In our previous examination of Sig Sauer’s P320 uncommanded discharges issue, a whole lot of commenters seem to get hung up on the screw, ignoring the methodology that Wyoming Gun Project laid out in his video. Well, it is a 40 minute video, and maybe he didn’t explain the preconditions for the failure mode he was trying to demonstrate well enough.
Well, here’s a 20 minute video by Shadetree Armorer that explains, in much clearer detail, the part failures the screw simulates before the loose slide come into play.
For legal reasons, he says to add “allegedly” every seven words or so.
“This is meant to be a summary with some connecting tissue uniting the whole so you can understand the big picture.”
“Despite what Sig may publicly claim about the P320, it relies on exactly two things to not go off, and the trigger isn’t one of them.”
“The first thing the P320 relies on is the sear. It is important to note that, unlike a Glock or even a 1911, there is no feature or device that blocks movement of the sear when the trigger is not pressed to the rear.”
“It is floating on two coil springs. These two coil springs and by way of geometry, pressure from the striker spring, are the only thing holding the sear in place.”
“The second thing that the P320 relies on is the safety lock, more commonly referred to as the striker safety or striker safety lever, which is held in place with a torsion spring. So, in order for a SIG P320 to discharge without a trigger pull, both the sear and striker lock must move, and those things are only prevented from moving by spring force.”
“The firing pin safety, that part was designed to be stamped. Someone in finance was like, ‘Hey, let’s save like $30 per pistol.’ So, a bunch of parts that were designed to be stamped end up becoming MIMed [Metal Injection Molded], which includes that striker safety. So, what’s the difference between stamping and MIMD in terms of safety and quality? With MIMing, once in a while, you might run into bubbles in the safety lever. If the bubbles break, then you have a problem where it shears off, the striker goes forwards.”
“With safety levers in particular, if there’s a wear issue, the striker goes forwards and the safety lever saves you a few times. There’s a possibility that it’ll break after a few instances of it happening. Out of the box, if you have a good one, the pistol should be safe, which is why the majority of 320s haven’t gone off. But if you have a bad one out of the factory or if you drop it too many times, then you might have a problem.”
This, by itself, is not enough for an uncommanded discharge. “You also need a sear issue.”
Next up: The FBI Ballistic Research Facilities report on a Michigan State Police P320. Quoting from page 29:
Because of the inherent movement between the slide and frame, a third test of the striker safety lock was conducted. Approximately 50 attempts were made to determine if the striker would impact the prime case after manipulating the weapon while holstered. The weapon was pressed together and pulled apart at the slide and frame. Thereafter, pressure was applied to the frame and the sear manually released from the primary notch. The intent of the manipulation and pressure was to mimic what might occur to a holstered weapon during an officer’s duties, such as running, jumping, climbing, fighting, pressing a weapon against a wall or vehicle, or obtaining a master grip on the pistol prior to drawing, etc.
BRF staff observed the prime case fired on nine attempts, with the primer indent measuring between 019 and 0026 of an inch with, an average of 023. While staging one attempt to allow another BRF staff member to observe the striker safety lock function as designed, the weapon was prepared and placed in the holster with no manipulation. A second staff member released the primary sear notch from the striker and the prime case fired, indicating failure of the striker safety lock.
“The important thing to take away here is that the striker safety in the examined firearm was able to be defeated by simply jostling the P320 in the holster, as would be expected to happen for any firearm carried in the holster throughout the day.”
Following the airman’s death, the Air Force released instructions on checking the striker safety in each gun. “The Air Force does not trust the striker safety lock either. They also mentioned specifically to check for proper assembly.”
“So, we have good reason to believe that the striker safety design is compromised and ineffective. Anecdotally, I have also heard reports elsewhere that it is sometimes assembled incorrectly from the factory, with one leg of the torsion spring being dislodged.
“I have also heard anecdotal reports that fouling such as carbon, unburnt powder and brass shavings can overwhelm the spring, and as a result the safety lever sticks in the upwards defeated position. My perspective on this is that the design seems to allow for a lot of surface area for fouling to build up when compared to the typical round plunger design.”
“There does not seem to be a singular problem with this safety lever. Rather, there are allegedly a lot of problems.”
“Why did SIG choose this design? Well, it is very compact and it saves having to cut a pocket in the slide for a striker safety plunger design like Glock, Smith and Wesson, and pretty much every other striker fired pistol use.”
The P365 doesn’t use safety lever design of the P320.
“The second thing that needs to happen for a P320 to discharge without a trigger pull is that the sear needs to release the striker. Now, you’re never going to guess. It looks like there’s multiple alleged ways for this to happen as well. And they can combine and get worse, just like the striker safety lever issues.”
“First, it seems as though there’s the potential for the takedown lever for large frame guns, that is 10mm and .45ACP, to get mixed up with the takedown lever for small frame guns. Whether this has happened in factory guns has yet to be seen. However, one of the most stalwart defenders of the P320’s honor, Grey Guns, has put out a notice stating that this combination of parts can create an unsafe condition.”
“I won’t get too into the weeds, but the take down lever is what allows the P320 to be disassembled without a trigger press. And it does this by lowering the sear via an arm. For whatever reason, Sig designed the large frame and small frame pre-P320 takedown levers to fit interchangeably. But importantly, the large frame takedown lever reduces the sear engagement in the small frame guns when it is in the assembled and ready to fire position.”
“The second way this can allegedly happen is poor surface finishes, or geometry of the interface between the striker and sear. Because nothing forces the P320 sear to fully engage in the way that the drop safety slot in a Glock trigger housing forces the Glock trigger bar to fully engage the striker, we are again reliant on spring pressure combined with a bit of geometry. However, should the geometry be off or a poor surface finish, or a burr be present in the sliding searsurfaces, these parts can get hung up, resulting in reduced sear engagement.”
“The FBI BRF’s report of the MSP320 that discharged in a holster found that one of the sliding sear surfaces had a ledge. And the US Air Force’s supplemental inspection criteria released on July 22nd specifically calls out the sear and striker assembly as areas to look for damage.”
“The third way that the sear and striker engagement can be reduced is by fouling or debris. That’s a bigger subject that we’re going to get to later because it affects all P320 pistols.”
“The important thing to note is that none of these problems are enough on their own to make the sear release the stiker uncommanded.”
“I was reminded of the Swiss cheese safety model by Gen Y Revolver Guy on Arfcom.” In which only when several problems occur at once, passing through different Swiss cheese holes, does the problem occur when all the holes (flaws) happen to line up. “That final piece of Swiss cheese in this situation, which all the issues I’ve covered combine with, is excessive movement between the slide and frame that seems endemic to the P320 platform. In particular, the slide can move up and down relative to the frame, which is enough to shift the sear engagement. And combined with one or more of the three aforementioned issues of incorrect takedown levers, bad sear surfaces, or firing debris, this can be enough for the sear to let go of the striker entirely.”
Now the part most immediately relevant to this previous post. “In these videos from Wyoming Gun Project, the loose slide to frame fit is demonstrated as well as the ability for that slide movement to release the striker when the striker engagement is reduced. It’s important to note that he set his P320 up to have reduced striker engagement by using a screw to pull the trigger to the rear a small amount past the wall in the travel after the takeup. And the takeup also serves to defeat the striker safety lever. So those two issues are simulated here while the third issue loose slide to frame fit is demonstrated.” Those who still don’t understand the purpose of the screw should read and reread that section until they do understand.
“It’s not simulating a screw getting stuck in the trigger. It’s a static and repeatable simulation of other known issues.”
Back to the debris issue. “The design of the P320 seems particularly susceptible to capturing environmental debris between the sear slide and striker. Indeed, these parts all combine to form a pocket. And if the pistol is carried muzzled down in a holster, the bottom of that pocket is a place where fouling and debris can accumulate.”
“Worse, there’s a gap between the frame and the slide directly above that pocket through which things from the environment can fall into.”
“This video from YouTuber Mischief Machine demonstrates that if the area is fouled with unburnt powder and brass shavings, the sear engagement can be reduced to the point that the slide movement will release the striker.”
Once Mischief Machine inserts the debris with the strike safety already simulated off, he gets the gun to discharge by tugging on the slide.
Again, the P365 doesn’t suffer from this P320 design flaw.
“I think that tidies up things nicely for this P320 saga. It’s pretty obvious what the problems are. The FBI and the US Air Force both seem to be on the same trail, and I honestly don’t think SIG has a realistic chance of fixing all the problems.”
“I think their only option at this point may be bankruptcy, which is why they are pushing so hard with the PR spin to gaslight everyone.”
Shadetree Armorer also points to YouTuber Dick Fairburn’s SIG P320 An unfolding Disaster, which I haven’t had a chance to watch yet (it’s another 40 minute video, and seems heavy on talk and light on illustrations).
I had no intention of doing another Sig P320 post so soon after the last one, but the video was so informative on the (alleged) flaws, and so clear on things people seem to be getting hung up on, that I thought it was worth posting.
The Houston Police Department has ordered approximately 1,200 officers to replace their SIG Sauer P320 service weapons following a lawsuit alleging the pistol’s potential for unintended discharges.
Under the new directive, officers have until the end of September to make the switch.
The decision follows a lawsuit filed by veteran HPD officer Richard Fernandez Jr., who alleges that his holstered P320 discharged without a trigger pull.
The $10 million lawsuit, filed against the pistol’s manufacturer, SIG Sauer, claims Fernandez now suffers permanent numbness in his foot as a result of the incident.
“I heard a pop, but it didn’t sound like a gunshot,” Fernandez recounted. “I looked down, saw a hole in my pant leg, and realized I was bleeding. My hand wasn’t anywhere near the gun.”
His legal team argues that SIG Sauer has long been aware of serious design flaws in the P320. The suit joins more than 100 similar claims filed nationwide since 2017, many alleging the pistols fired while holstered or after being dropped.
The P320 has a controversial track record with HPD. In 2017, tests done by HPD found the pistol can accidentally fire almost 10 percent of the time after being dropped.
I wonder if this was pre- or post-voluntary upgrade.
While it was adopted by the U.S. military in 2017 as the M17 and M18, the civilian version soon faced scrutiny following reports of “drop-fire” incidents. These concerns prompted SIG Sauer to launch a voluntary upgrade program in 2017 to address potential discharge risks.
Despite the upgrades, lawsuits have continued to emerge alleging that the P320 can still fire without the trigger being pulled.
A jury found the SIG P320 “defectively designed” in a Massachusetts police lawsuit last month.
Steve Crowder devoted a show to P320 problems, including collecting videos of uncommanded discharges:
Crowder shows four videos of police P320s going off in the holster with no one’s fingers anywhere near the trigger. In two of those instances an officer was shot. And those are just the instance where the discharge was actually captured on film, so it seems reasonable to assume that there are a whole lot more that weren’t filmed.
Crowder also notes a very significant change in the language of Sig’s denials: “Newest email. The P320 cannot, under any circumstances, discharge without the trigger first being moved to the rear. Cool. “Trigger pull” versus “moved to the rear.” You know that change had to have come straight from their legal department in a CYA memo.
Crowder also had on Brandon Herrera (who previously covered the issue) to talk about the P320:
Brandon Herrera: “ICE has released a report. Basically they were talking about all the accidental discharges that have happened with all of their service weapons. And you have multiple columns. One of them is which pistol it was. Vast majority were the P320s. Then in the other column whether or not that incident included injury. So they not only said that these things were going off, but there were multiple occasions where they were injuring people that were actively working for ICE.”
BH: “if if they admit there is a problem with the civilian side stuff, then they have to maybe go in and [do] a very expensive upgrade to all their their military contract [P320s].”
BH: “Hopefully this is a big enough deal with this airman unfortunately losing his life that Sig can no longer look the other way and pretend there isn’t a problem.”
Steve Crowder: “How do you think [Sig] scored such a big contract with at that point a relatively new pistol?
BH: “That’s an excellent question.” [long pause]
BH: “It seems like Sig has gotten a lot of these contracts. And the question is whether that was based on merit, or some other thing that I won’t say in a public setting.”
BH: “I’m frankly shocked I haven’t gotten a cease and deceased yet. A cease and desist yet. I think it might be coming soon because I think they’re at the point where they, especially this this most recent wave, they’re losing control of the narrative. Before it was easy to just say, ‘Oh, it’s a couple of grifters, you know, don’t pay any attention to them. Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.’ But now, I mean, hell, it’s everybody. The the conversation is completely shifted. Very few people are defending Sig anymore on this.”
SC: “My hunch is because of the military doesn’t want to admit that they screwed up either.”
Off the topic of Sig, Herrera says he’s not eager to run for office again. “Running the first time was probably one of the worst nine-month experiences of my life. And I would love to not repeat that again, but at the same time, they’re not voting any better.”
At this point its hard to see Sig gets out of this jam short of completely withdrawing the P320 from the market. Their potential liability is huge, and replacing all military and police service arms may be ruinous, as, presumably, any sort of recall to fix the problem, even assuming that they could find a fix and provide a solution that works.
Japan is beset by many problems, most notably spiraling national debt and a collapsing birth rate. But they don’t lack technological savvy or civic foresight, as indicated by the massive disaster recovery infrastructure expansion they’re investing in for Tokyo.
What does Tokyo have to worry about? Earthquakes, fires, typhoons, floods, and volcanoes (including iconic Mount Fuji). “This city is constantly on the brink of disaster.”
“This is a city that really shouldn’t be here, but it is, because engineers have developed some of the most extensive and advanced countermeasures anywhere in the world. But it’s not enough.”
“The number of threats Tokyo faces, and the damage those threats could cause is only getting worse. A quarter of Japan’s population now lives in the greater Tokyo area, and the city center accounts for more than 20% of this country’s GDP. If disaster struck now, it wouldn’t just be bad for Tokyo. It will have a knock-on effect for this entire country and even the world. This place, this city, really matters.”
“But Tokyo is not exactly a city that does things by half measures. So when it came to protect yourself from annihilation, they decided to go big by building one of the biggest civil defense projects in history.”
“This is the Pacific Ring of Fire, a 40,000 kilometer tectonic belt. It was this that forced Japan out of the sea in the first place, but also left it studded with volcanoes, 111 of which are still active today. And while you only need two plates growing together to create some seismic activity, Japan lies across four, which means this one country is struck by 18% of all the world’s earthquakes.”
“And as if all that wasn’t enough, thousands of kilometers of ocean to the south, that leaves it wide open to typhoons and tsunamis rolling in from the Pacific.”
“Throughout its history, Tokyo has been quite literally razed to the ground numerous times. But now with 40 million people living here, that simply can’t happen again. Which is why in December 2022, the city’s governments hatched a plan. The Tokyo Resilience Project.”
“It’s going to take 18 years to fully complete and cost ¥17 trillion, which is around 109 billion USD.”
“Flooding is a critical threat to Tokyo, 124km², a fifth of central Tokyo, lies below sea level, so the TRP is not taking any chances.”
“Over the last 40 years, the amounts of heavy downpours have almost doubled in Japan. Flooding was a daily part of life in Tokyo. And it was only getting worse. In 1992, the city’s government embarked on an extraordinary project in response to this challenge, an underground system made up of five silos which collect flood water from nearby rivers and channel it down a 6.5km tunnel into this huge hall.”
“This is the metropolitan area, outer underground discharge channel, or G-CANs for short. It is a water tank. It is an enormous space 25m high. It’s 50m beneath the city streets, 177m long and 78m wide. This place cost 2 billion USD and took 17 years to build. Now it’s capable of pumping out 200 tons of water a second.”
“While the scale of this place might be mind boggling, here’s the thing. The Tokyo Resilience Project is working on doubling the capacity of this system.”
The water diversion channels are similarly massive. “This space is 12.4m wide. It runs for 5.4km, or it will do when they finished building, it and it’s going to connect up to two other tunnels to create a network that’s 13km long.”
This massive project requires equally massive machinery. “To dig this channel, engineers constructed an enormous [tunnel boring machine] nearly 12m wide, weighing in at a massive 2800 tons…Just ahead of me up here is the massive cutting head is pushing forward through the soil. 12.5m wide rotating rounds to dig out this huge hole.”
The video also shows a giant rock friction apparatus that tests how earthquake fault slips occur.
The Mori JP Tower, completed in 2023, isn’t just a the skyscraper in Japan. “Five stories beneath the streets of Tokyo, directly under that super tall skyscraper that’s rising above my head. You’ll find this: back up in the generators, a huge water supply fed by an underground, well. Extensive food supplies, batteries and amazing series of systems that enable this building to keep running independently should the worst happen in the surrounding city.” Even the huge backup generator is on isolation springs.
“These diesel generators work alongside a massive bank of batteries in case of an emergency so that if a disaster destroys the power grids, the tower can be completely self-sufficient. It’s so safe here that the skyscraper acts as a refuge for people in the area. Inside this storeroom are enough supplies to feed 3600 people for three days. These kits include everything from tinned food, bottled water, toilets and even baby supplies.”
“None of this would mean anything if the building wasn’t still standing in the first place. Part of this tower’s earthquake defenses are made up of hundreds of pistons known as oil dampers located all around the building.”
“About 86km² of Tokyo is still densely packed with old wooden housing, which is a high risk of secondary fires. Neighborhoods like these have been earmarked for redevelopments which will feature new roads to buildings and parks to act as firebreaks. And that’s not all. Overhead wires and cables like these are prone to collapsing and starting fires. And that’s why over 1000km of roads across the city are having their overhead utilities replaced and moved underground.” The utility change is no doubt long overdue, but I fear redevelopment will change the charm of old Tokyo.
There’s a lot to learn here for disaster recovery preparation for American cities. Houston is another broad, flat cities that get flooding from hurricanes. (As is New Orleans, but its gumbo-like soil makes building massive underground infrastructure like this difficult.)
Los Angeles and San Francisco could certainly learn earthquake and disaster recover lessons from Tokyo, but we all know such massive infrastructure projects are all but impossible to complete in Democrat-run blue cities in blue states. The regulatory burden is all but insurmountable, and even then, vast amounts of money allocated to the project are inevitably raked off in graft for the hard left…
In Friday’s LinkSwarm, we covered how Sig Sauer’s problem with uncommanded discharges from the P320 got still more serious with the death of an Air Force airman. This has been a low-level, intermittent story that’s been bubbling on for many years now, with no root cause anyone could find for the problem.
Well, we may finally have the root cause.
But first the caveat: I am not a gunsmith, and I have no way to determine how plausible the explanation is, if the methodology is sound, or if the applies to a significant number of P320s rather than the one the YouTuber is testing.
Executive Summary: YouTuber Wyoming Gun Project was able to get repeated P320 discharges by putting one millimeter of pressure (not a full pull) on the trigger and manipulating the overly loose slide.
That should not happen.
If you just want to skip to the money shot, skip to the beginning of the second video. But first up, I have Forgotten Weapons’ Ian McCollum describing the issue in detail with his usual clarity. (I don’t think he had seen Wyoming Gun Project’s video before recording this.)
“Things have changed again for Sig with the death of a US Air Force serviceman, from apparently a P320 in its holster. Obviously, not good.”
“I think it has gotten to the point where Sig is now faced with a problem they cannot solve. They have two problems now. One of them in theory they can solve, and that is a hypothetical mechanical problem with the 320 that causes it to fire without someone pulling the trigger or commanding it to fire.”
I’m skipping over the part where he says that no root cause was found, because, again, this video came presumably out before he had a chance to see the Wyoming Gun Project video.
“There have been dozens of [P320] lawsuits, and only two of them have actually come back with Sig being found liable.”
“But even if they do fix it, they have a secondary problem right now that I don’t think is surmountable. They can theoretically fix the mechanical problem. What they cannot fix is the reputational issue.”
“The fundamental issue here is that the 320 doesn’t offer anything different from any of its competitors.” Shooters originally liked the modular design, but now lots of platforms do that, and now there are better choices in the same space. No institutional buyer is going to choose the P320 over competing choices now because the risk is too high.
“What does the SIG 320 offer us that would convince us to buy it despite this element of unknown potential risk? Nothing. That’s the problem.”
“There are actually three separate problems with the 320. Two of them absolutely 100% provable. The third one is still the jury’s out, literally and figuratively.”
“Problem number one was the drop safety. There was a legit drop safety problem with the original 320s. And it’s entirely Sig’s fault. They should have been more careful. That’s like, you know, it’s not like surprise drop safety. What? We didn’t even think about drop safety. No, they they should have been more careful.”
“And when the guns proved to have a drop safety fault, they didn’t recall them, presumably because that would have been super expensive even at that point. They offered a voluntary upgrade, which a lot of people didn’t get because they’re like, ‘Ah, my gun doesn’t need it. It’s fine. It’s voluntary. That means it’s not that important.'”
“Because that happened, Sig got into people’s heads, oh, that’s the gun that fires if you drop it. And it was true. I mean, within the limitations of the actual mechanical flaws of the drop safety.”
“The second issue is Sig did not put a trigger safety on the 320. Do you technically need it? No.” Presumably to differentiate on better trigger feel.
McCollum thinks that’s a mistake. “It’s not an issue with the trigger pull and it very much does prevent accidental discharges with holsters. If your holster is kind of wonky, if you get your shirt caught when you’re holstering the pistol. Absolutely a thing that can happen and that does happen and that a trigger safety will often prevent from turning into a fired gun.”
“I don’t know how many of their unintended discharge incidents are the result of something catching on the trigger and unintentionally pulling it, but I feel pretty safe assuming it’s greater than 0%. And so if they had a trigger safety on the gun, it would have prevented some percentage of these issues.”
Given the first two problems, shooters now just assume there’s a third, still unidentified flaw lurking in the gun.
“If you’re another gun company looking at this situation, I think one of the lessons to take away from it is you need to take safety seriously enough that you address it in positions where, you know, do we really need to hand like is this enough of a safety issue that we really need to do it? Maybe make sure that you’ve pushed that decision boundary pretty darn close to yes, we should always do something in favor of more safety in the design.”
“Could Sig survive recalling all the 320s that are out there? I don’t know. Maybe, maybe not.”
“Looking at the other guns that Sig has available, I think their best option would be to expand the P365 in scope and scale this thing out of production and replace it. You know, they’ve got the 365 macro, come up with like the 365 service issue size. The P365 is a fundamentally different mechanism than the 320.”
“The 320 is a development off the P250. And that’s probably where some of its problems originate from, if not all of them.”
Now the Wyoming Gun Project video:
It’s a 40 minute video, because he goes into significant detail on his methodology. So you get lots of caliper measurement, among other things.
“Basically we were able to input a millimeter or less of downward movement on the sear and get this slide by manipulating the slide. We’re able to get it to go off and actually fire a primed case five times in a row.”
That’s bad.
Measuring off the grip: “66.62mm was where the wall was. So that’s the start. That’s the end of the pre-travel, but the start of the actual trigger pull where we’re moving parts, right?”
65.69 is where he’s able to set the screw so that the striker will actuate by touching the slide.
“I’m not a math wiz, but that’s less than one millimeter. Less than one millimeter into the firing sequence and it just dropped the striker.”
“If this trigger, this trigger assembly in here is less than 1mm out of spec, you could have a potential problem.”
“That’s kind of simulating of it’s rolling around in a cop’s holster. Now, we saw the first one was less than a millimeter. So, if one of these parts is out of spec, less than a millimeter, or what if this is able to because this affects the trigger when you pull it back.”
The screw, which a lot of people have focused on, is to simulate the 1mm pull without having the inherent imprecision having an actual human finger there would introduce. “This is a tool to simulate to take the human factor out so that you same people that will come in my comments and say this aren’t going, ‘You pulled the trigger with your finger, bro.’ I didn’t. I didn’t. But I simulated a human taking up the pre-travel going through the firing motion or the firing sequence.”
“The FBI report said there was a ledge on, it was either the sear or the the striker hook, I don’t remember, and you pulled the trigger a little bit less than a millimeter, less than one millimeter, and it caught on that ledge and then you holstered your gun. Okay, this is a G-code holster. Then you holstered your gun, and it just went off.”
“So some people were like, ‘Put it in a holster and see if it goes off.’ There it is.”
I’m skipping over a lot of methodology walk-through here.
“There should be absolutely no way that you should be able to put input into the slide and it drops the striker. No way. There should be none.”
“Why, if you move the slide, will it set the sear off? If you’re halfway into the if you’re not even halfway less than a millimeter, less than one millimeter, and you bump the slide, and it has the potential to go off.”
He gets the gun to fire with the 1mm screw setting by manipulating the slide, and seems very surprised that he could do it.
“The striker safety is working. Look at that. The spring is working. Holy crap. Holy crap.”
Then he gets the P320 to go off again, under the same circumstances, four more times. “That was five in a row, guys. Five in a row. Is that consistent enough for some of the people out there? Do you want me to do it every day until Sig fixes the gun?”
While this is not quite “vice-gripped to a test mount on a granite slab table in an FBI safety lab” level quality control, it does indeed seem pretty repeatable. It’s a cascading failure where two separate things have to go wrong. But neither of those two separate things is some inconceivable, unlikely scenario.
Bonus video: Penguinz0 commenting on the situation, which is where I first heard about the Wyoming Gun Project video, and includes a lot of footage from that video, if you just want the Cliff Notes version.
“It’s a widely reported problem apparently linked to more than a hundred incidents since 2016, with at least 80 injuries.” Ouch! If those numbers are true, it seems this is a much wider-spread problem than I thought.
“Even in my neck of the woods here in Tampa, an officer in 2020 had the weapon fire while in his jacket while he was adjusting it.”
“I don’t think this is going to happen all the time to every P320 out there, but the fact that it can happen at all is concerning.”
Here in Austin, we used to have regular showings of Most Shocking (and exactly-the-same-but different sister program Most Daring) on the True Crime Network or Quest TV. One of the many rotating themes on the show is outrageously brazen crimes.
The story of “Hellcat Mike” would fit right in.
Stealing cars is one thing. But specializing in stealing Hellcats, and driving them very fast after you’ve stolen them while streaming your exploits on social media as a form of advertising is the brazen part.
He got caught by DPS because he crashed while doing over 100 through Fort Bend county.
“This isn’t the first time Wilson has done this. Investigators found videos of Hellcats racing on Wilson’s now deactivated Instagram account. Videos showing speeding on highways, even being chased by police.”
“This was his thing, that I am going to find and sell Dodge Hellcat cars, and that’s how I’m going to do it is by showing myself outrun the cops.”
“The criminals in the car community that are trying to find ways to promote their illegal businesses by doing illegal street racing.”
“Wilson was at the center of a year-long law enforcement stinging in San Antonio, accused of running a chop shop targeting high performance vehicles. He’s still on the hook for those charges.”
“And now he’s being sent to Guadalupe County for sentencing in another felony evading case.” Guadalupe County is just northeast of San Antonio.
I was wondering how the economics of being a car thief specializing in one make of car work. Seems like it would be self-limiting. But it sounds like he has more range across the state to steal Hellcats. Still, it would be a whole lot more difficult if you specialized in Bugatti Veyrons…
Wilson was sentenced to 10 years in prison.
<mostshocking>”Hellcat Mike may have thought he was hell on wheels, but this criminal kitten is going to be spending a decade…in the cooler.”</mostshocking>
Sometimes I come across videos that are interesting, but not substantial or funny enough to post on their own. Rather than let them continue to clutter up my browser tabs, here are four of them.
Nancy Pelosi, Noted Lush:
Either Pelosi is already three sheets to the wind on the floor of congress at 10 AM, or she’s had some sort of stroke. Either way, she should seek help…
Hunter Biden for President?
If it weren’t for poor standards, the Democrats would have none at all. Still, though they seem open to electing actual commies, it’s still hard to see how even they would be willing to nominate a crackhead for President, no matter how allegedly “likeable” he is. Then again, in a party featuring Adam Schiff, Gretchen Whitmer, Andrew Cuomo and Chuck Schumer, “likability” is a relative measure. Looking back on the 2020 Democratic presidential race, there were a whole lot of ostensibly “serious” candidates (Joe Sestak, Seth Moulton, Tim Ryan, John Delaney, etc.) that Hunter Biden would almost certainly poll better than. And he would be an ever-so-slightly more ethical choice than creepy porn lawyer Michael Avenatti, who MSNBC shamelessly tried to flack as a viable candidate. But the problem is that Joe Biden was never popular on his own, only as an extension of the Obama machine, so Hunter would be banking on basking in a feeble second-hand reflection of reflected glory…
Swiss pool disturbances get so bad that police have to come several times an hour. The solution? Ban foreigners from the pool.
All the problems instantly stopped.
It seems that Europeans will try anything to solve their rising crime problem…except stop importing unassimilated Muslims.
You know the idea that using a .50 BMG against enemy soldiers is a violation of the Geneva Convention? It’s a myth:
Ditto banning explosive bullets, which is banned by the 1868 St. Petersburg Declaration, which the U.S. never signed onto.
There you go, four short videos for the price of one. Enjoy!
If it seems like we’ve already covered this topic this year, it’s because we did. But there seems to be more evidence now, with Russian tanks reported as non-existent on many fronts.
Reporting from Ukraine:
Here, the Russian armed forces ran out of tanks after months of reckless frontal assaults against fortified Ukrainian positions. The multi-layer Ukrainian defense destroyed thousands of Russian armored vehicles and depleted even the Soviet stockpiles that many thought were endless.
On July 8, the Ukrainian General Staff reported an extraordinary battlefield statistic: zero Russian tank losses. Rather than indicating a successful tactical shift, this unprecedented figure underscores Russia’s critical shortage of operational tanks. Russian units simply no longer possess enough tanks to risk losing them in frequent frontal assaults. Mechanized attacks, once the hallmark of Russian offensives, have nearly disappeared, replaced entirely by small-unit infantry actions and increasingly improvised tactics.
Months of relentless, suicidal assaults have decimated Russia’s armored capabilities. Especially in Donetsk and Toretsk, hundreds of Russian tanks have fallen easy prey to Ukrainian FPV drones, anti-tank guided missiles, artillery, and extensive minefields. This staggering attrition has far outpaced Russia’s capacity to replace battlefield losses.
Uralvagonzavod, Russia’s main tank producer, can currently manufacture no more than 20 to 25 new T-90M tanks monthly. Even though Russia increased production slightly from about 17 tanks per month in 2023 to roughly 25 by 2025, this limited output remains negligible compared to ongoing combat losses. Additionally, Russia has historically relied heavily on refurbishing Soviet-era models from storage, such as T-72’s, T-80’s, and even older T-62’s and T-55’s. Yet refurbishment capabilities have dramatically declined as stocks of viable stored tanks dwindle. Previously able to restore about 80 to 100 tanks per month in 2023, this number has dropped significantly to approximately 30 to 35 per month by early 2025. As a result, Russian frontline units rarely deploy tanks unless it involves an isolated, high-priority operation.
I treat Reporting from Ukraine assertions with a grain of salt. But The Military Show is also reporting that Russian tank participation in assaults has all but disappeared:
“Putin’s Toretsk advances have stalled out for a simple reason: Russia no longer has any armored vehicles to support its troops in the region.”
“There have been no armored vehicles visible for about a month and a half.” Forcing them to rely on meatwave assaults.
“There are no armored vehicles left in Toretsk.”
“Toretsk is a microcosm of an emerging armored vehicle situation that Russia is attempting to deal with throughout Ukraine. While Putin has armored vehicles elsewhere, he’s losing them at such a rapid pace that his military is on the verge of ending up completely naked.”
Another observer who thinks Russia is out of tanks in Ukraine is David Axe. “The former Forbes military correspondent took to Trench Art to blare the headline, ‘Mark the Date: Russia is Now Functionally Out of Armored Vehicles.’ Axe makes the point that Russia has lost around 20,000 combat vehicles since the beginning of the Ukraine war, meaning that most Russian troops no longer fight with the protection of armor on any meaningful scale. Instead, they’re lucky if they have any armor at all, with some, such as those in Toretsk, being forced to launch assaults without any sort of protection.”
Axe: “Russia will not have sufficient main battle tanks to conduct effective offensive operations beyond early 2026 if it maintains the same operational tempo and suffers the same losses as in 2024.”
Russia’s claims of producing 1,500 tanks a year are bogus. “The vast majority were tanks it had pulled out of storage and restored, cannibalizing other old tanks in the process.”
Logistics have also been hard hit. “Russia has been mobilizing donkeys, along with some horses, to shuttle equipment back and forth during the Ukraine war.”
We previously mentioned the assaults using Ladas and golf carts.
Covert Cabal, whose tank counting videos we’ve featured over the years, says that many formerly active bases now appear to be “ghost towns.” There are still some equipment at bases near NATO countries, but the Moscow military district appears pretty bare, which, given it’s historic role at discouraging coups, is pretty unusual.
If Russia is essentially out of tanks and other armored vehicles to send to Ukraine, it’s hard to see how his grinding meatwave assaults can eke out enough territorial gains to continue advancing, especially with more U.S. weapons flowing to Ukraine.
Maybe Putin should have taken trump up on his negotiations offer. Without armor, Russia may end up losing all its ill-gotten territorial gains in the next year…
You know how liberals always mock the idea that the left is trying to turn babies gay? Well, this short Asmongold video offers pretty compelling evidence that they’re trying to turn babies gay.
Some titles on in the “Gay Kids Book Section” of Barnes & Noble on display:
Bye Bye Binary
Gay BCs (“Bi s for B,” “C is for Coming Out,” “D is for drag”)
“This is pushing it.” “This is not pushing it. This is beyond everything.”
“F should be for ‘FBI.'”
The irony is that it’s a lesbian couple filming this, and they think it’s too much.
“Bro, I think we’re losing gay marriage pretty soon. I think this is going to go so far it’s going to radicalize. It’s going to make people fucking hate gay people again. Trying to push on literal fucking babies.”
Another Peter Zeihan video, this one on domestic politics, where his insights have usually been…less than stellar. But this time it’s about how screwed the Democrat Party is, though he mostly dances around the real reasons behind their decline, instead wielding his well-worn hammer stenciled “demographics.”
“Is there a future for the Democratic Party in the United States? And the short version is ‘probably not.'”
“The Democratic Party is not what it used to be. It has been through several iterations since it was formed back in the 1800s. But in its most recent iteration, one that dates roughly back to the post-World War II environment, the party basically it it’s formed around three big pillars of voters. The first is organized labor, with capital being on the Republican side of the equation. The second are ethnic minorities with most white people edging towards the Republicans again. And then the third group is coastal elites, specifically of the white tower crowd. People who live in cities and have a very different way of looking at the world than say rural voters who are more likely to be Republicans.” On the last point, Zeihan has shifted from talking about the postwar Democratic Party to the modern one, as Democrats used to own a goodly portion of rural voters, AKA “the farm vote,” especially in the South. Look at this county by county map of the 1932 Presidential election, and you see that Republican rural counties are few and far between. By 1952, rural counties really like Ike…but not in the South, which is still overwhelmingly blue. That change accelerates with the rise of the “new left” in the 1960s and the conscious decision by the left to start pushing conservatives out of the Democratic Party. (At least that was the case in Texas, as outlined in Wayne Thorburn’s Red State.) By the 1980s the process was well underway, as seen by party switches from such politicians as Phil Gramm and Kent Hance, and was mostly complete everywhere except minority majority counties, though in Texas we’re now seeing that Democrat-to-Republican pattern repeat itself with Hispanic majority counties. Smaller cities and suburban voters were where Republicans managed to maintain a foothold during the Democrat-dominated period between FDR’s election in 1932 and Reagan’s in 1980.
“If you look at it just on the numbers, if you add up all racial minorities in the United States with all organized labor or blue-collar workers with everyone who’s living in the cities, it’s a super majority of the population. And it’s pushing 70% of the total. It should, by the numbers, not only be the dominant party, but it should be the only party in the United States. And yet and yet and yet, they keep losing elections by ever more impressive margins.” “All organized labor or blue-collar workers” is another slight of hand, as those are two ever-more-divergent categories. All across the Western world, not just in the U.S., ruling liberal elites can rarely be bothered to hide their contempt for native blue-collar workers, which seems to be one driving factor in their importing immigrant classes to supplant them.
I’m snipping the “but the world changes and politics changes” section (Cold War, digital revolution, Baby Boomers retiring) because it’s all so very non-specific to the question at hand.
“But for the Democrats, this has not been a gift. Three basic things have combined to make it nonfunctional in its current form.”
“First, those liberal, coastally educated, urban living elites, they’re not nearly as united as you might think. And more importantly, they have a hard time resonating their ideas with the rank and file of the United States.” Here’s the first time Zeihan tiptoes up to the central truth that “their ideas,” the whole panoply of radical leftwing social justice, victimhood identity politics, DEI racism, radical feminism, importing millions of illegal aliens, supporting Islamic terrorists killing Israelis, etc., are all profoundly unpopular with everyone outside the leftwing college educated urban elites who make up the ideological core of the Party.
“Most Americans do not own six figures.” Actually, they sort of do, but I think what he meant was most Americans don’t earn six figures. “Most Americans have not graduated from graduate programs. And so, the sort of tunnel vision that you can get if you’re a part of this coastal elite just doesn’t really carry out to others. And when you see people starting to protest for trans rights, that just doesn’t resonate for most of the country.” Americans were more than happy to let the confused freaks do whatever the hell they wanted to with their own bodies, but once the groomers started “transitioning” and mutilating normie children behind their parents’ backs, normie parents started hating Democrats with a deep, righteous anger.
“The second issue is racial.”
“One of the huge mistakes the Democratic Party has made over the last 30 years is to simply bet that, because birth rates were higher under Hispanics than they were under whites, that the country was going to become more and more and more leftist, more and more democratic.” That is, in a nutshell, the John Judis and Ruy Teixeira Emerging Democratic Majority theory. And it 2021, Teixeira said that wasn’t happening.
“Instead, we saw two things happening with specifically the Hispanic population. Number one, they became steadily and steadily more wealthy, which tends to put them over into the Republican camp. And second, Hispanics, especially first and second generation Mexican Americans, are very strong in blue-collar work, specifically the trades like electricity and welding and similar items. Construction. Well, the United States is going through an industrial renaissance where those skill sets are massively in demand. And so if you want to look at politics through the lens of the economic halves and halves nots, the Hispanics have become more and more in the category of the haves moving forward, so for them tax rates have become as important, if not more, for most than things like racial equality.” Except we have racial equality under the law, and republicans support a color blind society based on individualism, while Democrats want perpetual social justice ethnic grievances which well-heeled upper middle class white liberals can signal their virtue by supporting.
“And so more and more of these people have shifted over in the general direction of Trump style Republicans.”
“And the third issue is cultural. If you’re a first or second generation Mexican-American, a first or second generation immigrant from any background, odds are that where you came from is less organized than the United States and less wealthy. You came to pursue the American dream, which means you have some firsthand experience in your family of what a system with weak rule of law looks like. One of the great things that we have forgotten in this country is that most migrants have a deeper degree of religiosity than most Americans. And so when you get a Mexican immigrant or Nigerian immigrant and they come to the United States, they are far more likely to be socially conservative than, say, the social liberals of the coasts.”
“We have all of these things happening at the same time, changing our idea of identity, and the net result is a lot of factions that used to be core to the Democratic coalition are now toss-ups. Hispanics were as likely to vote for Trump as they were likely to vote for Harris. Same for people under age 30. The youth are now in play as well.” No mention of why this might be the case, or why social justice, open borders and Covid lockdown policies are all widely unpopular with “the youths.”
“You pull this all together and at the moment it is absolutely impossible for the Democrats to win any big election unless there’s something else very big in play. Does this mean that the Democrats are dead forever? Not quite what I’m saying. What I’m saying is they can no longer count on winning by the numbers. There has to be another issue out there that motivates.”
Most of the the reasons Zeihan are correct (or at least correct enough), but save Hispanics, there’s very little deeper analysis of why all these various, formerly solid demographic have fallen away from the Democrat fold. And the answer is that the ideas promulgated by the ideological core of the Democrat Party are deeply unpopular. From mutilating children in the name of transsexism to importing millions of illegal aliens to legalizing shoplifting to putting repeat offenders back out on the street, there seems to be no 80/20 hill social justice-infected Democrats aren’t willing to die on.
In a way, the scarcity of details Zeihan provides on the manifest unpopularity of the Democrat Party is less notable than the fact he did a video noticing them at all. After all, a large portion of his bread and butter is speaking at various functions for those same “liberal, coastally educated, urban living elites” that he says are out of touch with much of America. That he can even tiptoe up to the truth indicates that the widespread unpopularity of Democrats has finally so established itself as consensus inside-the-beltway wisdom that it’s no longer taboo to talk about.
But the same thing that’s making the Party so wildly unpopular (the ideological capture of the Party’s core by radical social social justice) is the same thing that prevents the Party from being able to self-correct. The hard left is now so firmly entrenched in the urban centers that make up the Party’s shrinking base that they’ve nominated (and have a puncher’s chance of actually electing) a jihadi commie as mayor of America’s largest city.
A political party exists to win elections, but the Democrat Party’s social justice-infected insane wing is focused on taking complete control away from the corrupt wing, not only for the graft, corruption and patronage, but also to actively foment revolution against capitalism and “fascism” (i.e, anything that stands between their own will to power and complete control of the country). And they’re willing to lose election after election until they achieve that goal.
As the Party shrinks, it becomes ever more shrill and leftwing, and as it becomes ever more shrill and leftwing, the Party shrinks. It’s a self-reinforcing feedback loop, a purity spiral Democrats seem incapable of escaping from.
Maybe by 2050 or so, an elderly Zeihan can post a holographic lecture on how social justice drove Democrats the way of the Whigs…
Here’s a video featuring Jordan Peterson and Jonathan Haidt, author of The Anxious Generation: How the Great Rewiring of Childhood Is Causing an Epidemic of Mental Illness, discussing data showing that a whole lot of depression and anxiety disorders among girls (less so among boys) were soaring at the same time social media (which, for the time-frame they’re talking about, is mostly Facebook, Instagram and Twitter) were taking off.
Jonathan Haidt: “Something weird happened in 2014. Greg Luciano, my my friend who runs the Foundation for Individual Rights of Expression, he noticed it too, he came to talk to me. Something had changed among the students. There was a new kind of new morality driven by anxiety and fragility.”
JH: “So we wrote an Atlantic article called ‘The Coddling of the American Mind.’ We turned that into a book in 2017, we went much deeper.”
JH: “Writing that book in 2017, we have a page where we say, you know, the timing is right for social media. Like social media comes in just at the right time to maybe have contributed, but we don’t really have evidence so that’s it, that’s all we said.”
JH: “2019: I’m collecting evidence, because now it’s clear it’s not just America.”
JH: “First we saw it in all of the Anglophere countries. When you look at levels of internalizing disorders…This is important. It’s not all mental illnesses, it’s not schizophrenia, it’s internalizing disorders, which is preeminently anxiety and depression related disorder.”
JH: “They’re pretty stable, from the late ’90s all the way through 2010, 2011 there’s really no trend in the United States or in the other English English speaking countries. And then, all of a sudden, there’s an elbow like around 2012, 2013 there’s an elbow, and the rates go up very sharply for girls, with more of a curve for boys, and that’s a clue, the different shape is an important clue. But for girls 2011, 2012 no sign of a problem, 2014, 2015 it’s off to the races with depression, anxiety. We see the same thing in self harm.”
JH: “So that’s that was the empirical puzzle that came to us as college professors, and that came to us in the national data, and that’s what that’s what launched me on this book.”
Jordan Peterson: “It’s an important coda that you mentioned there, that it wasn’t only rates of self-reported depression and anxiety. Because I know there was a criticism directed at your work by a psychiatrist who pointed out or claimed that the self-report data might be unreliable.”
JP: “But you pointed out, quite rightly, I thought, that you saw the same data in episodes of self harm, particularly among young women, which is a much more direct behavioral measure of that proclivity for negative emotion.”
JP: “I should point out clinically, just for those who are watching and listening, that anxiety is a response to the the threat of destruction, psychological or physical. Depression is more of a pain response, and it’s got two aspects: It’s heightening of negative emotion, withdrawal in particular, that causes cessation of activity, but also decrease in positive emotion, which is more associated with demoralization and and lack of motivational impetus to move forward. And you describe those as the internalizing disorders.” Not psychosis fragmentation or manic depressive disorder.
JP: “This is quite a particularized, let’s say, epidemic.”
JP: “What drove you to the conclusion, or even to investigate the possibility, that this had something to do with technology generally, and with social media more particularly?”
JH: “Jean Twenge was really the first person to call attention to this. Jean Twenge has been studying generations for 20 years, and she had an article in The Atlantic, in 2017 where The Atlantic chose the title ‘Have Smartphones Destroyed a Generation?’ And so Jean laid out the evidence. It was all correlational, which doesn’t prove it. But the patterns are so consistent, there’s a correlation in time, which is when this new technology is introduced, around 2012.”
JH: “In 2010, teenagers almost all have a flip phone or a basic phone. The iPhone exists, but it’s not very common. The front-facing camera comes out on the iPhone 4 in 2010. Instagram becomes super popular in 2012, so that’s the period where teen social life is changing radically from using a phone to call your friend saying ‘Hey let’s get together this afternoon,’ to spending all day swiping and scrolling and commenting and posting. 2010 to 2015 is the great rewiring of childhood.”
JH: “The increases we’re talking about are are generally between 50 and 100% increases in these measures of of psychopathology for pre-teen girls. You sometimes get 200% increases and for self harm. 10 to 14 year old girls did not used to cut themselves, it was very, very rare before 2012. You get over 200% increase in hospital visits for self harm, so the historical correlation is there. It doesn’t prove it, but there’s no other alternative. And then you have the correlation in time use, that is the people who are heavy users of social media in almost every study are doing much worse.” Until they take kids’ smart phones away, and they show dramatic improvement in mood in one to two weeks.
Though barely touched on in this interview, while this is happening, we see a dramatic increase in during the same time, again disproportionately among girls and women, of an epidemic-like spread of the woke social justice mind virus. Victimhood and cancel culture escape from their initial reservoirs of infection in academia and the Democrat Party and spread among the general population. Many have theorized that women are far more driven by consensus and conformity to social pressure from other women, and that this tendency to knuckle under to woke groupthink, combined with the vector for infection that was social media, explains how quickly the irrational psychosis of social justice spread.
And thus the social media explosion of 2010-2015 primed the pump for full blown epidemic of Trump Derangement Syndrome in 2016…
