Yesterday I cautioned that the loss of two relatively minor Kurdish cities to anti-regime forces wasn’t a sign that the fall of the regime was imminent. However, today things seem to be getting much spicier, with reports that Mashhad, Iran’s second largest city, was under protestor control.
Livemap snapshot? Sure, why not?
Hard to tell whether those areas not showing protests are free of them, or whether we just lack information. One reason for that lack? The regime has shut down the Internet across the nation.
Huge crowds of protesters have been marching through Iran’s capital and other cities, videos show, in what is said to be the largest show of force by opponents of the clerical establishment in years.
The peaceful demonstrations in Tehran and the second city of Mashhad on Thursday evening, which were not dispersed by security forces, can be seen in footage verified by BBC Persian.
Later, a monitoring group reported a nationwide internet blackout.
Protesters can be heard in the footage calling for the overthrow of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the return of Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the late former shah, who had urged his supporters to take to the streets.
It was the 12th consecutive day of unrest that has been sparked by anger over the collapse of the Iranian currency and has spread to more than 100 cities and towns across all 31 of Iran’s provinces, according to human rights groups.
The US-based Human Rights Activist News Agency (HRANA) has said that at least 34 protesters and eight security personnel have been killed, and that 2,270 other protesters arrested.
Norway-based monitor Iran Human Rights (IHR) has said at least 45 protesters, including eight children, have been killed by security forces.
BBC Persian has confirmed the deaths and identities of 22 people, while Iranian authorities have reported the deaths of six security personnel.
On Thursday evening, videos posted on social media and verified by BBC Persian showed a large crowd of protesters moving along a major road in Mashhad, in the country’s north-east.
Chants of “Long live the shah” and “This is the final battle! Pahlavi will return” can be heard. And at one point, several men are seen climbing on an overpass and removing what appears to be surveillance cameras attached to it.
Another video showed a large crowd of protesters walking along a major road in eastern Tehran, while in the north of the city a small gathering was heard chanting “Long live the shah” and “Death to the dictator” – a reference to Khamenei.
Protesters were also filmed chanting “Long live the shah” at a main square in the northern city of Babol.
It came not long after Reza Pahlavi, whose father was overthrown by the 1979 Islamic revolution and lives in Washington DC, had called on Iranians to “take to the streets and, as a united front, shout your demands”.
Are the mullahs ready to topple? I remain unconvinced, but it does appear more likely than yesterday.
And we’re creeping closer and closer to President Trump and allies thinking it’s time to give them a nudge.