Posts Tagged ‘Texas’

More on Perry’s Victory

Wednesday, March 3rd, 2010

This Michael Barone piece shows Perry beating Hutchison pretty much everywhere, but racking up a particularly large margin in metro-Houston, which would seem to bode well for defeating former Houston Mayor Bill White in November.

Updated: A piece from Kevin Williamson in NRO on Perry’s victory. I think he overstates the Ron Paul component of the Tea Party. (I also think most Paul supporters themselves were less wedded to his fringe isolationist and conspiracy theory views than they were with his populist anger at the GOP establishment that had abandoned conservative principles of fiscal discipline in favor of pork-fueled cronyism.)

Updated 2 From Danny Huddleston at American Thinker: “Note to all Republicans running for office anywhere in America, stick to Reagan conservatism and you will win. Contrary to popular belief independents don’t want moderate candidates, they want authentic candidates with core values.”

Instant Analysis: Why Perry Beat Hutchison Like A Rented Mule

Tuesday, March 2nd, 2010

As of now, just after 10 PM, Perry is winning big enough to avoid a run-off, and Hutchison conceded. That was the exact opposite of what most pundits predicted when Hutchison got into the race 18 months ago. After all, Perry was considered by many (including many conservatives) to be, not to put too fine a point on it, an asshole. He built up a reputation for cronyism with the attempted Trans-Texas Corridor land grab and the vaccine fiasco, both of which involved former aides. His love of toll roads (even converting existing, paid-for roads into toll roads) rubbed many Texans the wrong way. His veto of the post-Kelo eminent domain reform HB 2006 pissed off still more people, many of whom view the later 2009 Constitutional Amendments addressing the issue (Proposition 2, Proposition 3) as weak substitutes.

But in the end, none of that mattered. As many commentators noted, Hutchison’s best day was the day she announced, and it’s been downhill ever since. Why? Many reasons, but here are a few of the main ones:

  1. Perry ran a much better campaign, running hard and never letting up. Hutchison expected people to vote for her because she was popular (routinely racking up 65% of the vote in general elections) and wasn’t Rick Perry. Perry asked for people to vote for him because he was conservative.
  2. For all his numerous missteps, Perry has actually gotten the big picture right: keeping the budget balanced, refusing to even consider a state income tax, and generally not screwing up the Texas economy. Even in today’s serious recession, Texas running rings around high-tax states like California. Perry deserves real credit for that.
  3. In a year when outrage against big-spending in Washington is at a rolling boil, Perry was able to successfully paint Hutchison as a Washington insider, a task made easier by Hutchison’s unapologetic defense of earmarking. He was able to do this because, while Hutchison’s voting record is conservative by the standards of the U.S. Senate, it’s not particularly conservative by the standards of Texas. There’s always been a suspicion by many rank and file Texas Republicans that Hutchison is a little bit of a “squishy” conservative, much like George W. Bush, who was dinged by conservatives numerous times for his free-spending ways.
  4. Perry constantly courted Tea Party activists despite the presence of Tea Party favorite Debra Medina in the race. As an energetic and widespread movement, the Tea Party voters he was able to win away from Medina probably put him over the top.

There are many other reasons, but running the best campaign, and as more conservative than Hutchison in a very conservative year, was enough to clinch the deal for Perry.

Republican Primary on Tuesday, March 2: State Senate District 5, Ogden vs. Bius

Monday, March 1st, 2010

The State Senate District 5 race pits incumbent Steve Ogden vs. challenger Ben Bius.

Some news articles on the race:

  • A Statesmen article. Ogden’s semi-slam of the Tea Party movement doesn’t exactly endear himself to me. Yes, I’m sure you can find some Perot and Ron Paul supporters among it’s ranks, but to suggest it’s entirely made up of them is both unwise and politically tone-deaf.
  • The Bryan/College Station Eagle.
  • The Texas Tribune. It seems in the week between the Statesman article and this one, someone gave Odgen a clue-by-four, as he’s reined in his Tea Party criticisms.

I am irritated by the fact that Ogden’s campaign website features no obvious link for “issues” or “positions.” You would think that would be a pretty fundamental requirement when you’re running for office. Maybe Ogden thinks he’s above such things.

Ogden is no liberal; he’s been endorsed by the Young Conservative of Texas, among others. But he has been playing up the “old experienced hand” angle. (“Look at me! I’m an insider!”) He also voted against allowing concealed carry on college campuses, and initially supported Rick Perry’s Trans-Texas Corridor boondoggle.

Bius is generally good on the issues, but I don’t like the fact that he brags about his conservative, budget-cutting ways, then turns around and slags Ogden for derailing a retired teacher cost-of-living adjustment. “I’m for controlling spending, except when it costs me votes.” On the other hand, he gets points for making the ending of inter-generational welfare dependency a centerpiece of his campaign.

If the Statesman article is to be believed, Ogden has raised about 100x as much campaign money as Bius, which would suggest he’s a shoe-in. However, it’s a bad year for clueless Republican incumbents to dismiss Tea Party voters. Right now I’m leaning toward Bius as being the more conservative candidate.

Republican Primary on Tuesday, March 2nd: House District 52

Sunday, February 28th, 2010

Another election season is upon us. If you’re anything like me, down-ballot local races don’t get a lot of my attention until the election is nearly upon me. As partial recompense, I’ll try to through up a few links to southern Williamson County races, starting with Texas House District 52.

Here’s an overview of all Williamson County races from the people at Impact News (which provides a surprisingly good free monthly newspaper).

Here are links to the issue pages of the four candidates respective websites:

And here are some resource links on the race:

Quick and Dirty Analysis: Gonzales is probably the closest to an “insider” in the race, having garnered the most endorsements, and he and Gordon (running as the Christian/social conservative “values I learned from my father” candidate) have raised the most money. Alyssa Eacono and Stephen Casey are somewhat policy wonkish longshots. Right now I’m sort of leaning toward Casey, in the full expectation that he’ll get slaughtered in the primary. My guess would be Gonzales either wins outright or goes to a runoff with Gordon. All would be a vast improvement over Democratic incumbent Diana Maldonado.

Free Electricity, Courtesy of Farouk Shami!

Sunday, February 14th, 2010

If you live in Texas, there’s a good chance you’ve seen the Farouk signs festooning fences along major highways. They belong to one Farouk Shami, who is waging an underdog gubernatorial campaign against Houston Mayor Bill White for the Democratic nomination.

There’s much that’s commendable in Farouk Shami’s personal background. A Palestinian-American entrepreneur (that’s the Palestine that’s east of Jerusalem, not the one east of Mexia), he might bring much-needed private sector experience to a race dominated by political insiders.

Many of his positions are pretty standard liberal boilerplate (for a death penalty moratorium, against cracking down on illegal aliens, etc.). On the other hand, he favors limiting abortions to the first trimester, a moderately cultural conservative position that probably puts him to the right of most Democratic primary voters on this issue.

Oh, and did I mention that he also wants to provide everyone in the state free electricity? Yes, indeed. He said that goal could be achieved in ten years thanks to through “expansion of wind and solar energy use.”

Let’s do a little math, shall we?

In 2005 (the most recent period for which I was able to locate reliable data), Texas consumed 334,258 million kilowatt hours of electricity. Or, to put it Big Scary Number form, 334,258,000,000 kwh, or 334,258,000,000,000 watt hours.

Of that 334,258 million kilowatt hours of electricity, a grand total of 7 million kwh is currently supplied by wind power. There’s no separate figure I’ve been able to find for solar. My suspicion is that it is similarly a drop in the bucket.

Prices to generate solar power are all over the map, but most seem to agree that 10 cents a kilowatt hour is the “holy grail” of solar electricity consumption, the point at which it becomes marginally price competitive fossil fuel energy sources. (For comparison, the City of Austin currently charges 7.82¢ per kWh for residential customers who exceed 500 kWh during the summer.) That means Governor Farouk could provide power to all Texans for a mere $33.4 billion in taxpayer money. Every year.

The Texas State biennial budget for 2010-2011 is $182.2 billion, or $91.1 billion a year. So Farouk Shami is suggesting we spend well over 1/3rd of the state budget to supply energy to residents, money that would presumably have to come from either massive tax hikes or massive budget cuts. This is, to belabor the point, in no way, shape or form “free.”

Now these are quick and dirty, back-of-the-envelope calculations. If you have better numbers for any of the above, let me know. But I suspect the conclusions will remain the same.

I do not think that it is too much to ask that Texas gubernatorial candidates be capable of performing basic math. This, combined with his recent announcement that he’s invented a blow-dryer that grows hair makes me conclude that Farouk Shami is not, in fact, a serious candidate for Governor of Texas.

Debra Medina, Truther?

Thursday, February 11th, 2010

For those not following the Texas Gubernatorial Race, Medina is the Republican Party candidate who’s not Rick Perry or Kay Bailey Hutchison. From what little I’ve seen and read about here, she’s comes across as a somewhat clumsy debater (forgivable), pretty Libertarian (good), but in a distinctly fringe-y way (bad). The way she went on about “State Sovereignty” (responding to questions where it clearly wasn’t applicable) in the one debate I saw made me think she wasn’t ready for prime time.

But now that it turns out that, if she’s not actually a 9/11 “Truther,” she’s at least sympathetic to their theories. (Wow, way to make people think Libertarians aren’t nuts. While you’re at it, why don’t you start ranting about how the State of Texas should stop taking little pieces of green paper and insist on being paid in gold the way another loony Libertarian candidate did a few election cycles ago?)

This will not do.

In theory, Texas Republicans should be enjoying a race between three candidates who are, by national standards, genuinely conservative. In practice, all three have some serious baggage.

I hope to talk in more detail about some of Perry and Hutchison’s baggage in a future post…

Three Cheers for Aggieland

Thursday, November 5th, 2009

I’m a UT graduate, and I follow football. (I know, “rooting for laundry.”) Here in Texas, the UT Longhorns have a friendly rivalry with the Texas A&M Aggies (“friendly” in the sense of “no recent homicides on record” and “rivalry” in the sense that the Longhorns won a National Championship in 2006, while A&M’s biggest post-season accomplishment this decade was winning the last GallereyFurniture.com Bowl in 2001).

However, today this Longhorn fan would like to offer up three cheers to the stalwart denizens of Aggieland for voting down redlight cameras. Study after study has shown red light cameras actually increase accidents, and merely exist as a way of extracting yet more money from taxpayers, and to line the pockets of the companies that sell and run them. (And, as always when money and politics are combined, one hand washes the other.) Good riddance to a bad idea, and hopefully more Texas municipalities (Round Rock, I’m looking in your direction) will follow suit.

As for Aggie football returning to its glory days, well…A&M is currently 5-3, and should be favored against Baylor and Colorado, so a sweet berth in the Texas Bowl (the successor to the GallereyFurniture.com Bowl) is well within reach…

All Texas Constitution Amendments Pass (and a word about Kelo)

Wednesday, November 4th, 2009

As usual, all the Texas constitutional amendments passed.

However, the result that sticks out the most to me is the overwhelming Yes vote on Constitutional Amendment 11 (to place limits on government taking of private property for public use):

For 844,444 (81.0%)
Against 197,713 (19.0%)

This amendment is a direct (albeit delayed) reaction to the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold Kelo vs. City of New London. The popularity of this amendment would suggest that there’s a lot of opposition to Kelo out among the elctorate, even among some liberal democrats.

Texas: We Suck Less!

Monday, November 2nd, 2009

Compared to California, that is.

Some takeaways:

  • “Besides Mississippi, every one of the 17 states with the lowest state and local tax levels had positive net internal migration from 2000 to 2007. Except for Wyoming, Maine, and Delaware, every one of the 17 highest-tax states had negative net internal migration over the same period. Conservative researchers’ technical explanation for this phenomenon is: ‘Well, duh.’ Or, as Arthur Laffer and Stephen Moore wrote in the Wall Street Journal earlier this year: ‘People, investment capital and businesses are mobile: They can leave tax-unfriendly states and move to tax-friendly states.’”
  • “California’s tax and regulatory policies, the report predicts, ‘will continue to sap its economic vitality,’ while Texas’s ‘pro-growth’ policies will help it ‘maintain its superior economic performance well into the future.’ The clear implication is that California should become more like Texas.”
  • “‘Twenty years ago, you could go to Texas, where they had very low taxes, and you would see the difference between there and California,’ Joel Kotkin, executive editor of NewGeography.com and a presidential fellow at Chapman University in Southern California, told the Los Angeles Times this past March. ‘Today, you go to Texas, the roads are no worse, the public schools are not great but are better than or equal to ours, and their universities are good. The bargain between California’s government and the middle class is constantly being renegotiated to the disadvantage of the middle class.'”

Read the whole thing.

Texas Constitutional Amendment Election Tuesday

Monday, November 2nd, 2009

Remember: There’s an off-year election Tuesday, November 3.

Here’s a PDF of the ballot from the League of Women Voter’s

I was going to do a quick and dirty voter guide from a conservative/libertarian perspective on the issues, but a quick search turned up a more detailed breakdown that covered most of the points I would have made anyhow:

Here’s a breakdown from the Hardin County Conservatives

One difference between their views and mine: I would recommend voting AGAINST Proposition 3, “The constitutional amendment providing for uniform standards and procedures for the appraisal of property for ad valorem tax purposes.”, for the following reason: It seems innocuous enough on its face, but it violates the principle of subsidiarity, i.e. that power in a democracy should devolve to the lowest level of government capable of exercise that power. It also provides a small but important check on tiny bureaucratic tyrannies; if Travis County adopts abusive property tax rules, you can always move to a county that doesn’t (say, Williamson County). If those “uniform” rules turn out to be abusive, then you’re screwed.