Posts Tagged ‘Democrats’

Tolerant Liberals Ban To Kill A Mockingbird

Sunday, November 15th, 2020

“Every record has been destroyed or falsified, every book rewritten, every picture has been repainted, every statue and street building has been renamed, every date has been altered. And the process is continuing day by day and minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Party is always right.”
— George Orwell, Nineteen Eighty-Four

The ideology that never tires of proclaiming its tolerance and how it rejects racism just banned two of the greatest anti-racist novels of 19th and 20th Century because the new religion of anti-racism demands they do so.

During a virtual meeting on Sept. 9, middle and high school English teachers in the Burbank Unified School District received a bit of surprising news: Until further notice, they would not be allowed to teach some of the books on their curriculum.

Five novels had been challenged in Burbank: Harper Lee’s “To Kill a Mockingbird,” Mark Twain’s “The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn,” John Steinbeck’s “Of Mice and Men,” Theodore Taylor’s “The Cay” and Mildred D. Taylor’s Newbery Medal-winning young-adult classic “Roll of Thunder, Hear My Cry.”

The challenges came from four parents (three of them Black) for alleged potential harm to the public-school district’s roughly 400 Black students [2.6% of the total enrollment]. All but “Huckleberry Finn” have been required reading in the BUSD….

And at its root, it stems from a painful personal story. Destiny Helligar, now 15 and in high school, recently told her mom about an incident that took place when she was a student at David Starr Jordan Middle School. According to Destiny’s mother, Carmenita Helligar, a white student approached Destiny in math class using a racial taunt including the N-word, which he’d learned from reading “Roll of Thunder, Hear My Cry.”

Another time, a different boy went up to Destiny and other students and said: “My family used to own your family and now I want a dollar from each of you for the week.” When the principal was notified, the boy’s excuse was that he had read it in class—also in “Roll of Thunder, Hear My Cry.” …

[T]he parents’ objections are not merely over language. They also worry about the way these books portray Black history and the lessons they might impart to modern readers.

“The Cay” and “Huckleberry Finn” feature white children learning from the suffering and wisdom of older Black men. “To Kill a Mockingbird” famously stars Atticus Finch, a white lawyer who defends a Black man accused of raping a white woman. Its white-savior story line reads much differently nearly 60 years after its publication.

“Reads differently” is the new codeword for “offends the sensibilities of the victimhood identity politics left.” To Kill a Mockingbird and The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn are two of the greatest antiracist novels in American literature, but that’s not enough for The Wokecult of Antiracism. And the excuse that somebody, somewhere might get their precious feelings hurt is a blank check excuse to ban anything, anywhere, at any time.

Back during the Kavanaugh hearings, many joked that Atticus Finch would be considered the villain of the novel today, because he disbelieved the story of a woman who claimed she had been raped. Little did we know that the left would start banning the novel for even stupider reasons.

If they can ban To Kill A Mockingbird for being racist, they can ban anything for being anything, because words have lost all descriptive power except for what serves the will of the Party at any given moment…

Joe Rogan on Antifa

Saturday, November 14th, 2020

Joe Rogan interviewed journalist Andy Ngo about Antifa earlier in the year. Here Rogan dings leftwingers who refuse to stand up against antifa violence.

“When you’re trying to enforce your own ideology on other people, and you have no tolerance for anybody with a differing opinion, particularly journalists, that is fascism.”

The full interview:

LinkSwarm for November 13, 2020

Friday, November 13th, 2020

Greetings, and welcome to a Friday he 13th LinkSwarm! I wonder what tricks the last Friday the 13th of 2020 could hold for us…

  • I’ll probably do another voting fraud update Monday, but here’s a quick state of play:

    The seven states still counting votes, or with recounts ordered, or audits forecast, or credible evidence of fraud or system “glitches” include:

    • Georgia’s 16 electoral votes under a scheduled recount.
    • Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes under a scheduled audit and a Supreme Court order.
    • Michigan’s 16 electoral votes with statehouse subpoenas for election officials.
    • Wisconsin’s 10 votes under a scheduled recount and statewide canvas.
    • Nevada’s six votes chasing legal challenges for fraud and a Bill Barr Justice Department investigation.
    • Arizona’s 11 votes still counting and under scrutiny for voter irregularities.
    • And Nebraska’s one electoral vote in their District 2 under investigation.
  • And now in graphic form:

  • Is Wall Street getting ready to move to Dallas?

    Texas Gov. Greg Abbott will welcome representatives from major stock exchanges, including Nasdaq, to Austin on Nov. 20 as the state makes a bid to be the top choice if the exchanges make good on threats to move their trading platforms out of New Jersey.

    The Dallas Morning News reported last month that the governor’s office was in talks with Nasdaq and other exchanges about moving data centers to Dallas that power billions of dollars in trades each day on Wall Street.

    The governor’s office confirmed the meeting, touting the state’s business-friendly environment.

    “Texas continues to be the premier economic destination in the country, attracting more leading businesses than any other state,” spokeswoman Renae Eze said in a statement to The News. “The governor looks forward to meeting with Nasdaq and showcasing Texas’ business-friendly environment, skilled workforce, robust infrastructure, and low taxes, all of which foster greater economic growth in the Lone Star State.”

    The downside is that this would make Dallas natives that much more insufferable… (Hat tip: Instapundit.)

  • Lessons from the election:

    The hidden Trump vote would appear to have thrown off the polls again — a phenomenon that illuminates the inhibited political ethos a punishing media has fostered in this country, where a significant swath of America quite understandably conceals its real views until it enters the privacy of the polling booth. The hidden Trump vote is a rebuke to the ruling class and its ambitions to control the minds of Americans through skewed and hectoring propaganda.

    Pollster Frank Luntz has said that his industry will collapse if Biden loses. No doubt many members of it are trembling over the prospect. Again, a squeaker for Biden, should it happen, doesn’t exonerate them. As things stand at the moment, the betting odds and forecasts are rapidly changing and bear no resemblance to the polling industry’s pre-election picture.

    Nor has the predicted demise of the Republican Senate come to pass. Whatever happens, this election can’t be characterized as the Blue Wave the elite had spent weeks expecting. Ironically, a Red Wave, with Hispanic voters riding it, crashed over the Democrats in Florida. That would suggest at least in one major state that the toxic identity politics of the Dems has backfired. How ironic it would be if the president, whom the Democrats have called a racist and xenophobe day in and day out for four years, should end up winning thanks to increased support from minorities unimpressed by that demagoguery. It would be an upending that Biden richly deserves. He has been utterly shameless in his race-based lying about the president, talking about saving the “soul of America” while engaged in the most cynical form of racial arson.

    It also appears that the Democrats have paid some price for running so far to the left. Kamala Harris, the most liberal member of the Senate, has been a dead weight on the ticket. It would be wonderful if she ends up costing Biden parts of the Rust Belt. After having spent decades pretending to be a moderate, Biden formed a Faustian bargain with the far Left and adopted many of its radical positions. He could have moved to the middle by selecting a less extreme running mate. Instead, he threw his lot in with Bernie, Kamala, and AOC.

  • More on the same theme:

    In the expectations game, the Democratic Party whiffed and whiffed badly. The Biden campaign and its allies managed to drive up turnout — but so did Trump. Republicans put up a hell of a fight, and not just, or even mainly, in the battle for the White House. Democrats have almost certainly failed to win a Senate majority, and so far they have lost some ground in the House as well (while still on track to maintain control of the lower chamber of Congress).

    That means that Biden is on track to be a weak, ineffectual president governing at the mercy of Mitch McConnell’s Machiavellian machinations.

    So much for the Democratic fantasy — the one that seemingly never dies — of unobstructed rule. Democrats didn’t just want to win and govern in the name of a deeply divided nation’s fractured sense of the common good. No, they wanted to lead a moral revolution, to transform the country — not only enacting a long list of new policies, but making a series of institutional changes that would entrench their power far into the future. Pack the Supreme Court. Add left-leaning states. Break up others to give the left huge margins in the Senate. Get rid of the Electoral College. Abolish the police. Rewrite the nation’s history, with white supremacy and racism placed “at the very center.” Ensure “equity” not just in opportunity but in outcomes. Hell, maybe they’d even establish a Truth and Reconciliation Commission to teach everyone who voted for or supported the 45th president just how evil they really are.

    No wonder so many Republicans turned out to vote. Democrats proved to be the most effective GOTV operation for the GOP imaginable.

    Yes, Trump and the Republican cheerleading section online and on cable news and talk radio harped on every extreme proposal. But this wasn’t just a function of the fallacy of composition, where one loony activist says something off the wall and the GOP amplifies it far beyond reason in order to tar the opposition unfairly. These were prominent Democrats — progressive politicians, activists, and scholars and prize-winning journalists at leading cultural institutions — talking this way. Joe Biden himself usually did the smart thing and tried to distance himself from the most radical proposals. But in the end it wasn’t enough to mollify fears of an ascendant left hell bent on entrenching itself in power and enacting institutional reforms that would enable it to lead a moral, political, and cultural revolution.

    And therein lies a paradox that should be obvious but apparently isn’t: Democrats live in a country with a large, passionate opposition. Arrogant talk of demographic inevitabilities and transformative changes to lock Republicans out of power in the name of “democracy” has the effect of inspiring that opposition to unite against them, rendering political success less assured and more tenuous.

    There will be no court packing. No added states. Nothing from the toxic progressive-fantasy wishlist will come anywhere close to passing. Instead, we will have grinding, obstructive gridlock. Some will demand that Biden push through progressive priorities by executive order. But every time he does — like every incident of urban rioting and looting, every effort to placate the left-wing “Squad” in the House, every micro-targeted identity-politics box-checking display of intersectional moral preening and finger-wagging — the country will move closer to witnessing a conservative backlash that results in Republicans taking control of the House and increasing their margin in the Senate in November 2022, rendering the Biden administration even more fully dead in the water.

  • Still more:

    On a House caucus call today, Democratic Representative Abigail Spanberger, reportedly in an agitated state, warned that Democrats “lost races we shouldn’t have lost.” She further claimed that “defund police almost cost me my race because of an attack ad. Don’t say socialism ever again. Need to get back to basics. . . . If we run this race again we will get f***ng torn apart again in 2022.”

    Elsewhere, former Missouri senator Claire McCaskill had this to say: “Whether you are talking guns or . . . abortion . . . or gay marriage and rights for ‘transsexuals’ and other people who we as a party ‘look after’ and make sure they are treated fairly. As we circled the issues we left voters behind and Republicans dove in.”

    I see other Democrats grousing today that their candidates in Florida and elsewhere were falsely labeled “socialist.” I’m sorry, if that’s not the message you want to send, perhaps Nancy Pelosi shouldn’t pose with a gaggle of Marxists on the cover of Rolling Stone. Perhaps Democrats should treat Bernie Sanders as a fringe crank rather than a comrade who’s just moving a tad too quickly. Maybe arguing “democratic” socialism is the good kind doesn’t quite do it for the folks in Des Moines.

    What are voters in Texas supposed to make of every major presidential Democrat presidential candidate, including Joe Biden, giving their blessing to the authoritarian Green New Deal? Boy, fact-checkers had to work overtime to help Biden walk back those endorsements of fracking bans, of defunding the police, and of confiscating guns.

    We may well have a president in a few months who says there are “at least three” genders. Which probably seems sane on Twitter, but less so in Jacksonville, Fla. McCaskill has already apologized for her use of the word “transsexuals.” Unlike progressive urban dwellers, one suspects the vast majority of suburban Americans have zero clue what McCaskill is sorry about. They may even believe that letting genetic boys compete with their daughters in track and field is ridiculous. They probably wouldn’t be crazy about being accused of being transphobic for taking this rational position.

  • “Why Twitter Won’t Let People Share Sworn Court Documents Alleging Voter Fraud.” I think “because the fix is in and Twitter is part of it” is sufficient explanation… (Hat tip: Director Blue.)
  • Illinois Democrats are even more screwed than usual because voters just rejected a constitutional amendment to create a progressive income tax.

    One of the most surprising results of the 2020 election was the defeat, in Illinois, of a state constitutional amendment to permit a progressive income tax. The Graduated Income Tax Amendment would have eliminated the Illinois constitutional requirement that tax rates remain flat across incomes. Its defeat is likely the most important political event for the state since I moved here 18 years ago. The proposed change in the state constitution was an effort by the dominant Democratic Party to continue its model of high taxes and high spending to support the base of its political muscle—public-sector unions. The party retains control of the legislature and the governor’s office, but it is politically cornered. Legislatively, it faces a choice between a reform agenda that would undermine its political base or a substantial tax increase on every working citizen.

    The amendment went down to defeat for two overriding reasons—one analytical, the other more emotional. The first was that the proposed tax increase was not connected to any steps that would address the structural problems in Illinois finances. Illinois has the nation’s worst bond rating, largely because of its enormous unfunded pension liabilities. But Governor J. B. Pritzker, after taking office in 2019, has proposed no serious pension reforms. Nor has he pursued a deregulatory agenda that would lead to higher economic growth rates that might service these liabilities. And worse still, in connection with the referendum, he did not agree to use a substantial portion of the additional revenue flowing from the progressive tax rates to pay down these liabilities. Instead, much of the new revenue would have been spent on new programs or expanding old ones. His promise to use a mere $100 million of the new lucre to pay down pension liabilities was an insult to Illinois taxpayers who would see another $4 billion extracted from their pocketbooks.

    The other reason for the amendments’ failure had to do with more stories of corruption coming out of Springfield. When state representatives are being indicted for extortion, citizens instinctively recoil at handing them more money. Even more problematic for the amendment’s prospects, it became clear that Michael Madigan—speaker of the house, chairman of the state Democratic Party, and undisputed power broker for the last three decades—was under investigation for getting ComEd, the state’s major utility, to hire some of his supporters in return for favors.

    That investigation underscores the real scandal in Illinois: not merely the illegal trading in favors but the more damaging legal trading. Public-sector unions support the Democratic Party in return for the party giving them sweetheart deals with the state. Unfunded pension liabilities are the consequence because many politicians hope to retire or move on to the federal level before the full bill comes due.

    (Hat tip: Stephen Green at Instapundit.)

  • West Virginia’s Democratic senator Joe Manchin says he won’t pack courts or end the filibuster. Maybe he should switch parties before he gets primaried by the hard left…
  • The Failing Business Model of American Universities:

    Put yourself in the shoes of the average college graduate today. It took you longer than expected to complete your “four-year degree” and you are almost $30,000 in debt. You are desperately searching for a job in your field before your student loan payments run you into the ground, assuming your rent and car payments don’t get you there first. The generations before you had student loan debt too, but not nearly to the same degree of an ever-present threat. How did you end up here, and what do you do now with the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic?

    The business model adopted by our academic institutions is increasingly at odds with those seeking higher education and with the broader society as well. It is undesirable to have entire generations unable to participate in the economy, and as of June 2020, contribute a staggering $1.67 trillion to the national debt according to the National Reserve. This is more than auto loan debt and almost twice the amount of credit card debt in the US. It is crucial to understand the various factors that led to this predicament and to recognize where the system went wrong in order to find solutions.

    The most obvious cause of this massive amount of debt is the continually rising cost of higher education. The College Board noted that in-state public college tuition from 1984 to 2014 increased by 225 percent. In the same timeframe, data from the US Census Bureau shows that the median family income has only increased by 24 percent, both figures accounting for inflation.

    Snip.

    So where is all this money going? While much of it goes to the salaries of faculty and the building and maintaining of facilities, a questionable amount goes to administration, another aspect of universities that has rapidly grown in recent decades. According to a 2014 Delta Cost Project report, the number of faculty and staff per administrator declined by roughly 40 percent at most types of colleges and universities between 1990 and 2012, now averaging around 2.5 faculty per administrator. In 2012, the number of faculty at public research institutions was nearly equal to the number of administrators.

    “The interesting thing about the administrative bloat in higher education is, literally, nobody knows who all these people are or what they’re doing,” says Todd Zywicki, a law professor at George Mason University and the author of a paper entitled: ‘The Changing of the Guard: The Political Economy of Administrative Bloat in American Higher Education.’ Vague titles for administrative positions at institutions of higher education include Health Promotion Specialist, Student Success Manager, Senior Coordinator, and Student Accountability Manager. While some administration positions are surely useful and arguably necessary such as Director of Student Financial Aid, Director of Academic Advising, or those positions added in response to federal and state mandates, the salaries of administrative positions have rapidly increased.

  • “Azerbaijan Says It Shot Down Russian Helicopter ‘By Mistake.'” Oopsie!
  • Apple unveils its new in-house design M1 chips for its Macintosh line.
  • Is the city of Austin trying to secretly stick a homeless shelter in north Austin? They evidently want to convert the Fairfield Inn on 183. The reviews for that place seem to have improved, but once it was infamous for reports of bedbugs…
  • Round Rock ISD election results. Three of the four candidates I endorsed won.
  • Complete Travis County election results.
  • The Tucker Abides.
  • All the reasons Quibi failed. Including only being available as a smart phone app (not on computers or TV) and “paying $6 million for Reese Witherspoon to do a voice-over for an animal show that nobody watched.” Also: Another failure for Meg Whitman.
  • Dreamhaven Books attacked (again). Owner Greg Ketter and another employee were attacked and robbed in the Minneapolis science fiction bookstore. This is the second attack on the store this year, as someone broke into the store and tried (unsuccessfully) to burn it down during the Antifa/BlackLivesMatter riots.
  • Girlfriend Keeps Referring To Herself As ‘Wife-Elect‘ Despite No Official Word From Boyfriend.”
  • Fifty years ago: Thar she blows!

  • Every MSM Outlet: Postal Voting Fraud Whistleblower Recants! Whistleblower: No I Didn’t!

    Thursday, November 12th, 2020

    We’ve reached the point in the post-election cycle where the mainstream media is so desperate to make Democrats’ election fraud for Joe Biden stick that they’re not just ignore election fraud stories, they’re outright lying about them.

    Take for example the recent news story of a U.S. postal worker whistleblower Richard Hopkins recanting his accusations of being instructed to backdate ballots.

    Just one tiny little flaw in the story: he did no such thing.

    Here’s an excerpt of a USPS official Russell Strasser trying to browbeat Hopkins into recanting.

    And here’s the full two-hour interrogation audio, which I haven’t listened to all of yet.

    The media will do anything to see trump defeated, even if it means outright lying in an attempt to cover up massive election fraud.

    Updated to add: The plot thickens:

    Three Cheers for Drug Legalization

    Tuesday, November 10th, 2020

    Let’s take a break from election results to look at an election result: Oregon decriminalized hard drugs:

    Oregon became the first state to decriminalize small amounts of cocaine, heroin, methamphetamine and other drugs on Election Day, according to New York Times’ Thomas Fuller. In South Dakota, Montana, Arizona and New Jersey, voters chose to legalize recreational marijuana. Mississippi also adopted an initiative to create a medical marijuana program for patients with debilitating conditions.

    These Election Day results effectively mean cannabis is now legal across a broad swatch of western states, from Arizona to Montana.

    Due to Oregon measure 110, the possession of small amounts of harder drugs like heroin and cocaine will now amount to a violation, similar to a traffic ticket. It is no longer punishable by jail time. The Oregon measure passed by 60 percent of the vote and serves to help treat people with addictions rather than giving them jail time.

    “This is the most significant reform in our nation’s failed drug policies in a generation,” The Executive Director of Drug Policy Alliance Kassandra Frederique told Washington Post’s Jaclyn Peiser. “It’s particularly significant because most people don’t realize that drug possession is the number one arrest in the country.”

    Reasons this is a good thing:

  • The purpose of government is not to protect people from themselves. Ending the war on drugs should theoretically free up resources for police to go after more important crime. (That is, if lunatic leftists don’t defund the police.)
  • Clearly previous drug war policies have not ended the problem. It’s time to try something else.
  • The states are intended to be laboratories of democracy. Let Oregon legalize hard drugs and let the other states observe results. Maybe things will get better (it’s possible crime may be lowered if there’s more jail space and resources to fight more serious crimes), and maybe they’ll get worse (Portland can become the junkie capital of the world).
  • Speaking of which, in a totally self-interested view, I think Austin residents should let every homeless adler know that Oregon has now decriminalized drugs…and provide them with bus schedules from Austin to Portland.
  • However, decriminalization is only a halfway measure that doesn’t break up illegal drug cartels, doesn’t prevent minors from getting hooked, and does nothing to prevent junkies from continuing to commit property crimes to continue feeding their habit. Legalization and regulation of the drug trade are the far more promising avenues to reducing crime and drug abuse that simple decriminalization. There are myriad possible ways to test different carrot-and-stick measures (like legalized drug use licenses…but only for the employed; welfare recipients need not apply) to see which works best.

    I fully believe that drug prohibition should be ended at the federal level because it’s not an enumerated power of the federal government. Let each state decide its own approach to narcotics and look at the resulting data to see what policy mixture works best.

    Election Fraud Update for November 9, 2020

    Monday, November 9th, 2020

    I trust you saw my Benford’s Law post from yesterday. Here’s a roundup of current election fraud news:

  • A state of play thread.

    Read the whole thread.

  • In Detroit, Republican poll watchers were prevented from carrying out their duties.
  • Evidence:

  • Undeniable mathematical evidence of voting fraud:

    In both Michigan and Wisconsin, several vote dumps occurred at approximately 4am on Wednesday morning, which showed that Joe Biden received almost 100 percent of the votes. President Trump was leading by hundreds of thousands of votes in both states as America went to sleep, and turnout in the state of Wisconsin seems to be particularly impossible.

    With absentee ballots, former vice-president Joe Biden was also up 60 points in Pennsylvania and almost 40 points in Michigan According to the New York Times. Comparably, Biden was only up single digits in absentee voting in most other battleground states. Wisconsin has not yet been reported.

    Elections officials in Michigan and Wisconsin could not explain Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s sudden and dramatic vote tally increase that occurred in both states Wednesday morning.

    When asked at a Wednesday press conference how this occurred, Michigan Department of State spokesperson Aneta Kiersnowski told reporters “We cannot speculate as to why the results lean one way or another.”

    This is particularly concerning considering republicans led in mail-in ballots requested and mail-in and in-person ballots returned leading up to and at the start of election day.

    According to NBC News on election day before the polls opened, In Michigan, Republicans led 41% to 39% in Mail-in Ballots requested. Republicans also led 42% to 39% with Mail-in and in-person ballots returned.

    In Wisconsin on election day before the polls opened, Republicans led Mail-in Ballots requested 43% to 35%, and Mail-in and early in-person ballots returned 43% to 35%. Almost ALL of the ballots found, while most in the country were sleeping, after they officials stated they would stop counting, were for Joe Biden.

    
    (Hat tip: Director Blue.)

  • Detroit Democrats evidently pulled out all the stops in the fraud machine:

  • Thread on the security deficiencies in the “Dominion” voting software used in so many states:

    Read the whole thread, as there are a lot of attack surfaces there….

  • Rudy Giuliani claims there’s enough evidence to change the outcome, and it will all come out in court. (Hat tip: Stephen Green at Instapundit.)
  • A list of the lawsuits the Trump team has filed over election fraud.
  • Even if Democrats make their presidential fraud stick, it came at a high price:

    But even if Trump does lose, it may be a blessing in disguise for Republicans.

    The result has crushed Democratic expectations of a clean sweep. It wasn’t a landslide win against an unpopular president, as we had been told so confidently for months.

    If Biden wins, it will be by the narrowest margin.

    And all the hundreds of millions spent on retaking the Senate came to nothing, with the Republicans looking to hold onto their lead. The top targets, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Sen. Lindsey ­Graham, survived easily.

    The fatal miscalculations of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in cynically refusing to negotiate on the latest stimulus bill have cost the Democrats dearly in the House, where they have gone backward by at least six seats. They did not manage to get rid of a single Republican. So much for the blue wave.

    The failure means that in 2022, the House is more likely to revert to Republican control, setting up a lame-duck presidency.

    The Democrats won’t be able to pack the Supreme Court, abolish the Electoral College or make DC and Puerto Rico states. They will struggle to impose the Green New Deal.

    Unfortunately, nothing can be done to stop a President Biden-Harris repeat of the geopolitical errors of the Obama presidency, such as appeasing China and Iran’s mullahs and signing onto the Paris climate accord.

    But a President Biden in cognitive decline will sooner or later be replaced by his unpopular, untested vice president, Kamala Harris.

    Saddled with a recession and policies that will only exacerbate economic decline, the next four years will hobble Democrats.

  • Sarah Hoyt says not to panic:

    They’re scared.

    Oh, not the sheep on the streets. They fell for it, just like they fell for “two million dead from covid.” But the higher-ups, they’re scared.

    Years ago, during the ’04 election, a friend told me the Democrats always get louder and more triumphalist when they’re losing. I’ve observed this is true, since then.

    So, step down from the ledge. Go take a shower. Have some real food. Eat a vegetable. Ease up on the coffee. Go for a walk.

    And don’t fall for the blue smokescreen

  • “In Apparent Glitch, Voting Machines Hunt Down And Murder Trump Supporters.” “This is just a small, routine error, and we are looking into it,” said one official. “There’s nothing to be concerned about. These kinds of small mistakes happen from time to time, and it will be corrected soon.”
  • Benford’s Law Shows Biden Vote Fraud

    Sunday, November 8th, 2020

    I was just going to include this in Monday’s state-of-play voting fraud roundup, but since I found out that Facebook is blocking access to one of the source articles, literally preventing you from posting a link to it (I tested), saying that it “this link goes against our community standards.” So I decided to do this post to let you have something you can share on Facebook.

    The first link I saw on the topic was this GitHub piece forwarded to me by reader Brandon Byers, who noted “the Wikipedia entry for Benford’s Law was edited 11/5 in order to downplay its usefulness in detecting election fraud.” It appears that a lengthy edit war is still going on there. The author is one “cjph8914”; no idea who it is; GtHub is a code repository system that anyone can sign up for and use.

    Benford’s Law, also called the Newcomb–Benford law, the law of anomalous numbers, or the first-digit law, is an observation about the frequency distribution of leading digits in many real-life sets of numerical data. The law states that in many naturally occurring collections of numbers, the leading digit is likely to be small. For example, in sets that obey the law, the number 1 appears as the leading significant digit about 30% of the time, while 9 appears as the leading significant digit less than 5% of the time. If the digits were distributed uniformly, they would each occur about 11.1% of the time. Benford’s law also makes predictions about the distribution of second digits, third digits, digit combinations, and so on.

    This GNews piece by “Himalaya Australia” makes much the same argument, and is the one that Facebook is blocking: “As the vote counting for the 2020 Presidential Election continues, various facts suggest rampant frauds in Joe Biden’s votes. So does mathematics in terms of the votes from precincts.”

    Wikipedia description snipped.

    However, in the Milwaukee County of Wisconsin, which is in one of the key swing states, Joe Biden’s votes violate Benford’s Law while other candidates’ don’t. (Joe Biden 69.4%, Donald Trump 29.4%, Jo Jorgensen 0.9%. Source: theguardian.com)

    Here’s a YouTube video that explains the basic concepts of Benford’s Law:

    Here’s a YouTube video that basically covers the GitHub piece, which covers other urban areas where it appears Biden’s vote total violates Benford’s Law:

    I am not a statistician or a mathematician, but this does seem to make a good case for pro-Biden vote fraud in some urban areas.

    Try posting this to Facebook. I wonder how many hits I’ll have to get before someone there tries to block it…

    Morning Election Aftermath

    Wednesday, November 4th, 2020

    Last night’s declaration that Trump was winning beyond the margin of fraud may have been optimistic.

    Somehow, in the middle of the night, election officials in the Democratic stronghold of Milwaukee, Wisconsin, managed to find over 100,000 absentee votes that flipped the state from Trump to Biden, where Biden is now some 20,000 votes ahead.

    Similarly, a large number of Michigan ballots have also narrowed Trump’s lead to a razor thin margin of just over 9,000 votes. It may all come down to Trump holding Michigan.

    This year’s polls seemed even more off than they were in 2016.

    Trump still has something like a 600,000 vote lead in Pennsylvania, a 70,000 vote lead in North Carolina (with 99%+ of the votes in there), and over a 100,000 vote lead in Georgia (also with 99%+ of the vote in there).

    Nevada was also called for Biden, but Trump is less than 8,000 votes behind there.

    It looks like Republicans are going to hold the Senate, right now losing a net of one seat (Democrats pick up Colorado and Arizona, Republicans pick up Alabama), but if John James wins in Michigan, the mostly likely outcome is the exact same partisan split as today. Republican Susan Collins retained her senate seat in Maine.

    Republicans are currently netting small gains in the House, but it looks like Democrats will maintain control. In Texas, Republican incumbent John Cornyn easily defeated M. J. Hegar, marking the second election in a row Hegar has lost.

    Democrats did not pick up a single U.S. House seat in Texas. Republican Tony Gonzalez held Texas 23rd congressional district, defeating Gina Ortiz Jones. Republican incumbent Chip Roy beat Wendy Davis, despite national attention and fundraising for Davis. That’s two high profile races Davis has managed to lose.

    Republican’s retain control of both Texas House and Senate.

    Some tweets:

    More later.

    Update: Shit. While I was eating breakfast, Decision Desk flipped Michigan to Biden.

    Liveblogging the 2020 Election

    Tuesday, November 3rd, 2020

    OK, it’s almost 12:30 AM, and here’s the way I see it:

    Georgia and Montana are gimmes for Trump.

    Trump will win Pennsylvania; I think he’s up some 700,000 votes, too far beyond the margin of fraud
    Trump will win Michigan: he’s up 280,000 votes there
    Trump will win North Carolina; he’s up over 100,000 with over 99% of the vote in.

    That’s enough to put him over the top.

    Trump is up over 100,000 over Wisconsin. But he doesn’t even need that to win if the above are correct.

    I predict President Trump has been reelected.


    Trump is up some 675,000 votes in Pennsylvania.

    That may be a lead outside the range of fraud.


    Trump’s total in Pennsylvania just keeps going up.


    ABC finally admits that Trump won Florida.



    Trump still up in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.


    Jodi Ernst wins.


    John James (R) up 330,000 in MI SEN.



    Trump still up in Virginia.


    Hmmm:


    Trump still up in Michigan.



    Texas House not flipping.


    Trump back up in Iowa.

  • Trump still winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.


    Biden finally up in Maine, but Susan Collins looks headed to reelection.


    Counterpoint:


  • Decision Desk calls Ohio for Trump.


    They’re calling Arizona to Biden. That’s a pickup for him.


    Chip Roy takes the lead over Wendy Davis.


    M.J. Hegar concedes in TX-SEN.


    Biden up in Iowa, Trump up in Michigan and Virginia.

    Trump up HUGE in Pennsylvania,

    This is a weird election to figure out.



    Trump up by 40,000 votes in North Carolina.

    WAY up in Pennsylvania with 30+% of the vote in.


    ABC projecting Biden takes New Hampshire.


    Many, CBS Austin has some amazingly bad kerning on “2020.”


    Chip Roy back within 2000 votes of Wendy Davis.



    Biden up in Arizona.



    Trump up in Wisconsin with 30% of the vote in.

    Republican John James is up BIG in Michigan.


    Trump seems to be running ahead of where he was in 2016 in Florida and Michigan, and behind where he was in Texas and Ohio.


    Biden under-performing Beto in Hays and Williamson counties.


    Lindsey Graham up in South Carolina.

    Trump still up by 17 points in Michigan.


    CNN Promises Not To Call The Race Unless Biden Is Ahead


    Trump takes North Dakota, South Carolina.


    Crenshaw winning, Hunt behind by 7,000 votes.


    ABC Projects John Cornyn wins TX SEN.


    McCaul up by only 2% in TX10.



    Gonzalez (R) still ahead in TX-23.


    Chip Roy behind with 56% of the vote in for TX-21.


    John Carter winning in TX-31.


    Strike that. Trump finally up in Texas.


    Trump leading in Michigan, Biden up slightly in Texas, but way too early to call.


    Williamson County Sheriff Chody (R) going down to defeat.


    Some talk of Biden overperforming in Ohio with 50% of the vote in.


    Biden pulling in a whopping 28% in Arkansas. 9% in.


    Virginia in play?


    Trump up by 18% in Michigan, but only 8% of vote in,


    Perdue is slaughtering Ossoff.


    Bad bad boys, or more Philly vote fraud.


    Cocaine Mitch wins.

    Also Haggerty:


    Austin update:

    Crap. Prop A is leading and Prop B has passed.

    Casar winning, alas. But Flannigan is heading for a runoff.


    Fox calls Indiana for Trump.


    Florida news:

    That’s Florida at 54%, but NC at only 1% results, so they’re not exactly equal.


    6:08 PM CST: Some early calls:

    Vermont goes to Biden.


    Expect the newest updates up top.


    Just a placeholder now. I’ll get started in earnest after 7 PM or so.

  • Special Election Day LinkSwarm

    Tuesday, November 3rd, 2020

    Greetings, and welcome to a special Election Day LinkSwarm!

  • Late breaking polls have Trump up in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and New Hampshire. (Hat tip: Stephen Green at Instapundit.)
  • Democrats are freaking out about Pennsylvania.
  • Which is why Democrats may try to steal the state through vote fraud.
  • Biden-Harris goes full Godwin.
  • People are evidently worried that “mostly peaceful protestors” will burn parts of the country down.
  • Trump is doing better with blacks and Hispanics than four years ago:

    In 2016, Donald Trump got a lower share of the white vote than the previous Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, and white turnout was stagnant as compared to 2012. Trump was able to win nonetheless because he got a higher share of Black and Hispanic voters than his predecessor — up roughly 3 percentage points with African Americans and 2 percentage points with Hispanics — helping tilt pivotal races in states such as Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania toward Trump.

    That is, it was minorities, not whites, who proved more decisive for Trump’s victory.

    Going into Election Day in 2020, Trump seems poised to do even better with minority voters. His gains in the polling have been highly consistent and broad-based among Blacks and Hispanics — with male voters and female voters, the young and the old, educated and uneducated. Overall, Trump is polling about 10 percentage points higher with African Americans than he did in 2016, and 14 percentage points higher with Hispanics.

    It may be that many minority voters simply do not view some of his controversial comments and policies as racist. Too often, scholars try to test whether something is racist by looking exclusively at whether the rhetoric or proposals they disagree with resonate with whites. They frequently don’t even bother to test whether they might appeal to minorities, as well.

    Yet when they do, the results tend to be surprising. For instance, one recent study presented white, Black and Hispanic voters with messages the researchers considered to be racial “dog whistles,” or coded language that signals commitment to white supremacy. It turned out that the messages resonated just as strongly with Blacks as they did with whites. Hispanics responded even more warmly to the rhetoric about crime and immigration than other racial groups.

  • It seems that everyone in the country except polling companies expect a big Trump victory today:

  • In South Carolina, Jaime Harrison is this year’s Beto O’Rourke. “Harrison has raised, and spent, more than any other Senate candidate in U.S. history — ‘as of Oct. 14, Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison had raised more than $108 million and spent more than $105 million in his quest to unseat U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham’ with another $13 million in outside spending hitting Graham.” And he’s still behind Graham in the polls.
  • Biden wants to disarm working class gun owners.
  • “Hillary Clinton, who thinks the Electoral College should be eliminated, will be an Electoral College elector for this election.”
  • Now go vote, if you haven’t already!

  • Williamson County Voting Locations.
  • Travis County Voting Locations.
  • Also, I intend to be live-blogging/live-tweeting election returns starting about 7 PM tonight. Tune in for what promises to be a host of ridiculous typos.