The death toll from last week’s Texas flooding has passed 100.
For those who don’t understand how a flood this deadly developed so quickly, Brad Johnson in The Texan‘s Fourth Reading newsletter explains:
On Thursday, National Weather Service estimates projected between three and six inches of rain upstream on the Guadalupe River — a problem, but not a five-alarm fire for an area accustomed to that. But things changed rapidly between then and early Friday morning. By 4 a.m. Friday, the rain was falling at 12 inches per hour, according to officials briefed on the situation. Kerrville City Manager Dalton Rice said he was running along the river at 3 a.m. and while the river was high, it wasn’t an emergency.
But the storm, made up of remnants of Tropical Storm Barry that made landfall in southeastern Mexico, dumped far more in volume than expected on the area, and rather than move on past the county… it just sat there.
The Guadalupe River rose 20 feet in two hours.
The following video of the flood from the 480/San Antonio Street bridge in Center Point, just a bit downstream of Kerrville, shows the Guadalupe going from a damp trickle to a raging torrent overtopping the bridge in 30 minutes:
Certainly there’s room for improvement for warnings for extreme weather events like this (maybe automated up river flood gauges that alert authorities and endangered residents), but it’s hard to plan for something this extreme that happens in the middle of the night. Worse still: “Places like Camp Mystic, the 750-camper summer camp for girls, do not allow cell phones to be carried by the children.”
If you live near a river or in any sort of flood plain, you probably should have water leak detectors and a bugout bag ready for such emergencies.