Posts Tagged ‘Elections’

Texas Senate Race Update for December 16, 2011

Friday, December 16th, 2011

A few quick updates for things too important to sit on over the weekend:

  • Blue Dot Blues brings word that a deal has been reached on dates for next year’s elections: Primary April 4, Runoff June 5.
  • Craig James takes a leave of absence from ESPN to mull a Senate run. That’s certainly a much stronger indication he’ll run than we’ve had before.
  • I was unaware until I read this Chronicle piece that James joined the Texas Public Policy Foundation (and seems to have done some events for them, though he does not seem to currently be on the board), which would indicate at least some familiarity with conservative policy issues. Of course, Ted Cruz used to work in TPPP’s Center for Tenth Amendment Studies.
  • Another longshot Republican candidate , “Dr. Joe” Agris, files for the race. Dr. Agris is evidently a plastic surgeon who has done some good works, many in association with late Houston broadcasting legend Marvin Zindler (who made use of Dr. Agris services on many an occasion). Dr. Agris is not entirely a political neophyte, having run in the general election for Texas House District 134 in 2008. He reportedly waged a low-effort campaign (or so says lefty Houston blog Off the Kuff), pulling in only 42% of the vote in a distract John McCain won. He’s evidently been contemplating this run at least since April.
  • Tom Leppert visits Corpus:

  • David Dewhurst bashes Obama:

  • Ted Cruz bashes Obama:

  • Cruz is also raising money via Twitter.
  • “Is it Ricardo?” “No, it’s just a boy.”
  • Texas Senate Race Update for December 15, 2011

    Thursday, December 15th, 2011

    The big news in the Senate race is a change to the filing deadlines:

  • According to Blue Dot Blues, “the new filing period for all candidates from precinct chair to U.S. President has been extended to 6:00 pm on Monday, December 19th.” Plus “once maps are finalized following the Supreme Court hearing in mid-January, there will be a new filing period for all primary ballot races.”
  • Heh. The truth about Craig James and those hookers.
  • Another non-fan at Fox Sports.
  • Ted Cruz appears on Coffee and Markets.
  • Tom Leppert was on KWEL today, but I can’t find a direct link to the show.
  • Lela Pittenger’s name now appears on the list of Republican candidates who have filed for the Senate race.
  • Facebook likes Ted Cruz’s use of Facebook. Feel free to go on Facebook and Like Facebook’s like of Ted Cruz using Facebook. (Hat tip: The Right Side of Austin.)
  • Where’s Ricardo Sanchez? But now he has a while longer to decide…
  • David Dewhurst racks up another pro-life endorsement. Honestly, I’d never heard of The Heidi Group before, but I’m not as tied into the pro-life movement as some.
  • Craig James: Not Universally Loved

    Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

    I know this may comes as a shock to some of you, seeing as how I occasionally write about sports for my other blog, but I don’t have cable, and thus have no first-hand experience of Craig James’ ESPN broadcasting prowess.

    However, news of James’ possible Senate candidacy has been racing around the worlds of both politics and sports, and from the commentary there, I think it safe to assert that James is not universally loved:

  • I was unaware (or had even forgotten) that all four of Sports Illustrated‘s college football writers names James the worst college football broadcaster. “Craig James and Jesse Palmer…it’s still two ex-jocks glad-handing each other and spewing clichés for three-and-a-half hours” says the normally mild-mannered Stewart Mandel. (Nor does he seem to have moderated his views on the subject.)
  • Awful Announcers has put him on their Mt. Rushmore of awfulness.
  • Matt Hinton is not a fan.
  • Some are hoping he’ll win just to get him off the air.
  • An Ordinary American is not impressed.
  • The same liberal bitterness over any public Republican figure? Maybe, but I’m not getting that vibe reading the comments. And hard-core liberals don’t usually hang out at Big Government.

    More James news:

  • The Statesman asks Could Craig James be a serious candidate for the U.S. Senate? (Texas Iconoclast answers “No. On the other hand, getting crushed in a political race might help downsize the guy’s XXL ego, so that’s a plus.”)
  • This piece argues that James will get his ass handed to him (which I think is correct) and that he’s actually not running to win, but to build name recognition for a 2014 U.S. House seat run. Maybe, but running statewide in a race you don’t expect to win is an awful bass ackwards way to run for a House seat.
  • Texas Senate Race Update for December 13, 2011

    Tuesday, December 13th, 2011

    The filing deadline for all races is coming up on Thursday. Beyond that, the biggest news is probably going on behind the scenes, as I suspect all three of the major candidates are raising money like mad in advance of the Q4 deadline, the last to be reported before the March primary.

  • Ted Cruz, David Dewhurst and Tom Leppert have all officially filed for election.
  • So have Glenn Addison, Curt Clever, Charles Holcomb (as mentioned yesterday), and one Ben Gambini of Winnie (about which The Google has precious little; he might as well be Chauncey Gardener).
  • Sean Hubbard says he’s filed, and his name showed up on the Texas Democrats’ website today.
  • Still no sign of Ricardo Sanchez’s name. Two days left…
  • Leppert picked up the endorsements of a number of former Dallas Cowboys, including Roger Staubach (who I mentioned previously as having donated to Leppert) and Troy Aikman. Again, all those play to his Dallas base, but Staubach and Aikman’s endorsements certainly won’t hurt him in the rest of the state.
  • Dewhurst calls on Eric Holder to resign.
  • Dewhurst stated that he was willing to debate once or twice. As Texas Iconoclast noted: “How magnanimous of his highness.”
  • Once you get beyond the condescending opening (“Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst enters the U.S. Senate campaign with considerable cash and name recognition, but a couple of Republican challengers are nipping at his heels”), this Houston Chronicle piece is a fairly accurate distillation of the consensus wisdom on the race.
  • Speaking of MSM outlets, Robert T. Garrett in The Dallas Morning News has an interesting bit on Dick Armey’s FreedomWorks setting up a phone bank for Cruz. Garrett has even toned down most of his usual smug condescension…
  • Sen Jim DeMint also appeared with Cruz at a Houston fundraiser on December 6.
  • Dewhurst spoke in Wichita Falls.
  • The Texas Restaurant Association endorses Dewhurst. That link also notes that:

    This endorsement follows other major Texas endorsements of Dewhurst’s candidacy in recent weeks, including the Texas Poultry Federation, three former presidents of the Texas Farm Bureau, BEEF-PAC, the Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association Political Action Committee and the Texas Farm Bureau Friends of Agriculture Fund last week. David has also received endorsements from the Texas State Association of Fire Fighters, the Texas State Lodge of the Fraternal Order of Police, the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Texas, the Texas Municipal Police Association and the Texas Department of Public Safety Officers Association PAC. Prior to those, he received endorsements Texas Right To Life PAC, pro-life leaders Kyleen Wright and Carol Everett, and the Texas Alliance for Life PAC.

    Dewhurst was always going to get the lion share of the business endorsements. The pro-life endorsements I’ve covered. The police and firefighter pickups won’t hurt.

  • Well, there’s one group that probably won’t be endorsing Craig James if he jumps in: Texas Tech boosters. But I don’t know where the silly “killed 5 hookers” meme started.
  • Robert Pratt at Empower Texas is not impressed with Tom Leppert’s pledge to “get things done” in Washington. I hardly qualify as a Leppert cheerleader, but I do think they make much ado about nothing for what is essentially a rhetorical flourish.
  • Craig James to Jump Into Republican Senate Race?

    Tuesday, December 13th, 2011

    So says The Dallas Morning News, citing “sources close to his developing campaign.”

    I don’t know why he would. I don’t see a lot of running room (no pun intended), it will be very hard to raise money, it’s been a long time since James was top of the football heap, and ESPN analyst is probably not a high-enough profile job for the requisite level of fame you’d need to win the race jumping in this late. And he’s not nearly rich enough to self-fund like David Dewhurst (unless the pre-death penalty SMU football program was even more generous with athlete payouts than we’ve been lead to realize).

    If he does get in, he probably hurts Tom Leppert the most, due to the same geographic base in the Metroplex.

    Where’s Ricardo? (Plus: A New Democratic Challenger Appears)

    Monday, December 12th, 2011

    There’s some news on the Democratic side of the Texas Senate race.

    First of all, the name of the DNC’s handpicked candidate, Ricardo Sanchez, does not appear on the list of candidates who have filed for the Texas Senate race.

    Well, the deadline is Thursday. No worries. Assuming he wants to run, there’s plenty of time for Sanchez to file for the race.

    But what if he doesn’t?

    After all, even before his house burned down, there was precious little evidence Sanchez was really interested in running for the Senate. His fundraising is abysmal, his media appearances are rare, his campaign stops even rarer (Ted Cruz and Glenn Addison do more campaigning in a day than Sanchez manages in a month), his social media footprint miniscule, and his buzz factor is non-existent.

    Other signs of the moribund nature of Sanchez’s campaign: DSCC chair Patty Murray drawing audible laughs when asked about Democratic chances in Texas. “After being initially hailed as a pick-up opportunity, Texas is off the radar for Democrats. DSCC executive director Guy Cecil suggested as much last month. Murray didn’t even mention Ricardo Sanchez’s name.”

    Sanchez peaked when he announced for the race. Ever since then it’s been a long, painful slog, with his only reward the prospect of being slaughtered by Ted Cruz or David Dewhurst in the general election. Is there a serious non-partisan observer anywhere who looks at Sanchez’s dismal campaign and thinks he can win?

    Is this how Sanchez pictured his retirement? He seems for all the world like someone just going through the motions.

    However, there is one Democratic candidate who has filed for the U.S. Senate race: Daniel Boone! I believe Texans will be favorably impressed with his trackin’ and bear-killin’ skills, and thus might be willing to overlook his Missouri residency and the fact the he’s been dead 191 years.

    Sadly for Democrats, the “rippin’est, roarin’est, fightin’est man the frontier ever knew” is not the one running, but rather a retired Air Force Lt. Colonel (which sets up a nice “flyboy vs. grunt” inter-service rivalry if Sanchez does run).

    He has a website and a Facebook page. His campaign platform is vague Democratic boilerplate.

    But a famous namesake isn’t enough to overcome Ricardo Sanchez, right?

    Think again.

    Remember Gene Kelly? The perennial office-seeker whose only notable attribute was the name of the famous dancing movie star? He won the 2000 Democratic primary runoff for this very Senate seat (then occupied by Kay Baily Hutchison) over former state legislator Charles Gandy with 58.43% of the vote.

    Want to guess what Kelly’s background was?

    Would you believe retired Air Force Colonel?

    It would be tempting to use the “history repeats itself, first as tragedy, then as farce” line, but here the first time was farce.

    If Sanchez declines the race, I would say that Boone automatically becomes the frontrunner. And so far Sanchez has run such a lackluster campaign that high name recognition (even misrecognition) might be enough to beat him…

    Dewhurst Contributions: A Lot of Money from Fulbright & Jaworski

    Tuesday, December 6th, 2011

    It takes a while for the FEC to put up the list of individual donations (even longer than putting up the summary reports), so I didn’t think to check out David Dewhurst’s individual contributions until this week. One thing that jumped out at me from the report was just how many donations he got from lawyers at Fulbright & Jaworski.

    Fulbright & Jaworski ranked 52 overall on the Vault list of the top 100 law firms in the U.S., and fourth in the energy sector. The Jaworksi in the name comes from Watergate prosecutor Leon Jaworski. They’re headquartered in Houston but have offices worldwide. They’re generally considered one of the three biggest law firms in Houston, the other two being Baker Botts and Vinson & Elkins.

    From the FEC, here are the donations Dewhurst received from Fulbright & Jaworski employees for his senate race (presented in the same format provided by the FEC, both for authenticity, and because I’m too lazy to reformat them):

  • BELL, JERRY A MR JR AUSTIN TX 78701 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • BODE, JOYCE R MS AUSTIN TX 78701 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P.
  • BRADEN, PAUL MR HOUSTON TX 77024 09/27/2011 250.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI LLP/ATTORNEY
  • CAUDILL, WILLIAM H MR HOUSTON TX 77006 09/19/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • DILLARD, STEPHEN C MR HOUSTON TX 77056 09/29/2011 500.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI L.L.P./ATTORN
  • DRANSFIELD, ROBERT D MR DALLAS TX 75205 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, LLP/ATTORNEY
  • GARCIA, FRANK T MR HOUSTON TX 77024 09/19/2011 500.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, LLP/ATTORNEY
  • GOVETT, BRETT C MR DALLAS TX 75205 09/20/2011 500.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSK/ATTORNEY
  • GRAHAM, JOSEPH M MR JR HOUSTON TX 77056 09/30/2011 300.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, LLP/ATTORNEY
  • HALL, CHARLES W MR HOUSTON TX 77019 09/19/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI L.L.P./LAWYER
  • HETTINGER, GLEN J MR HEATH TX 75032 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI LLP/ATTORNEY
  • HUGHES, THOMAS MR BAYTOWN TX 77521 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI/ATTORNEY
  • KOENIG, RODNEY C MR HOUSTON TX 77010 09/19/2011 250.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, LLP/ATTORNEY
  • KONTRIMAS, ANDRIUS MR HOUSTON TX 77010 09/27/2011 2000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI L.L.P./ATTORN
  • KRAUSS, LAYNE E MR HOUSTON TX 77010 09/29/2011 1300.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI L.L.P./ATTORN
  • KRUSE, LAYNE MR HOUSTON TX 77010 09/19/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI L.L.P./ATTORN
  • KUNTZ, STEPHEN A MR HOUSTON TX 77005 09/19/2011 500.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, LLP/ATTORNEY
  • LEGGETTE, L POE DENVER CO 80202 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • MACON, JANE MS SAN ANTONIO TX 78205 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • MCCLURE, DANIEL MEAD MR HOUSTON TX 77010 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • PAKALKA, WILLIAM R MR HOUSTON TX 77010 09/27/2011 500.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI L.L.P./ATTORN
  • PFEIFFER, STEVEN B MR ALEXANDRIA VA 22301 09/29/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI L.L.P./ATTORN
  • POWELL, CHARLES D MR HOUSTON TX 77005 09/27/2011 2300.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI/PARTNER
  • STEWART, KENNETH L MR DALLAS TX 75225 09/27/2011 1000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, LLP/ATTORNEY
  • TRAUTNER, KEVIN MR HOUSTON, TX 77005 09/19/2011 250.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI LLP/ATTORNEY
  • WOLF, HOWARD MR AUSTIN TX 78703 09/27/2011 2500.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • WOLF, HOWARD MR AUSTIN TX 78703 09/27/2011 -2500.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • WOLF, HOWARD MR AUSTIN TX 78703 09/27/2011 5000.00 FULBRIGHT & JAWORSKI, L.L.P./ATTOR
  • I actually offer this up as more of a data point than a “gotcha.” While some Fulbright & Jaworski lawyers have been involved in liberal causes (like representing detained terrorists at Guantanamo Bay), 71% of their political donations have gone to Republicans. Fulbright & Jaworski seems to have done a lot of work for Dewhurst’s company Falcon Seaboard. (The Howard Wolf listed above is actually a retired partner for Fulbright & Jaworsk, as he’s currently President and Acting Chairman of Falcon Seaboard, has been appointed to several state boards, and is one of Dewhurst’s closest confidants.) Indeed, Dewhurst’s ties to the company are so extensive that he was he was willing to do this video taking about how awesome they are:

    (I was also surprised to find an old high school classmate in the same video…)

    Texas Senate Race Update for November 29, 2011

    Tuesday, November 29th, 2011
  • The New York Times discovers Ted Cruz. It’s generally a solid piece, though I do want to quibble with one part, even though it’s an opposition citation: “Mr. Dewhurst’s aides say that unlike Mr. Rubio, Mr. Cruz has been unable to translate the national attention into big increases in fund-raising and polls. While Mr. Cruz has raised $2.8 million to Mr. Dewhurst’s $2.64 million, Mr. Dewhurst has been in the race only since July.” Two points: 1.) Cruz is actually ahead of where Marco Rubio was in at this stage of the 2009-2010 election cycle, and 2.) Cruz’s National Review cover appearance (the most important part of that national attention) was just hitting newsstands at the very end of the Q3 fundraising period, so I wouldn’t expect to see any real fundraising bump until the Q4 numbers are released in January.
  • The Texas Tribune talks about David Dewhurst’s Ivory Tower strategy, which he seems to have gone back to. Dewhurst had this to say in his defense: “I’m not conservative enough, some say. They don’t know me. When they get to know me, they’ll know I am.” With all due respect, Lt. Governor, you’ve been in your current office since January of 2003, and many complaints come from conservatives in Texas. The problem is not lack of familiarity.
  • Cruz gets a nice profile/interview from Big Jolly’s David Jennings in the Houston Chronicle.
  • He also won the Chronicle poll on which Senate candidate readers preferred, beating Dewhurst 53% to 41%,
  • And another greater Greater Houston Council of Federated Republican Women straw poll, 63.4% to 24.4% for Dewhurst.
  • Florida Senator Marco Rubio, to whom Cruz is often compared, has thus far refrained from endorsing any Republican candidates for this cycle.
  • Cruz continues to garner Tea Party support.
  • He also continues to garner hit pieces from the keyboard of The Dallas Morning News‘s Robert T. Garrett, who wonders at length why Cruz actually wants to be a conservative and dares to call out the Republican Senate leadership, rather than being one of those get-along-to-go-along Republicans DSM and other MSM outlets favor. Garrett asks several myopic questions, one of which I’ll actually answer for him: “Won’t opponents David Dewhurst and Tom Leppert say he’s undermining his effectiveness for Texas?” No, because whatever their other flaws, Leppert and Dewhurst both realize they’re trying to win the approval of Republican voters, not Dallas Morning News reporters. These days, approval from those two groups bear an obviously inverse relationship…
  • The Southern Political Report offers up a hefty does of Consensus Opinion on the race. If I had more time, I’d like to dissect the “People With Hispanic Surnames Can’t Win Statewide Republican Races” myth, which is based on precisely one data point: Victor Carrillo’s loss to David Porter in the 2010 Railroad Commissioner race. Even that same year, Eva Guzman beat Rose Vela for Supreme Court place 9. Moreover, it ignores the fact that Carrillo himself beat out the very-anglo-named Robert Butler in 2004. Carrillo lost in 2010 because he ran a very lackluster campaign and because Porter’s answers to the League of Woman Voters survey seemed more conservative, especially given the politically correct nods Carrillo gave to environmentalism and alternative energy in his answers, which was the deciding factor for me personally. However, I do get the impression that one factor did unfairly impact Carrillo’s campaign: the unpopularity of Rick Perry’s Trans-Texas Corridor proposal, which, even though the improperly named Railroad Commission had jack all to do with, probably did marginally hurt his candidacy because he was the incumbent.
  • Tom Leppert appears before the Texas Federation of Republican Women.
  • Cruz has another low-budget animation aimed at Dewhurst. I don’t think it’s as effective as the Chupacabra spot, but I think these cheap Internet animations are very cost effective for building awareness.

  • No Ricardo Sanchez news this week, but he’s probably still recovering from his house fire, so I’ll give him some slack this time around.
  • Ricardo Sanchez’s House Burns Down

    Friday, November 18th, 2011

    Democratic Senate frontrunner Ricardo Sanchez had pretty horrible Veteran’s Day, as a fire destroyed his San Antonio home.

    The article linked above states that arson investigators (pace the video) have ruled out foul play.

    I would like to formally extend my condolences to Sanchez and his family for the tragic loss, and relief that everyone got out of the house safely.

    I actually had an inkling of this early in the week, since I had some Google search hits on “Ricardo Sanchez fire,” but was unable to find anything in the news when I searched then, just a tweet linking to a dead Facebook page. In fact, there doesn’t seem to have been anything findable by Google News until yesterday. Either major San Antonio news sources were unbelievably slow in covering an important story about a major public figure, or Google isn’t picking them up for some reason.

    Dewhurst, Cruz Trade Social Conservative Endorsements

    Monday, November 14th, 2011

    Big senate race news on the endorsement front:

    First, Texas Right to Life PAC endorses David Dewhurst. That’s a very good pickup for him, as he has not exactly been overwhelmed with conservative endorsements. I’m sure the Ted Cruz campaign is not happy that Dewhurst snagged this one. (Also not happy: ex-senate candidate Elizabeth Ames Jones, now running for the state senate from District 25…where they endorsed rival Donna Campbell for the same seat the same week Jones (who has repeatedly stressed her pro-life credentials) got into the race…)

    Then, in short order, the Cruz campaigned fired back with an endorsement from Focus on the Family founder Dr. James Dobson.

    Of the two, I have to rank the Dewhurst endorsement as the better pickup, mainly because his conservative endorsements for this race have been thin on the ground.

    Can Dewhurst snag more conservative endorsements? Maybe. He’s been endorsed by groups like the NRA and Texans for Lawsuit Reform in the past…but that was when he was running against Democrats as Lt. Governor. Such groups may decide that Cruz is the better alternative, or pass on endorsing anyone before the primary.