for Trump. The latest poll from North Carolina has Johnson down 5 and Trump up 5. This feels like more confirmation of the Shy Trump Voter hypothesis.
    • There is very little or no equivalent data pointing to a strengthening by Clinton. If she were actually as far ahead as we’ve been told, there would be evidence dropping from the trees. There isn’t.
  • Florida paper apologizes to readers for such biased, anti-Trump coverage.
  • Things are getting really, really bad in Turkey. This is not a surprise, and the writing was on the wall when the “coup” failed and Erdogan’s crackdown began. But Erdogan’s purge is even more extensive than I anticipated.
  • And Iraq is threatening war with Turkey over Turkish troops in Iraq.
  • Speaking of Iraq, the good news is that Iraqi forces seem to slowly but surely be taking back Mosul from the Islamic State.
  • There’s already a no fly zone in Syria: Russia’s no fly zone.
  • But the press’ instance on focusing on trivia means that we’re not talking about the five wars America is currently involved in.
  • Indeed, the press prefers to talk about Trump’s sex life instead of Hillary’s corruption or the massive failure of ObamaCare.
  • Estonia prepares to defend itself from Russia.
  • “Sheriff Clarke: Gun Control Was Meant to Keep Arms Away from Black People.” (Hat tip: Ed Driscoll at Instapundit.)
  • Do most felons obtain their gun illegally? Yes. Says who? The felons themselves. (Hat tip: Hsoi.)
  • What China learned from the Gulf War. And what they then unlearned: “China did try adding more officers selected for skills rather than loyalty but since 2010 have shifted back to the “loyalty first” model. This was necessary because of problems eliminating the corruption in the military and the realization that the military would more likely be needed to deal with an internal threat rather than an external one.” (Hat tip: Austin Bay at Instapundit.)
  • ESPN lost 621,000 cable subscribers in October. “Of we’re very conservative and project that ESPN continues to lose 3 million subscribers a year…within five years ESPN will be bringing in less subscriber revenue than they’ve committed for sports rights.” (Hat tip: Dwight.)
  • “Science” has its own superstitions. (Hat tip: Ace of Spades HQ.)
  • America’s first airplane hijacking, from 1939. (Hat tip: Ace of Spades HQ.)
  • Topless, under-age drunk, taking a selfie and crashing into a cop car are no way to go through life, Aggie girl.