Every four years, the Texas Democratic Party has to offer up a gubernatorial candidate to get slaughtered by the Republican nominee. Beto O’Rourke lost to incumbent Greg Abbott by over 800,000 votes in 2022, and Abbott’s two previous opponents, Lupe Valdez (2018) and Wendy “Abortion Barbie” Davis (2014) didn’t even get that close. Davis was a state senator, and Lupe Valdez a Dallas County sheriff, and now another leftwing female official unknown statewide has decided to step up to the butcher’s block.
State Rep. Gina Hinojosa (D-Austin) is running for governor and not seeking re-election to the Texas House after nearly a decade serving in the Legislature.
Boilerplate liberal blather snipped.
She rolled out endorsements from over thirty of her Democratic colleagues, four state senators, and seven congressional members — including U.S. Reps. Lloyd Doggett (D-TX-37), Greg Casar (D-TX-35), Jasmine Crockett (D-TX-30), Veronica Escobar (D-TX-16), Sylvia Garcia (D-TX-29), Vicente Gonzalez (D-TX-34), and Julie Johnson (D-TX-32).
Quite a collection of the Texas radical left.
Before Hinojosa launched her bid for the Texas House in 2015, she served as president of the Austin Independent School District Board (AISD) for three years. In a short-lived online feud between the two over ESAs, Abbott referenced Hinojosa’s position, stating, “Can we really trust the former head of the woke Austin school board to give us the facts about our children’s education?” That followed Hinojosa challenging Abbott to “Call me a liar to my face.”
According to her special session reports, Hinojosa raised a little over $4,366, spent $51,191, and reported $24,235 cash on hand; she pulled in around $50,000 during the two special sessions this summer.
By comparison, Abbott raised over $20 million, spent over $3 million, and reported over $86 million on cash on hand for the same time period. After two special session fundraising reports, Abbott now likely sits close to $90 million cash on hand.
So right out of the gate Abbott has her financially outgunned by four orders of magnitude. And unlike O’Rourke, she doesn’t have a cushy national fundraising network and hordes of fawning national mainstream media profiles to fall back on.
Kim Snyder, Campaign Manager of Texas For Greg Abbott, responded to Hinojosa’s campaign launch to The Texan, stating “Gina Hinojosa has proven that she is out of step with Texans. She sides with the defund-the-police movement, supports men competing in women’s sports, backs harmful child modification procedures, embraces reckless open border policies, and opposes critical bail reform that keeps dangerous criminals behind bars.
“Time and again, Gina Hinojosa chooses woke, extreme ideologies over the safety and security of Texas families. Texans deserve a Governor who will continue to secure the border, fight for safer communities, and uphold family values — not someone who supports failed, radical policies that hurt hardworking Texas,” Snyder concluded.
Hinojosa’s HD 49, comprised of a portion of Travis County, is comfortably Democratic with a rating of D-82% per The Texan’s Texas Partisan Index.
The more in-tune with Travis County’s left-wing social justice base, the more out-of-step with Texas as a whole. Right now her only real opponent in the Democratic primary is Andrew White, who couldn’t beat out non-entity Lupe Valdez in the 2018 race.
Also: “Prior to becoming a state legislator, Hinojosa worked for the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees.” Presumably AFSCME will be tossing some coins into her beggar’s bowl in memory of past service, but I don’t see a whole lot outside of Austin and the usual liberal Texas millionaires and law firms putting good money after bad in what is overwhelmingly likely to be a losing effort.
In terms of profile, state Senator Davis should be the closest analog to state Representative Hinojosa, except Davis’ abortion antics had already given her a national profile, so she raised a lot of money for her poorly run campaign. (And if you wonder what Davis is up to these days, she’s working for George Soros.)
The Lupe Valdez campaign is probably a more apt point of comparison. At one point in July of 2018, Abbott had 120 times cash on hand than Valdez had. I would expect Hinojosa to do a better job of fundraising than Valdez…but not that much better.
And Lupe Valdez lost to Abbott by over a million votes.
The last time Democrats came even within 500,000 votes of a Republican for Governor was the weird, 4-way 2006 race against Rick Perry by Chris Bell, (then) Carole Keeton Strayhorn, and Kinky Friedman. The last time before that was George W. Bush unseating Ann Richards in 1994.
This feels an awful lot like the 2012 Texas Senate race, where Democrats managed to coax former state Rep. Paul Sadler into the race to avoid having a complete unknown like Sean Hubbard or Grady Yarbrough lead the ticket. As a reward for stepping up, Sadler lost to Ted Cruz by over a million votes. And Sadler wasn’t nearly as far left as Hinojosa.
Expect Gina Hinojosa to lose to Greg Abbott by similar margins.