Taking a look at the activity in the Strait or Hormuz, it looks like our mostly peaceful pause is at an end and things are about to get kinetic again. Looking at the Iran Livemap, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard has resumed attacking both shipping and its neighbors.

Some incident entries:
Iran also claims to have have ““hit a U.S. Navy frigate,” but CENTOM is saying this is BS.
“A U.S. official has said that U.S. forces will destroy any Iranian boats and missiles attempting to attack shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.” Obviously. “[U.S.] Forces have been authorized to strike any immediate threats in the local region, including Iranian boats and missile positions.”
Signs point to an American response already in progress:
Large amount of US airforce refuelling tankers just launched from Tel Aviv Israel.
— WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧 (@WarMonitor3) May 4, 2026
It appears the IRCG regards Trump’s slow economic strangulation via blockade as a bigger threat to their tenuous hold on power than American and Israel bombs falling on them. They’re probably correct in that assumption. The operational pause has allowed U.S. and Israeli forces to resupply and rearm, and I suspect we’ll soon see what military and regime assets are left to hit.
This is very much an in-progress post put up before the big fireworks kick off again.

Tags: Central Command (CENTCOM), Dubai, Foreign Policy, Iran, Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Israel, Jihad, Military, Navy, Operation Epic Fury, Strait of Hormuz, UAE
I confess that I don’t know why we don’t have a robust anti-missile defense in the UAE now. Talking with a UAE friend last month; they had no missile defense in the first few days and took dozens of hits.
Are we intercepting Iranians missiles launched at the UAE now?