Nevada: Bernie First, Biden Second

Three contests, three Bernie wins. Sanders wins Nevada with 46% of the convention delegates (and 39% of the popular vote), Biden comes in second (with 19.5% of delegates and 18.6% of popular votes), and Buttigieg third with 15.3% of delegates (and 18.4% of the popular vote).

The Biden showing is good enough that he has no reason to get out of the race, ditto for Buttigieg, and Super Tuesday is where Bloomberg has put all his money.

Whether Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar and Tom Steyer withdraw is an open question, but I suspect they’re all in through Super Tuesday, just in case. I suspect Tulsi Gabbard stays in through the convention, but she’s not even an afterthought now.

At this point there are only two likely outcomes: 1. An outright Bernie win, or 2. A brokered convention.

More in tomorrow’s Clown Car update (which may be super late).

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