Posts Tagged ‘Israel’

Fascinating Michael Totten Piece on the Druze of the Golan Heights

Monday, October 4th, 2010

Michael Totten’s pieces are always worth reading, and this piece on the Druze of the Golan Heights is no exception.

I especially liked this bit on the religious beliefs of the Druze:

They’re monotheists who emerged from Islam a thousand years ago, but their religion changed so drastically it became something else. They don’t proselytize or wage wars of conversion or conquest. No one is even allowed to convert. That door closed in the year 1043. You’re either born a Druze, or you aren’t a Druze. And if you die a Druze, they say you’ll be reincarnated as one. Their religious texts are kept secret, not only from non-Druze, but from most Druze, as well. The “uninitiated” majority aren’t required to observe any rituals. They aren’t even allowed to know much about the religion.

Why is it that this one reader-funded world traveler always seems to bring back more interesting and detailed stories than all the Middle East bureaus of The New York Times combined?

As always with Totten’s work, read the whole thing and hit the tip jar if you feel so inclined.

Obama Administration Gives OK to $60 Billion Arms Sale to Saudi Arabia

Wednesday, September 22nd, 2010

Maybe I just wasn’t paying attention, but I didn’t notice that the Obama Administration had approved a $60 billion (with a B) arms sale to Saudi Arabia until Instapundit linked to that Jonathan Tepperman piece.

I have mixed feelings about the deal.

  • The Saudis are not our friends. The ties between the House of Saud and fundamentalist Wahabbist Islam go back over two centuries, and Wahabbism is (along with the fundamentalist Shia of Khomeinist Iran, and the teachings of Hassan al-Banna and his followers in the Muslim Brotherhood) one of the chief sources retrograde radicalism in modern Islam, an influence that the Saudis have continued to support with their petrodollars to this very day.
  • My impression (and if someone has any contradicting evidence, feel free to share it in the comments below) is that the Saudi’s continuing support for Wahabbism is one of manipulative cynicism rather than deep religious belief. The Saudi ruling class is happy to swill alcohol and enjoy other forbidden Western pleasures behind closed doors, but continues to support Wahabbism as both a means of controlling their own country’s populace, and of maintaining their influence in the Ummah, the worldwide community of Islamic believers. Whether this makes them more or less evil is a matter of interpretation.
  • Despite their outward hostility to Jews and ostensible support of Palestinian nationhood, one of the biggest open secrets in the Middle East is that the Saudis are in regular secret communication with Israeli leadership about matters of mutual interest. (Also, the Saudis, much like the vast majority of Arabs everywhere, don’t really give a rat’s ass about the Palestinians.)
  • Their biggest area of shared concern is a nuclear armed Iran, which both view as an existential threat to their existence (albeit it of different types). This is why, as the Atlantic piece notes, Israel hasn’t lifted a finger to stop the arms sale.

On that basis, the arms sale should probably be approved. But it’s no substitute for actually taking out Iran’s nuclear program, or the mullahs pushing it.

Israel’s Possible Strike on Iran: Reactions

Wednesday, August 18th, 2010

There have been a lot of reactions to the Jeffrey Goldberg piece on the coming Israel attack against Iran’s nuclear weapons program I talked about here.

The issue is discussed with the ever-irrepressible Christopher Hitchens. Conclusion? If Iran continues to pursue nuclear weapons, “I see no reason not to take out the regime.”

As usual, Ezra Klein and Juan Cole are clueless.

JournoList-founder Klein believes a strike would “make the Arab world in general, and Iran and various terrorist organizations, hate Israel even more.” The problems with this statement:

  1. Only for organizations already committed to Israel’s destruction and/or Iranian-backed groups (Hezbollah and Hamas), who will mainly be angry that Israel deprived them of far more potent weapons. A temporary increase in activity from the people who already want to see you dead seems like a good tradeoff for preventing a nuclear-armed Islamic Republic of Iran.
  2. Probably not for the majority of Sunni Arabs, most of whom regard Persian Shias with at best indifference and at worst racist xenophobia and contempt. Sure, they hate Jews worse, but beyond certain Muslim Brotherhood offshoots, there is very little in the way “Pan-Islamic Unity” in the Middle East.
  3. Ditto for for the Turks. Erdogan’s Islamist- and Iranian-leaning government would no doubt make a great deal of noise, but do very little in the way of concrete actions that they weren’t already pursuing against Israel, and the average Sunni Turk is likely to lose little sleep over an attack against Shia Persians.
  4. The leaders of most Arab countries seem to want the Iranians stopped as well. That would suggest that there will be very little response from those states beyond pro forma disapproval.
  5. Given that Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has already called for Israel to be wiped off the map, how much more could they hate Israel?

For his part, Juan Cole (after the usual conservative-bashing and name-calling) says:

Bibi Netanyahu, the prime minister of Israel, is for all his bluster far too personally indecisive to take such a major step (and certainly not without an American green light; Bibi thinks Clinton had him undermined and moved out of office for obstructing the Oslo accords, and does not want to risk the same fate for causing trouble for Obama in Iraq and Afghanistan)

This ignores the fact that the Dovish wing of Israeli politics has all but disappeared since the Oslo accords, in the wake of Arafat’s intransigence, Hamas’ takeover of Gaza, the war against Hezbollah, etc. Kadima, Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu are the three largest parties in Israel, and none are going to bring down the Netanyahu government should he order a strike on Iran. Even Kadima, the leftmost of those three, considers Iran’s nuclear program an existential threat. Kadima leader Tzipi Livni sounds only slightly less firm than Netanyahu, stating that “the free world cannot afford Iran with a nuclear weapon.”

Also, he ignores the fact that if it did come down to losing his job, or failing to prevent a nuclear holocaust against his nation, Netanyahu’s choice will still be pretty easy to make.

Finally, former UN Ambassador John Bolton says Israel needs to strike within eight days.

Israel’s Coming Attack on Iran

Monday, August 16th, 2010

This Jeffrey Goldberg article on the late stage of Iran’s nuclear project, and Israel’s need to stop it before completion, is essential reading. Goldberg has spent a lot of time talking to just about all the major players in Israel, and has come to some sobering conclusions. Such as the fact that if Iran won’t halt it’s nuclear program (it won’t) and Obama doesn’t have the United States (which is far better equipped to make sure a strike actually destroys targeted facilities) launch a strike instead, which seems very unlikely, then Israel will have no choice to strike on their own, and probably sometime in the next 12 months.

Israel perceives (quite correctly) that the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear weapons project is an existential threat, something that could completely destroy the nation in a second shoah. Given that the first shoah happened within living memory, Israel is never going to let that happen. Other Middle Eastern states like Saudi Arabia have made no secret of the fact that they support a strike to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, even if it means letting the Israelis do it. Their biggest worry is that Israeli won’t be able to do enough damage to significantly set the mullah’s nuclear ambitions back.

Which is, of course, why many hope Obama will order a U.S. strike. Personally, I see nothing in Obama’s decisions thus far to indicate he actually cares enough about foreign policy in general (at least beyond basking in the approval of “the right kind” of transnational elites), much less the “hard” diplomacy of actually threatening military action, much less carrying through, to see him making a credible threat against the mullahs. Or indeed, of doing anything at all beyond throwing up his hands and saying “We tried!” when toothless UN sanctions fail and the mullah’s detonate their first nuclear device. All of his “outreach” to the Muslim world will prove to be meaningless if the other power-holders in the Middle East believe his resolve is inferior to those of the mullahs and drift into Iran’s orbit out of self-preservation, especially since compromise is viewed as weakness. Arabs respect the powerful and despise the powerless.

It looks like Obama is going to get a another war in the Middle East whether he wants one or not. The only question is whether it will be on his terms, or the mullah’s.

Michael Totten Interviews Benjamin Kerstein

Wednesday, August 4th, 2010

So I saw the link for this Michael Totten interview on Instapundit, and the name Benjamin Kerstein rang a bell. He was the one that penned this excellent essay on Zionism as a refutation of liberalism, which I cited in some of my Helen Thomas coverage.

This interview talks about, among other things, the “reality bubble” English speakers in Tel Aviv walk around, the Arab-Israeli conflict, options for dealing with Iran, and more. It’s quite fascinating. Read the whole thing, and remember than Totten depends on reader tips for his funding.

LinkSwarm for Father’s Day

Sunday, June 20th, 2010

A few links for whiling away the day:

Spine! Who’s have thunk it?

Monday, June 14th, 2010

Today the University of California at Irvine announced they were apologizing to 11 members of an Islamic student group arrested for interrupting the Israeli Ambassador’s speech for “violating their civil rights.” Or at least that’s the sort of headline you’ve come to expect out of both the People’s Republic of California and the University of Political Correctness.

The funny thing is, it didn’t happen this time.

Instead, UC Irvine suspended the Muslim Student Union for a year. Wow, spine! At a California university! Who’d have thunk it?

Helen Thomas: “Was that wrong? Should I not have done that?”

Saturday, June 5th, 2010

Helen Thomas has walked back her statement that Jews should leave Israel and go back to Germany and Poland. Well, sort of. It was one of those peculiar, second order non-apology apologies, the one where you go “I said something stupid, but I didn’t really mean it” while failing to note or correct any errors. (The first order non-apology apology is the one where you “deeply regret that my statement may have offended someone,” without admitting that you said anything wrong.) Let’s look at her statement, shall we?

“I deeply regret my comments I made last week regarding the Israelis and the Palestinians. They do not reflect my heart-felt belief that peace will come to the Middle East only when all parties recognize the need for mutual respect and tolerance. May that day come soon.”

No admission that Jews have been living in what is now Israel for centuries, no hint of what was so offensive in her first statement, and not even an inking of what happened to Jews the last time they were living in Germany and Poland. I’m trying to think of a way to make Thomas’ statement more offensive without her just coming out and stating (as so many Palestinians have) that all Jews should be completely exterminated. Maybe saying it at the Holocaust Museum. Or perhaps suggesting that all Israelis be given arm tattoos to make their transit to Europe (ideally by rail) more efficient…

I’m trying to think of a similar statement that achieves the same dazzling level of insensitivity of Thomas’ comment, but I’m coming up blank. Certainly, any Republican politician suggesting that “all blacks should go back to Africa” would be forced to resign in very short order, but at least he wouldn’t be suggesting their extermination. Hell, I’m even having a hard time imagining Al Sharpton, that paragon of tact and grace, making the same speech.

In politics, a gaffe is when a political figure accidentally tells you what they actually think, and I think that’s the case here. I believe Thomas, and a significant number of liberals, find Israel deeply inconvenient. As Charles Krauthammer put it so succinctly:

The world is tired of these troublesome Jews, six million—that number again—hard by the Mediterranean, refusing every invitation to national suicide. For which they are relentlessly demonized, ghettoized and constrained from defending themselves, even as the more committed anti-Zionists—Iranian in particular—openly prepare a more final solution.

Certainly there’s the prosaic political history: When the Soviet Union started backing Arab client states like Syria and the U.S. became a firm ally of Israel, many in the New Left went from being pro- to anti-Israel almost overnight. Also, while the early Israeli state included many left-wing elements, such as the explicitly socialist kibbutzim, these elements were all eventually (like all experiments with socialism, if allowed to run long enough) abandoned as unworkable. Likewise, years of terrorism from the likes of Hamas and Hezbollah as resulted in the withering of the dovish Israeli left, resulting in American liberals’ ideological hostility to the conservative governments of Benjamin Netanyahu. Finally, liberalism’s cult of victimology has made martyrs of the Palestinians, despite their tolerance (on the West Bank) or outright embrace (Hamas’ electoral victory in Gaza) of terrorism and organizations calling for the extermination of all Jews.

But all that is only part of the reason.

For another part, take a look at this very interesting Benjamin Kerstein essay in The New Ledger, discussing the relationship of liberalism and Zionism, which is itself a response to a long Peter Beinart piece on the same subject (from a liberal perspective) in The New York Review of Books. Kerstein elucidates the mindset of the Helen Thomases of the world, and the problem with that mindset, so clearly that I’m going to have to quite a goodly portion of it:

It should be noted first that, ideologically speaking, Zionism is not necessarily opposed to liberalism; it does, however, assert that liberalism, in and of itself, is not enough. It is not enough to provide safety and security for the Jewish people, let alone the kind of cultural and political renaissance that Zionism sought to create. It is not a coincidence that Theodore Herzl was moved to found political Zionism by the Dreyfuss trial in France and the rise of organized political anti-Semitism in Germany and Austria. What drove Herzl—originally a liberal not unlike Beinart himself—was the realization that liberalism was failing, and inevitably would fail completely. The promise of liberalism in that era was that, if the Jews became good liberals, they would be left alone to pursue happiness as best they could. “But I do not think,” Herzl wrote ominously, “that we will be left alone.” For Herzl, the promise of liberalism, which for him was much as it is for Beinart, could only be realized for the Jews within the framework of a Jewish state.

That liberals then and liberals now find this uncomfortable should not be overly surprising. Liberalism has always been, generally speaking, a form of middle class secular messianism; an edifying millenialism for those with much money and many guns between them and reality. Once everyone becomes liberal, liberalism has always assumed, we will all be happy. Beinart, not unlike his predecessors, clearly believes more or less the same thing. Zionism asserts that not only will the Jews not be happy under liberalism and liberalism alone, but they will not even be capable of surviving the depredations of the modern world. For that, a stronger force is needed; namely, national independence and political sovereignty. Of course, there is a strongly messianic element to Zionism as well, especially in its religious form, but it is a competing and different messianism than that of liberalism. Liberalism asserts that for the Jews to be good and free, they must become liberal. Zionism asserts that for the Jews to exist at all, let alone be good and free—or liberal for that matter—they must first have a Jewish state.

It is worth asking what, one hundred or so years after Herzl, the verdict of history has been in regard to liberalism and the Jews. Despite the fervent belief of many Jewish liberals that liberalism is the one thing standing between them and the abyss, I do not think it is an exaggeration to say that liberalism’s actual legacy is decidedly mixed. More than anything else, liberalism has said much and done little at the moments when it really mattered. It failed to save Dreyfuss until a very belated and largely meaningless exoneration; it failed completely to stop the rise of anti-Semitism, Nazism, and the Holocaust; it took an equally belated stance on behalf of the Jews of the Soviet Union; it has tended to regard Israel with, at best, ambivalence (even pre-1967 democratic socialism, ironically, had a better record); and during the most recent outbreak of anti-Semitism it took two equally disreputable stances—first, that it wasn’t happening at all; and second, even it was happening, it was the Jews’ fault.

One could theorize for days about the reasons for this, and it may simply come down to the fact that liberalism, in the end, is essentially an ideology of ineffectiveness. But there is no doubt that it is the case, and those who subscribe to it do not like being forced to admit it. To admit that Zionism is a viable and just ideology would mean admitting that its critique of liberalism is, to some extent, true; and this would in turn require the kind of self-reflection at which liberalism has never excelled. It is easier, then, to see Zionism as the problem, to tell oneself that Zionism is “uncomfortable,” rather than admit that it is, to a great extent, an answer, and not a bad one, to liberalism’s own inherent failures.

A final tidbit: Seeing Thomas’ unlovely visage in that video reminded me of something, but I couldn’t quite figure out what.

Then I realized: She bore a striking resemblance to The Witch of the Waste in Hayao Miyazaki’s Howl’s Moving Castle:

Maybe if I cropped out the respective necks…

Hat tip: Powerline.

If I put Helen Thomas in a novel…

Friday, June 4th, 2010

…it would get rejected, because no one would ever believe a real person could be so clueless.

(Via Instapundit and Gateway Pundit.)

Give Up on Giving Peace a Chance

Monday, April 26th, 2010

I’ve noted the irrational nature of believing in the “Middle East Peace Process” before. Now former Presidential adviser (and former peace process true believer) Aaron David Miller has penned an article demolishing the Middle East peace process for the delusion and sham it is.

Some choice quotes:

Etymologists tell us that the word “religion” may come from the Latin root religare, meaning to adhere or bind. It’s a wonderful derivation. In both its secular and religious manifestations, faith is alluring and seductive precisely because it’s driven by propositions that bind or adhere the believer to a compelling set of ideas that satisfy rationally or spiritually, but always obligate.

And so it has been and remains with America’s commitment to Arab-Israeli peacemaking over the past 40 years, and certainly since the October 1973 war gave birth to serious U.S. diplomacy and the phrase “peace process” (the honor of authorship likely goes to a brilliant veteran State Department Middle East hand, Harold Saunders, who saw the term appropriated by Kissinger early in his shuttles). Since then, the U.S. approach has come to rest on an almost unbreakable triangle of assumptions — articles of faith, really. By the 1990s, these tenets made up a sort of peace-process religion, a reverential logic chain that compelled most U.S. presidents to involve themselves seriously in the Arab-Israeli issue. Barack Obama is the latest convert, and by all accounts he too became a zealous believer, vowing within days of his inauguration “to actively and aggressively seek a lasting peace between Israel and the Palestinians, as well as Israel and its Arab neighbors.”

Like all religions, the peace process has developed a dogmatic creed, with immutable first principles. Over the last two decades, I wrote them hundreds of times to my bosses in the upper echelons of the State Department and the White House; they were a catechism we all could recite by heart. First, pursuit of a comprehensive peace was a core, if not the core, U.S. interest in the region, and achieving it offered the only sure way to protect U.S. interests; second, peace could be achieved, but only through a serious negotiating process based on trading land for peace; and third, only America could help the Arabs and Israelis bring that peace to fruition.

As befitting a religious doctrine, there was little nuance.

He also points out that America has three much more pressing concerns in the Middle East, each of which is more important than the Arab-Israeli conflict:

First, there are the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, where tens of thousands of Americans are in harm’s way and are likely to be for some time to come. Add to the mix the dangerous situation in Pakistan, and you see volatility, threat, and consequences that go well beyond Palestine. Second, though U.S. foreign policy can’t be held hostage to the war on terror (or whatever it’s now called), the 9/11 attacks were a fundamental turning point for an America that had always felt secure within its borders. And finally there’s Iran, whose nuclear aspirations are clearly a more urgent U.S. priority than Palestine. Should sanctions and/or diplomacy fail, the default position — military action by Israel or even the United States — can’t be ruled out, with galactic consequences for the region and the world. In any event, it’s hard to imagine Netanyahu making any big decisions on the peace process until there’s much more clarity on what he and most Israelis regard as the existential threat of an Iran with a bomb.

Read the whole thing, but keep one thing in mind: All in all, I think Miller is entirely too optimistic. He thinks some form of progress might still be made by American negotiators. I don’t.