Tea Leaves Not Looking So Hot For Democrats in November

Republican David Jolly beat Democrat Alex Sink in a special election for Florida’s 13th congressional district. CD13 is a swing district that voted narrowly for Obama in the last two Presidential elections.

One district does not an election make, but a close look at the tea leaves suggests that the outlook for Democrats in 2014 is looking very dim, thanks to the albatross that is ObamaCare:

  • DNC was hoping Sink’s campaign would be “a blueprint to display public support for Obamacare”. Oh, I think it did a mighty fine job of showing how much the public supports ObamaCare…
  • The Tampa Tribune says that “David Jolly’s victory Tuesday in the U.S. House District 13 special election represents a clear repudiation of Obamacare.”
  • Even the Washington Post says Jolly’s win “illustrated the political toxicity of the law known as Obamacare.”
  • Well, guess what? seven competitive Senate seats are in states more heavily Republican than the district Jolly just won.

    you know what’s less Democrat-friendly territory than this R+1 swing district? The states of West Virginia (R+13), North Carolina (R+3), Louisiana (R+12), South Dakota (R+10), Alaska (R+12). Arkansas (R+14) and Montana (R+7). Those are all currently Democrat-held seats. And there are seven of them.

    If last night’s result means that a halfway decent Republican candidate can win on Republican-leaning territory by hammering away at Obamacare… then the odds of the GOP winning the Senate look very, very good.

  • The message of Sink’s defeat for Democrats? “‘Be afraid. Be very afraid.”
  • All this may be one reason Sean Trende now gives Republicans an 80% chance to win the Senate.
  • Of course, Trende also wrote not to read too much into the Florida CD13 special election. But he also thought Sink would probably win…
  • Meanwhile, a service workers union is talking about going on strike due to health care contract changes resulting from ObamaCare:

    Culinary members have long enjoyed health care that is fully funded by employers, but the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act has increased medical costs to the point that many companies can no longer afford to pay full freight. The hotels want workers to pick up some of Obamacare’s new costs, a demand the Culinary won’t agree to.

    Of course, Obamacare is the law because of the Culinary’s political activism. The Culinary and the rest of organized labor poured untold millions of dollars and thousands of volunteer hours into the election campaigns of President Barack Obama and the Democrats who wrote and passed Obamacare, and the unions championed the reboot of American health insurance.

    Then they realized Obamacare’s critics were right. The law is wrecking platinum-plated union health plans, not to mention health insurance for tens of millions of people.

    Unions opposing Obamacare, Hispanics opposing unlimited abortion; that Democrat coalition is started to look more than a little frayed…

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    This entry was posted on Wednesday, March 12th, 2014 at 12:45 PM and is filed under Democrats, Elections, ObamaCare, unions. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

    • One Response to “Tea Leaves Not Looking So Hot For Democrats in November”

    1. WarEagle82 says:
      March 13, 2014 at 3:23 PM

      I hope you are right about the prospects of defeating progressive Democrats in November. But, it is a long time to November and the Democrats will be looking for any number of dirty tricks to pull out of their hats to attack and destroy conservatives.

      And history shows us that a single, ill-considered remark by any actual conservative can be turned into a hammer to beat all conservatives.

      And if Democrats can’t find something, they and their MSM allies will simply resort to manufacturing lies.

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