Everybody Draw Mohammed Day

April 25th, 2010

Here’s an event I can get behind: Everybody Draw Mohammed Day on May 20.

If you’re not up on Comedy Central’s cowardly censorship of the latest South Park episode, this Mark Steyn piece will get you up to speed, as well as being full of the usual Mark Steyn goodness.

Just in case you haven’t seen it, here’s Jon Stewart on The Daily Show on the controversy:

The Daily Show With Jon Stewart Mon – Thurs 11p / 10c
South Park Death Threats
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show Full Episodes Political Humor Tea Party

And, of course, this is obligatory:

Updated: The blackboard quote for tonight’s episode of The Simpsons was “South Park: We’d be standing beside you if we weren’t so scared.”

Carbon Offsets Offsets

April 24th, 2010

Heh.

The “Mystery” of the Resilient Texas Economy

April 23rd, 2010

Daniel Gross on Slate and Mickey Kaus on his campaign website (he’s running against incumbent Barbara Boxer for the California Democratic Senate nomination) ruminate on why the Texas economy is so much more resilient than that of most states. Gross points out that Texas has successfully globalized our economy, that energy is more resistant to recessions than most industries, that high tech plays a bigger role than crude oil, and that the independent nature of the Texas Interconnect Grid meant Texas was able to deregulate its energy sector without having to play “mother may I” with the feds. Kaus argues that since Texas is a Right-to-Work state, we don’t have unreasonably powerful public sector unions to drive up budgets, and the lack of rigid work rules results in a more dynamic economy. All of which is true. However, being from the left, Gross and Kaus both miss one of the biggest reasons for Texas’ economic success:

Texas has no state income tax.

People want to move to Texas (and people already here want to stay) because we get to keep more of our own money. Not only does this make our economy more resilient during downturns, but it limits the size and scope of state government. Numerous studies have shown that high earners flee high-tax states for low-tax states. California and New Jersey’s loss is Texas’ gain. There’s a reason blue states are the ones hit hardest by the recession.

Liberals never bring this up because, well, big government and high taxes go hand in hand, and love of big government and its redistributionist policies are all the left have left these days. Even relatively sane anti-New Left liberals like Kaus want to believe that bigger government can improve people’s lives with the right reforms/cost controls/etc., which is why he favored the abomination that is ObamaCare.

Clueless liberals have been calling for a state income tax for decades. Indeed, when you see a newspaper editorial headlined with “Texas Needs a More [Equitable/Fair/Robust/Just] Tax System,” when you read it you see that what they want is an income tax, and what they really want is bigger government. It’s no wonder that when you look at the board of the pro-state income tax group Citizens for Tax Justice, their guiding board is filled with union cronies. State income taxes mean more money for public employee unions, which is why unions always push for higher taxes. (Are you reading, Mickey?)

Here’s a handy breakdown of the differences between California and Texas. Note that it only covers up to 2007; since then, the economic and budgetary picture for California has only deteriorated.

To be sure, the lack of a state income tax isn’t a cure-all panacea; Florida and Nevada are hurting badly in The Great Recession, mainly because they were among the hardest hit in the housing bubble collapse. But Nevada’s estimated $1.24 billion 2010 deficit, and Florida’s $6 billion shortfall, look positively Utopian next to the yawning chasm of California’s $41.6 billion deficit.

Despite liberal contention to the contrary, it is low tax states that have low budget deficits, and high tax states that have the largest problems, and the lack of a state income tax is a big contributing factor to state budget discipline. That’s unlikely to change, even when the current recession ends.

Edited to add: Here’s a fine piece by Kevin D. Williamson that appeared in National Review on why Texas is doing so comparatively well. I had read it when it came out last year, but didn’t realize it was now available online. Well worth reading.

Climategate Redux: A Look at the State of Play

April 19th, 2010

Between finishing my taxes and the House District 52 race, I’ve had precious little time to post updates on other issues, but despite my personal lacunae interesting developments in Climategate have been bubbling right along.

This piece in the Telegraph does a good job of covering some of the further revelations. One of the more interesting points:

“The first report centred directly on the IPCC itself. When several of the more alarmist claims in its most recent 2007 report were revealed to be wrong and without any scientific foundation, the official response, not least from the IPCC’s chairman, Dr Rajendra Pachauri, was to claim that everything in its report was ‘peer-reviewed’, having been confirmed by independent experts.

“But a new study put this claim to the test. A team of 40 researchers from 12 countries, led by a Canadian analyst Donna Laframboise, checked out every one of the 18,531 scientific sources cited in the mammoth 2007 report. Astonishingly, they found that nearly a third of them – 5,587 – were not peer-reviewed at all, but came from newspaper articles, student theses, even propaganda leaflets and press releases put out by green activists and lobby groups.”

And who would you get to provide an objective, disinterested analysis of IPCC claims? Why, obviously “chair of Falck Renewables, a firm that has wind farms across Europe, and chair of the Carbon Capture and Storage Association, ‘a lobby group which argues that carbon capture could become a $1 trillion industry by 2050.'” Who else? That’s like asking G. Gordon Liddy to perform a dispassionate, objective analysis of Watergate.

You would think that Climategate, the failure of the last “cap and trade” bill, the deep unpopularity of ObamaCare, and the continued poor jobs situation would conspire to prevent Democrats from pushing a huge, job-killing, tax-and-spend global warming bill. You would be wrong. Under the bipartisan fig-leaf of the ever more RINO-ish Lindsey Graham, Harry Reid and company are getting ready to unveil Cap-and-Trade Junior. And they plan to do it in secret, without all those messy public committee meetings. There doesn’t seem to be any limit to how low congressional Democrats are willing to drive their poll numbers in order to get the government’s fingers into as many economic pies as possible before the reckoning comes in November.

The battle over cap-and-trade, and Climategate, is far from over. If you know anyone in South Carolina, they should be ringing Graham’s phone off the hook to oppose this. Speaking of which, here’s the contact information for Graham’s offices off his official website:

Washington Office
290 Russell Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510
Main: (202) 224-5972

Upstate Regional Office
130 South Main St.
7th Floor
Greenville, SC 29601
Main: (864) 250-1417

Midlands Regional Office
508 Hampton Street
Suite 202
Columbia, SC 29201
Main: (803) 933-0112

Pee Dee Regional Office
McMillan Federal Building
401 West Evans Street, Suite 226B
Florence, SC 29501
Main: (843) 669-1505

Lowcountry Regional Office
530 Johnnie Dodds Boulevard, Suite 202
Mt. Pleasant, SC 29464
Main: (843) 849-3887

Piedmont Regional Office
140 East Main Street, Suite 110
Rock Hill, SC 29730
Main: (803) 366-2828

Golden Corner Regional Office
124 Exchange Street
Pendleton, SC 29678
Main: (864) 646-4090

Here’s the email form: http://lgraham.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Contact.EmailSenatorGraham.

Republicans to Gain 100 Seats in House?

April 14th, 2010

Sean Trende at Real Clear Politics suggests that Democrats could be in for a bigger shellacking this November than the suffered even in 1994.

A 1994-style scenario is probably the most likely outcome at this point. Moreover, it is well within the realm of possibility – not merely a far-fetched scenario – that Democratic losses could climb into the 80 or 90-seat range. The Democrats are sailing into a perfect storm of factors influencing a midterm election, and if the situation declines for them in the ensuing months, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Democratic losses eclipse 100 seats.

He foresees a bad economy, a controversial agenda (i.e, the deep unpopularity of runway spending in general and ObamaCare in specific) and the reversal of the 2006-2008 Democratic wins in traditionally Republican districts combining for a perfect storm of voter anger directed at the Democratic party.

Also this:

Remember, Republicans don’t need to win in Massachusetts for a landslide; they could pick up seventy seats without winning a single one in a Democratic-leaning district.

Certainly it’s too early for premature celebration; six months is a long time in politics. But there’s good reason for Republicans to be optimistic…if they don’t blow it.

If Michael Steele isn’t scrambling to make sure every Democratic incumbent has at least one Republican challenger for the general election, he’s not doing his job.

Gonzales Trounces Gordon

April 13th, 2010

Early returns have Larry Gonzales trouncing John Gordon by a sizable margin in the Texas House District 52 race. As of 8:34 PM, Gonzales had 2,519 votes to Gordon’s 1,096, with just under half the votes counted. I’m going to go out on a (very short) limb here and predict that Gonzales will win. (For my next shocking prediction: Obama will not balance the federal budget next year!) I like to think my endorsement had a tiny effect on the final outcome, but the vast majority of the difference is the fact that Larry Gonzales was a much better candidate, and ran a much better campaign.

I did have a chance to drop by Gonzales victory party on my way home, where a fellow attendee was able to snap this pic before both Larry and I had to rush off elsewhere:

Lawrence Person and winning candidate Larry Gonzales

I was only able to spend a few minute there, but in person he seemed just as smart and personable as he seemed via email. (In addition to politics, we talked about the early days of desktop publishing, his work dealing with the Texas legislature, and compared our iPhones.) Congratulations to Larry for a well-earned victory.

Now I have to get back back to finishing those pesky taxes…

Updated: Preliminary final results are even more a Gonzales landslide: Gonzales 3,601 (71.28%), Gordon 1,451 (28.72%), a fairly dramatic reversal considering that Gordon garnered a slight lead in the March primary.

Updated the Blog Roll

April 13th, 2010

I’ve added a few more sites to the blog roll, especially those focusing on local politics and gun rights. So feel free to give them some sweet link-clicking goodness.

Remember to Vote in the April 13 Republican Primary Runoff

April 12th, 2010

Here are poll locations for Williamson County voters.

And here’s where you can find them for Travis County.

BattleSwarm Blog endorses Larry Gonzales in the House District 52 Runoff

April 8th, 2010

Lawrence Person’s BattleSwarm Blog endorses Larry Gonzales over John Gordon in the House District 52 Republican Primary runoff on April 13th. I believe that Gonzales is the better candidate, will have a better chance of winning against Diana Maldonado, and will be a better Representative in the Texas House than Gordon would.

Because both Gonzales and Gordon have been unfailing courteous about answering my questions, I want to make clear that I’m making this decision without any animosity and based solely on the facts at my disposal. I do not know either gentlemen personally, I am not privy to the inner workings of the Williamson County Republican Party, and have no knowledge about either that cannot be gleaned from receiving their campaign literature and searching the internet. And because Gordon has been so cooperative, I feel it only fair to explain the reasons for my decision, and especially which factors were and were not important in making it.

The relative ideological beliefs of the two candidates was not a deciding factor. I do believe that Gordon is genuinely conservative, and should he win the nomination, I would vote for him over Maldonado. I believe that Gonzales is also a solidly conservative candidate, and I find the political differences between them fairly minor. In fact, on two of the issues Gordon points out as differences between himself and Gonzales (opposition to an RRISD bond election, and opposition to public sports subsidies), I would support the same position as Gordon. (On a third, the extension of drinking hours, being of a generally libertarian disposition I would have supported the same postion Gonzales did; I do not think government should have any role saving people from themselves). It is possible that Gordon might, say, pull the voting lever in the state house how I would 95 times out of a hundred, while Gonzales might only pull it how I would vote 93 times out of a hundred. This is, to my mind, too small a difference to worry over.

The recent mailers and the information on http://www.thetruejohngordon.com were not themselves decisive, in that they largely contained information I already knew. Indeed, since I’m endorsing his opponent, I would like to take the opportunity to bend over backwards to clarify which items were not a factor in my decision:

  • I’m not particularly bothered by the Randy Staudt lawsuit. Granted, I would be unlikely to do paying work for a close friend, and if I did anything more than a trivial amount of it, I’d certainly get a written contract. (The famous saying is that “A verbal contract isn’t worth the paper it’s written on.”) But if someone owed me $7,000, much less $24,000, you bet I would eventually take them to court if they didn’t pay up, friend or not.
  • Assuming Gordon’s account is correct, I approve of the lawsuit he filed against Round Rock ISD, as I do not feel any government entity should feel free to violate the open meeting act, especially for a major decision like buying land.
  • I don’t care that he’s racked up several speeding tickets. My guess would be that between 1997 and 2004, I probably racked up more myself.

All of that said, however, the sheer number of incidents, as well as the many others covered by http://www.thetruejohngordon.com, do point to the main reason I cannot endorse John Gordon, namely temperament. There’s nothing wrong with being spirited. There are many times when it is appropriate for a congressmen to be combative (see, for example, Newt Gingrich in 1994). However, Gordon seems not merely spirited or combative but abrasive, alienating not just his political opponents, but friends and fellow Republicans. Time and time again he’s proven a very poor judge of his own self-interest, pursuing confrontational strategies when a softer approach might have produced better results, and spending his time and effort fighting needless battles that could have been avoided.

Take, for example, that traffic stop video. If you want to avoid getting a ticket, the first rule is to be polite, friendly and non-threatening. After all, policemen and highway patrolmen are just doing their job. But one thing you do not do is say things like “Let me tell you what officer,” “Believe me, it will go all the way up” and state sarcastically “You’ve got to be kidding me!” Indeed, I would think that anyone over the age of about 25 (much less 60) should know that this approach is likely to achieve, shall we say, sub-optimal results. You’re not going to win a verbal pissing contest with a police officer at a traffic stop, and the fact that John Gordon evidently feels he needs to does not reflect kindly on his temperament or judgment.

You may very well beat a ticky-tacky charge like this in court, but acting like a jerk at the stop itself is pure mule-headed stupidity. Indeed, I’ve never gotten a ticket (or even been stopped) for such minor offenses; the fact that John Gordon has, and gets tickets for them, seems to suggest that he has something of a history with local law enforcement agencies. And while I heartily defend the right of the accused to demand jury trials for traffic infractions, the fact Gordon seems to have done so for every single ticket he’s received suggests that to him, winning is far more important than the time and money involved in going to court. An effective politician has to pick his battles; John Gordon seems to go out of his way to pick fights.

While having a boot put on my car (even in error) certainly wouldn’t make my day, no way would I go all Homer Simpson by taking a crowbar to the boot. Doing something like that suggests that Gordon suffers from dangerous levels of hot-hotheadedness. Nobody is above the law, and acting like you are won’t win you many friends.

Another incident that highlights his lack of judgment is his lawsuit over Alyssa Eacono’s residency requirements. Regardless of the technical merits of the case, it was obvious very early on that Larry Gonzales was going to be Gordon’s major opponent in the District 52 primary. Why spend the time, money, and effort (three of a candidate’s most precious commodities) to attack someone who wasn’t a major competitor? Suing Eacono instead of spending the same effort directly engaging Gonzales suggests very poor tactical sense.

And speaking of engaging Gonzales and poor tactics, I believe Gordon’s decision to make Gonzales’ campaign funding from Bob Perry his biggest attack issue was a major strategic blunder. Do I worry about Gonzales getting so much of his funding from Perry? Yeah. Slightly. A candidate’s financial backers are always a legitimate concern. But it’s not like he’s getting his money from George Soros. If you look at Perry’s campaign contribution recipients for this election cycle, 2008, or all the way back to 2000, the overwhelming majority of his contributions are to solidly conservative Republican candidates and causes (Phil Gramm, John Carter, etc.), with an occasional Democrat mixed in. If Gordon wanted to make Perry’s contributions a significant issue, he should have made the case exactly how and why Perry’s interests were inimical to those of Williamson County voters, not merely expect that an attack mailer showing Gonzales as a puppet would be sufficient to make that case for him.

And speaking of campaign finances, for someone who has spent so much time harping on his opponent’s campaign contributions, Gordon’s base of campaign contributors seems pretty small. If you add up all the individual contributors whose names don’t end in “Gordon” from all five of his campaign filings (7/13/09, 1/3/10, 1/27/10, 2/22/10, 4/5/10), you get a grand total of 35 names (and that includes “in kind” voter information from the Republican Party). There’s nothing wrong with self-financing your campaign, but for someone who’s harped on Gonzales’ contributions from outside the district and has made so much of his efforts building the Republican Party in Williamson County, Gordon supporters inside it seem remarkably thin on the ground.

By contrast, if you look at Gonzales’ reports for the same period of time, you get well over 150 individual contributors. Some of those are from out of district (San Antonio and Houston), and about five from out of state. However, Gonzales has more contributors from Round Rock alone (to say nothing of Georgetown, Austin, or Taylor) than Gordon has total.

I could go on to point out little things like the fact that the news and highlights section of his website still says “Content coming soon” more than a month after the primary as an example of poor attention to detail, but the central issue is still Gordon’s hot-headedness and lack of judgment. Even though the http://www.thetruejohngordon.com website contains little that attentive observers of the race didn’t already know, it is a very effective piece of negative campaigning because it gathers all those individual issues in one place and reinforces doubts many voters already had about him.

By contrast, Larry Gonzales is a thoughtful, intelligent and conservative candidate who has run a very smart (and, until the recent round of attack ads, very issue-based) campaign and garnered a broad base of Republican support. He seems more than capable of doing the job, and doesn’t come with Gordon’s baggage. I’ll be voting for Larry Gonzales in the House District 52 Primary runoff on April 13th, and encourage all District 52 voters to do the same.

House District 52 Attack Ads, Round 2: thetruejohngordon.com, and Gordon’s Response

April 3rd, 2010

I’ve been spending a fair amount of time covering the Larry Gonzales/John Gordon runoff for the Texas House District 52 race, mainly because I live in the district, and because of the relative paucity of local coverage. Hot on the heels of my interviews with Gonzales and Gordon, both of which covered Gordon’s attack mailers against Gonzales over getting the majority of his campaign funds from Houston developer Bob Perry, comes a two part-response from the Pro-Gonzales (or perhaps more accurately, anti-Gordon) camp: a 3-fold attack mailer and an associated website, http://www.thetruejohngordon.com, focusing on Gordon’s combative and litigious nature.

(Before we get into the meat of the matter, I’d like to clarify one point about attack ads and negative campaigning. Many a newspaper pundit wrings their hands and decries negative campaigning as ipso facto bad. I am not one of them. Negative campaigning is simply a fact of politics, defining your opponent is almost as important as defining yourself, and as long as a negative campaign is: A.) True, and B.) Effective, then it shouldn’t be shunned. Since the current round of District 52 attack ads stem from public records (campaign contribution records for the anti-Gonzales ads, court and police records for the anti-Gordon ads), they are, by definition, fair game, and simply part of the way American political campaigns in the 21st century are conducted. As Warren Zevon put it, “the name of the game is be hit and hit back.”)

The website and mailer complaints about Gordon boil down into three interrelated issues:

  1. That he is, to put it mildly, a hothead with an attitude problem.

    “Meet John Gordon — candidate for Texas State Representative, District 52, with a cranky complexion.” [“Complexion” isn’t the word you want there, guys; try “disposition.” -LP] “John Gordon’s testy temperament is well known throughout Williamson County…the angry and arrogant trouble-maker who threatened to ‘beat to pieces’ a candidate who had the nerve to file for office against the candidate he supported…The civilly disobedient, crusty curmudgeon who doesn’t respect authority by intentionally filing his ethics reports late.”

  2. That he’s litigious and has filed “many frivolous lawsuits.” The mailer lists three cases in particular, and the website covers more.
  3. That he has had several run-ins with law enforcement.

The website supports its accusations with numerous downloadable documentation, and a particularly damning traffic stop video in which Gordon sounds both combative and incredulous at being stopped. If you plan on voting in the District 52 run-off on April 13, I suggest looking them over.

I haven’t seen any newspapers mention the story yet, and the only blogs that seem to have done so are M. J. Samuelson’s Blue Dot Blues (also here) and Holly Hansen’s Smart Girl Politics. Hansen is a Gonzales supporter, and M. J. Samuelson has been fairly critical of Gordon.

Some background: The mailer and website are funded by the Texas 1836 PAC, which Texas Ethics Commission documents state is run by a Larry Massey of Houston. Assuming it’s the same person, Massey’s public Linked-In page says that he’s Executive Vice President of the Bank of Houston. A search of his campaign contribution records shows that he’s contributed to a number of conservative Republicans over the years.

I think the website and mailer do a good job making their case against Gordon. In the interest of fairness, and since he hasn’t put up any reply to it on his website, I asked John Gordon five questions about the case via email. (I did this last night right before I headed out the door to have dinner with friends, which is why I made one factual error about Larry Massey’s current employer.) My questions are in italics below, followed by Gordon’s responses.

1. Are the allegations made by the website and/or the mailer true?

Most are half-truths – excerpts without any surrounding facts.

2. If not, which would you say are in error and how?

ALL

BOOT ISSUE – March 1996 American Statesman story (Front Page) in which the City of Austin admitted that it did not have the right to issue up to 60,000 parking tickets (1993, 1994, & 1995) to the state employees in the Capitol complex area (including putting a boot on my truck).

Randy Staudt lawsuit – he actually pleaded to a settlement which awarded me $24,000 for his failure to pay what he owed me – then further proceedings were dismissed.

Traffic ticket on my wife – FAILURE TO PUT A TURN SIGNAL ON – she was in a Controlled Left Turn Lane turning under a green arrow. Policemen stopped the car on a four lane road without shoulder in the rain in traffic – PROSECUTOR upon hearing this dismissed the ticket.

TRO against RRISD – FOR VIOLATING THE OPEN MEETINGS ACT AND VOTING ON LAND PURCHASE IN CLOSED SESSION – RRISD went back and held three public meetings and voted in open session – I had the request for TRO dismissed after the RRISD corrected its violation of the open meetings act.

TRO/administrative case challenging the residency of Alyssa Eacono – after the testimony of the initial TRO hearing became public, Primary voters took care of the issue by giving Eacono 7% of the vote making further court action mute. Only after Eacono was eliminated by the voters was the case dropped.

Leo Wood filed the suit, not me, against the Republican Party County Chair Darryl Pool. Leo Wood on his candidate application had failed to write in his address. He was suing to get on the ballot and his “excuse” was me. (I was an aide to his opponent State Representative Mike Krusee at the time.) The judge disregarded his unsupported accusations against me but put him on the ballot because he had listed a residential zip code 78626 which was completely in District 52 in 1994.

3. The PAC in question is evidently operated by one Larry Massey, a Vice President at Frost Bank in Houston*. Do you know Mr. Massey, and do you have any idea why he has involved himself in the case? (*This is in error, as Massey evidently left Frost Bank and now works at the Bank of Houston.)

Have no idea who Larry Massey is. It does appear that Houston must want to control District 52 in Williamson County with Bob Perry already having spent $90,000 on Larry Gonzales’s campaign.

4. A great deal of evidential material on that site has been obtained from Round Rock, Williamson County, and other various government agencies. Is all of it accurate? Would all of it be available on a Freedom of Information request, or do you think any of it was improperly or illegally released?

I encourage you get to all the cases and read them in detail. Only one case involved money – and I won that one because Randy Staudt had refused to pay me what he owed me. In the RRISD case, I stopped the RRISD from violating the law. The other case challenged a candidate’s lack of residence. The 1994 case was filed by a person, Leo Wood, who failed to fill out his candidate application properly.

5. The information on that website and in the mailer does not always give the disposition of the cases involved. Of the various lawsuits and legal cases they list, can you name which, if any, you’ve won?

I essential won all three of the cases that I filed.
1. Randy Staudt settled and the award to me was a little over $24,000.
2. I won the point of the TRO when RRISD went back and held three public hearings and then voted in public on purchasing the land.
3. I won on the point of lack of residency when the newspapers printed the accounts of the sworn testimony from the TRO hearing – the public then voted based on the evidence that was presented in multiple newspaper articles spurred on by my following administrative procedure of challenging in District Court – County Chairmen do not have the authority to resolve the issue.

Once again, thanks to John Gordon for answering these questions.

I plan to have more about the Texas House District 52 race next week. Previous posts about it can be found here and here.

Update: When I can back from dinner, there were two more mailers (one 2-fold and one 3-fold) from the Texas 1836 PAC attacking Gordon in my mailbox. As they cover much the same information as the first one and the website, I don’t think I need do any more than note their presence here. But based strictly on volume, the pro-Gonzales/anti-Gordon forces seem very serious about winning the direct-mail ground war.