Iran Strikes: Day 2

If it wasn’t clear from yesterday’s roundup, it appears that a whole lot of Islamic Republic of Iran leaders were physically meeting at Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s bunker in Tehran when the successful decapitation strike was carried out as part of Operation Epic Fury/Roaring Lion. The operations are still ongoing, and here are some news updates.

  • “‘All’ of [Ali Khamenei’s] likely successors are ‘probably dead’ following US-Israeli strikes.”

    • Mick Mulvaney, former Trump OMB head and Chief of Staff: “A high risk, high reward type of operation.”
    • A “once in a lifetime opportunity” to both end the nuclear program and effect regime change. “All the [Iranian] senior leadership gathered together at one place at one time.”
    • The daylight attack must have meant we had really solid intel on the regime meeting. Most of our Middle East strikes happen at night during a new moon. “An opportunity they simply couldn’t pass up.”
    • “All of [Ali Khamenei’s] likely successors are probably dead as well.”
    • “The chances of getting a pro-Western, pro-American regime in Iran were as high as it ever was going to be.”
    • John Bolton was lamenting that these actions weren’t taken six or seven years ago, but the situation on the ground now is very different. “Everything has to come together at the same time for this to work.”
    • “This can’t be a forever war.”
    • Taking out the mullahs is “a step toward peace.”
  • New Guy steps into the leadership crosshairs. “Iranian Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref informed officials of plans to have him take charge of the nation during wartime, according to a report from the Iranian Students’ News Agency (ISNA) published on social media late Saturday night. There was no explicit note of President Masoud Pezeshkian’s ability to carry out presidential duties.”
  • Simon Whistler covers the strikes:

    Much of this covers information included here yesterday, but here are a few new tidbits.

    • Whistler states Iran is claiming they hit Riyadh in Saudi Arabia. LiveUAMap shows a strike against Prince Sultan Air Base, which is over a 100 miles from Riyadh. I mean, they’re both in central Saudi Arabia, but, eh.
    • In Yemen, Houthis threaten retaliation. Nothing yet.
    • The gulf states are plenty pissed at Iran tossing drones and missiles at them.
    • Russia issued a single proforma condemnation of U.S. attacks. China, on the other hand, hasn’t even done that.

  • A lot of Chinese MilTech deals were supposedly in the works when things kicked off, but it looks like very little (if any) actually made it to Iran.
  • Suchomimus video the first:

    • “It is quite telling that [Khamenei]’s death is being celebrated on the streets.”
    • Khamenei was likely killed in the opening strike. “A few sources are now saying it was Israel that hit this.”
    • “Iran isn’t showing any signs of giving up. Well, these could just be the last temper tantrum of the finished regime. The generals and remaining politicians lashing out knowing their time is over and that a surrender is inevitable and just trying to inflict damage.”
    • Suchomimus sees regime change as unlikely without “boots on the ground.”
  • Suchomimus video the second, which is all damage assessment:

    • One Iranian frigate hit, but two more showing no signs of damage.
    • Bandar Abbas radar site hit. Bandar Abbas is the port city directly north of the Strait of Hormuz.
    • Four MiG-29 fighters destroyed out of 30 in service.
    • Israel took out a Basij installation in northern Tehran, they being the hated Iranian religious police. The video shows four large buildings all exploding in a matter of seconds. “Iran’s air defense is completely ineffective here.”
    • Iran’s counterstrikes have had some limited success. In Kuwait “Ali al-Salim air base was hit.” The image shows smoke rising up from three different points, one evidently from a fuel storage strike. “One of Iran’s most successful strikes to date.” Plus a car park and a support facility.
    • Iran also hit Erbil air base in Iraq, where a large fire was seen burning. No information yet on what was hit.
    • Iran also hit Al-Udeid air base in Qatar. “This is the largest American base in the Middle East.” Videos show Patriot intercepting Iranian vehicles, but also one miss and one Patriot interceptor wandering off course and hitting the ground.
  • More IDF footage of the Basij strike:

  • The War Zone’s rolling coverage yesterday. Some highlights:

    I see Tomahawks, F-18s and F-35s, and a lot of Iranian targets going boom. And other American assets are poised to join the action:

  • Update: B-2s are already in-theater pounding Iranian ballistic missile facilities.
  • Here’s The War Zone’s day two coverage.

    Plus President Trump was stating that Iranian retaliation was less than expected.

    Also this: “Imagery circulating points to Iranian attacks in the vicinity of France’s naval base in Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates.” In other news, there’s a French naval base in Abu Dhabi…

  • Beware of Astroturf protesters. “CCP-Linked NGO Network Prepares “Emergency Protests” In US After Trump’s Iran Strikes Jeopardize Oil Flows To China.”

    Planned demonstrations branded “Hands Off Iran” or “Stop The War On Iran” are scheduled to take place this afternoon in major cities across the U.S. From New York to Los Angeles, left-wing organizers have circulated digital flyers, coordinated social media blasts, and activated email lists urging supporters to mobilize within hours of the announcement. This activation alert for the protest-industrial complex occurred shortly after the Department of War’s “Operation Epic Furry” began in Iran.

    To the average person, this afternoon’s protests may look like a groundswell of outrage over the U.S. strikes on Iran, especially given that the Trump administration campaigned on no new foreign wars. But the speed, uniform messaging, and coordinated national footprint suggest something highly more organized – and familiar for readers, as we’ve diligently followed the activities of the protest-industrial complex.

    This is the same mobilization network that has repeatedly demonstrated its ability to move tens of thousands of social justice warriors into the streets in under 12 hours.

    Earlier this year, that same protest infrastructure powered nationwide pro-Maduro demonstrations almost immediately after developments in Venezuela made national headlines. In the months prior, overlapping coalitions were instrumental in organizing the anti-Israel encampments at Columbia University and other campuses, as well as anti-ICE demonstrations in Los Angeles and other sanctuary cities. The causes shift. The slogans change. The logistical infrastructure – or the machine that makes this spark – remains the same.

    What we are witnessing is not a loose collection of anti-war activists or 1970s-style hippies responding independently to global events. It is a coordinated ecosystem of dark-money funded nonprofits, advocacy groups, campus organizations, and ideological networks that can rapidly repurpose whatever geopolitical flashpoint dominates the news cycle. From the George Floyd riots to pro-Palestine protests to anti-Tesla protests to anti-Trump protests and anti-Elon Musk protests to anti-DOGE protests to anti-ICE protests/riots, these movements are not dedicated to a single issue. They are part of omni-cause mobilizers, sowing chaos deep within the nation’s core.

    Whether the banner reads “Free Palestine,” “Hands Off Venezuela,” “Abolish ICE,” or now “Hands Off Iran,” the same names frequently appear on sponsorship lists. The same fiscal sponsors provide infrastructure. The same activist pipelines appear.

    This brings us to far-left billionaire Neville Roy Singham, whom The New York Times recently described as “known as a socialist benefactor of far-left causes” and as someone who “works closely with the Chinese government media machine and is financing its propaganda worldwide.”

    Singham’s network, shortly after Operation Epic Furry began, announced on X “New York City Emergency Protest” to “Stop The war On Iran.”

    “The U.S. and Israel are carrying out an unprovoked, illegal bombing campaign on Iran. This war serves no one but a tiny elite and oil executives and is a continuation of more than two years of genocide in Palestine and US-Israeli aggressions throught the region,” the People’s Forum, a Manhattan far-left non-profit also linked to Singham, wrote on X.

    Other left-wing groups on the flyer tied to Singham’s network include the ANSWER Coalition and CODEPINK. Also on the list are the Democratic Socialists of America, American Muslims for Palestine, the National Iranian American Council, the Palestinian Youth Movement, Black Alliance for Peace, and 50501.

  • After almost half a century, we’re finally cutting the head off the snake.

    November 4, 1979 — almost 47 years ago — Iran seized the American embassy in Tehran and held its staff hostage. Ever since then, American presidents have struggled with what to do.

    Jimmy Carter temporized for many months, even as ABC’s newly created Nightline — a nighttime news show created specially to cover the hostage crisis — opened every night with “America held hostage, day XXX.” His wife, First Lady Rosalynn Carter, finally prodded him to do something. The “something” turned out to be a shambolic rescue mission that ended in disaster.

    President Reagan intimidated the mullahs a bit, but never seriously retaliated for the Beirut barracks bombing that killed over 200 Marines along with over a score of other service personnel. George H.W. Bush invaded Iraq but left the mullahs largely alone. Bill Clinton did nothing of substance. George W. Bush had a chance to bring the Iranians to heel after the conquest of Iraq, but inexplicably failed to press his advantage. Barack Obama was, basically, complicit in their nuclear program, to the point of famously sending them pallets of cash totaling over a billion dollars.

    President Trump, on the other hand, killed General Soleimani and told other Iranian leaders that they could be next. And now they are next.

    So what have we learned, and what’s likely to happen in the future?

    Well, first, with the capture of Maduro and now this, we’ve learned that our military can do things no one else can. We seized a leader of a hostile nation from his largest military base and brought him to custody without losing a single American life. Now we’ve killed the single biggest threat to American interests in the Mideast, along with much of his senior leadership, again without losing a single American life.

    Why didn’t we do this before? And why could we do it now? The reason we can do it now is mostly leadership. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth quickly prioritized precision and lethality in the military; President Trump was willing to use the military in ways prior presidents were not.

    Why didn’t we do this before? Part of that is because the foreign policy establishment, like the domestic policy establishment, doesn’t exist to solve problems. It exists to manage those problems in ways that keep its members cushily employed. To, in Myres McDougal’s words, “maintain tensions at a level short of unacceptable violence.”

    Trump, on the other hand, wants to solve things, even if it involves inflicting unacceptable violence on the enemy. Also, he regards our enemies as actual enemies, not as “foreign colleagues” or “partners in peace.” To quote author Keith Laumer, “there’s nothing as peaceful as a dead troublemaker.” Khamenei is now peaceful.

    In fact, Trump’s approach across the board, which has brought him success after success in his first 13 months back in office, is to solve problems the way the guys in the bar say they would do it. Too much illegal immigration? Close the border and deport the illegals. Problems with Iran? Kill their leaders and encourage a revolution. Venezuela shipping drugs and gangs to the U.S.? Capture their leader and encourage his successor to cooperate or share his fate. You can just do things.

    The thing is, though, that there’s a subtlety in this approach. Just doing things turns out to work. But if you take a step back from these actions of Trump’s, the big picture shows a pretty coherent strategy. Trump wants to weaken China without going to war with China. He has now cut off two major suppliers of oil to the PRC, which produces hardly any oil of its own. (It’s worse than that, because China wasn’t paying for that oil with dollars, and now it will need dollars to buy oil elsewhere.) That applies a squeeze to an already squeezed CCP, and will make Xi’s position, domestically and internationally, weaker. Also the military excellence recently displayed has to inspire second, third, and fourth thoughts about invading Taiwan.

    Trump’s tactics typically have two characteristics: He goes after his opponents’ source of sustenance (usually that means money, but not always) and he accomplishes more than one thing at a time. In neutralizing Iran, Trump accomplishes a lot of things. First, of course, he neutralizes a major hostile regional threat.

    But second, he cuts the ground out from under what’s left of Hamas and Hezbollah. He also shuts off the pipeline of cash that was being used to bribe politicians and journalists in Europe (the Iranians have basically admitted that they do that) and support various NGOs and the like that serve anti-American and anti-Israeli ends. Iran has been a major sponsor of terrorism around the world; that will end.

    With Iran gone (and India, thanks to tariffs, eager to be on our team) the threat of the BRICS has been sharply reduced. Brazil under Lula isn’t friendly, but isn’t a power house. Russia and China don’t like us but China needs oil and Russia is broke and mired in an endless and ruinous war of its own devising.

    With Iranians free to say what they think of the mullahs’ regime, he also delegitimizes the left’s narrative that fundamentalist Islam somehow has some sort of anti-colonial virtue. In fact, the mullahs ran Iran as a Persian colony of an Arab ideology. The Iranian public is well aware of this, and will be saying that a lot.

    And if he’s able to see a new pro-American government in Iran (distinctly likely) we’ll have a regional ally that will encourage the Arab states, currently friendly to us and Israel out of fear of Iran, to remain friendly to us and Israel out of a different sort of fear of Iran.

    • As they say: Developing…

    Update Some tidbits of news from the Suchomimus discord:

  • Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian claims he’s alive and in charge:

    Power struggle between him and Mohammad Reza Aref, or just confusion?

  • Iranian foreign minister is suggesting that no one is actually in charge, that the chain of command has broken down and the military is just sort of acting on general vibes:

    Which is not what you want to hear less than 48 hours into a shooting war…

  • Mojtaba Khamenei, Ayatollah heir apparent, is apparently dead as well.

  • That four building complex previously described as Basij headquarters is here described as “Sarallah Headquarters” or “security crisis management command center of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in Tehran”:

    Now technically, the Basij is a subset of the IRGC, so that may be where the confusion comes in. Or the complex could be both. Google Maps isn’t helping me out here…

  • More of Iran’s classic aircraft destroyed:

  • Despite claims of not being involved, UK fighters are reportedly flying CAP over the Persian Gulf:

    • I’m dancing as fast as I can…

    Update 2: Another Suchomimus video. Did Iran just sink their own shadow fleet tanker?

    Update 3 via Instapundit:

  • Also dead: Iran’s ex-president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
  • More Iranian officials killed:

    “Gen. Abdol Rahim Mousavi and Defense Minister Gen. Aziz Nasirzadeh were killed at the meeting alongside the head of Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard and security adviser Ali Shamkhani.”

  • Why do feminists hate women’s freedom?

    • Update 4 via the Suchomimus Discord.

  • More dead regime bigwigs:

    “Iranian state media confirmed the killing of seven senior Armed Forces commanders in the US-Israeli strikes. Those killed include Supreme Leader’s office chief Mohammad Shirazi, his deputy Akbar Ebrahimzadeh, Armed Forces intelligence deputy Saleh Asadi, logistics deputy Mohsen Darreh Baghi, police intelligence chief Gholamreza Rezaeian, Armed Forces operations planning chief Bahram Hosseini Motlaq, and Armed Forces logistics chief Hasanali Tajik.”

  • More regime buildings go boom:

    • Update 5 Saw ships, sunk same.

    U.S. President Donald Trump announced Sunday that nine Iranian naval ships have been sunk as part of combat operations against Iran.

    “I have just been informed that we have destroyed and sunk 9 Iranian Naval Ships, some of them relatively large and important,” Trump wrote in a post on X, adding that Iran’s naval headquarters has been “largely destroyed” in a different attack.

    “We are going after the rest — They will soon be floating at the bottom of the sea, also!” Trump wrote.

    U.S. Central Command officials said earlier Sunday that an Iranian Jamaran-class corvette was struck by U.S. forces at the beginning of Operation Epic Fury.

    “The ship is currently sinking to the bottom of the Gulf of Oman at a Chah Bahar pier,” the statement reads. “As the president said, members of Iran’s armed forces, IRGC and police ‘must lay down your weapons.’ Abandon ship.”

    Update 6: The SUPERgeniuses controlling Iran’s missiles decided it was a swell idea to toss ballistic missiles at a UK base in Cyprus.

    Result: Craven jihad apologist Keir Starmer grows something vaguely resembling a spine and gives the U.S. permission to use Cyprus base for “defensive purposes.” With so many Middle East bases to chose from, I’m not sure the US actually has any assets they can usefully deploy there, but still.

    Clarification: Here Starmer makes clear that “defensive purposes” includes letting American assets use British bases, including those in the Persian Gulf, to hunt Iranian missile launch sites and storage facilities:

    “They say his spine grew three times as large that day…”

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    This entry was posted on Sunday, March 1st, 2026 at 12:50 PM and is filed under Foreign Policy, Jihad, Military, video. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

    18 Responses to “Iran Strikes: Day 2”

    1. 10x25mm says:
      March 1, 2026 at 2:32 PM

      On a happy note, former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is also reported killed. This weasel actually lead the “students” who took over the U.S. Embassy in 1979.

    2. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 7:48 AM

      “Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is alive, stating this morning on state-run television that the Interim Leadership Council is now operational and has assumed constitutional control of the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

      cf. w/ Our military units are now, in fact, independent and somewhat isolated, and they are acting based on general instructions given to them in advance.–Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi:.

      Unlike Constitutional Monarchy, clerical succession is a murky process. The Vatican addresses this problem through a convention of Cardinals but Islam relies on the imprimatuer if tribal warlords, whose individual status is not clearly delineated.

      So when an old and enfeebled mullah sees his end is near it becomes necessary to call together all the warlords who have enforced his edits so that they may swear fealty to the new boss.

      Undoubtedly this is a dreary process but some merriment may occur if a very large bomb is set off in the middle of these deliberations, which is what seems to have occurred here.

      So now the problem of “who’s in charge?” becomes acute. Will fragments of the former power structure coalesce or fall out among themselves in internecine warfare?

      Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian claims to have “constitutional control of the Islamic Republic of Iran” but he is not a cleric. Who is the next Ayatollah? Has the theocracy ended?

      The Foreign Minister says military units are operating independently. Absent clerical approval, will they recognize President Pezeshikan’s authority? Perhaps they will align themselves with Shah Pahlavi because Constitutional Monarchs bring clear and orderly processes to bear on the problem of succession.

      Iran is at war with itself. A Shah offers the best hope of peace and reconciliation going forward.

    3. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 7:52 AM

      “Islam relies on the imprimatuer *of* tribal warlords”

    4. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 8:16 AM

      “…and now they [Iran] taught the world a lesson by sinking one of their own shadow fleet.”

      Suchomimus fails to appreciate the subtlety of this ploy. When you see merchant ships ablaze in the Strait of Hormuz it will spike oil prices and all Europe will kiss Putin’s ass, as we were reliably informed yesterday by Comrade Cartridge. Presumably, CC will have to give up his place before the Europeans pay their own homage.

      Already Brent crude has shot up by 10%!! This stratospheric rise will bring an end to the Western Hegemon and ensure the ultimate triumph of Russian neo-imperialism.

    5. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 8:24 AM

      “We are going after the rest — They will soon be floating at the bottom of the sea, also!” Trump wrote.

      Wait..whut??

      Oh well, the guy fights better than he writes so the solecism will have to be overlooked this this time.

    6. 10x25mm says:
      March 2, 2026 at 9:13 AM

      “Suchomimus fails to appreciate the subtlety of this ploy. When you see merchant ships ablaze in the Strait of Hormuz it will spike oil prices and all Europe will kiss Putin’s ass, as we were reliably informed yesterday by Comrade Cartridge. Presumably, CC will have to give up his place before the Europeans pay their own homage.

      Already Brent crude has shot up by 10%!! This stratospheric rise will bring an end to the Western Hegemon and ensure the ultimate triumph of Russian neo-imperialism.”

      It never occurred to you that the U.S. Treasury Department “shadow fleet” designation of the Palau-flagged oil tanker Skylight (IMO 9330020) was false? Palau is a presidential republic in free association with us, the United States. We provide their defense, funding, and bureaucratic (including ship registry) functions. Starlight is effectively American-flagged.

      Oil is up 10% so far today, a fairly major move. LNG is up 25%, a catastrophe for Europe. And gas oil is up 25% as the Saudi Ras Tanura refinery got hit. It was the last big export source of gas oil now that the Russians cut off their exports. Learn about the criticality of gas oil in diesel production and then focus on the diesel oil economies across Europe, notably Germany and Ukraine. The rest of the European economies are natural gas economies, now desperate for LNG.

      Even you will eventually figure out why Vlad is now in the driver’s seat.

    7. 10x25mm says:
      March 2, 2026 at 9:28 AM

      “Unlike Constitutional Monarchy, clerical succession is a murky process. The Vatican addresses this problem through a convention of Cardinals but Islam relies on the imprimatuer if tribal warlords, whose individual status is not clearly delineated.

      So when an old and enfeebled mullah sees his end is near it becomes necessary to call together all the warlords who have enforced his edits so that they may swear fealty to the new boss.”

      You would appear much smarter if you had read last week’s The Jerusalem Post article:

      ‘Mouse Ali’: Khamenei’s hidden network sustains his authoritarian rule from hiding

      Bayt-e Rahbari has allowed Khamenei’s authority to remain intact in his absence and, according to United Against Nuclear Iran, highlights the regime’s durability.

      By Danielle Greyman-Kennard – February 26, 2026

      The old buzzard devoted considerable thought to succession and seems to have successfully retained control of Iran from his new throne deep in the bowels of Hell.

    8. 10x25mm says:
      March 2, 2026 at 10:25 AM

      Oilprice.com:

      ‘Global Gas Markets Shocked as Qatar Ceases LNG Production’
      By Julianne Geiger – March 02, 2026

      “Qatar’s state-owned energy giant QatarEnergy has stopped all liquefied natural gas (LNG) production, shutting down the country’s entire LNG output after Iranian drone strikes hit its major facilities at Ras Laffan and Mesaieed. The shutdown removes roughly 20% of the world’s LNG supply from the market and sends ripples through already volatile global energy markets.

      QatarEnergy said in a statement on its website Monday that “due to military attacks on QatarEnergy’s operating facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City and Mesaieed Industrial City and Mesaieed Industry City… QatarEnergy has ceased production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and associated products.” No timeline for resuming output was provided.”

      Just who still has available LNG capacity? Who desperately needs LNG?

    9. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 11:27 AM

      I can’t see a regime change or a return of the monarchy here.–Suchomimus

      The regime has already lost continuity. There is no successor to the theocracy. The IRGC answers exclusively to Ali Hosseini Khamenei. The President and military alike were subject to the Ayatollah/IRGC.

      Whoever is nominally in charge now has no real authority without backing from the IRCG. Without their support, the civil authorities would have to hold an election in a bid to determine political legitimacy but it is nearly certain that voters would reject theocratic control of the government and so the IRGC would cancel elections.

      As for “boots on the ground” there seems to be a cadre of assassination squads roaming around to ensure the line of political succession remains broken. A Scouring of the Shire is underway, anticipating The Return of the King.

    10. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 11:33 AM

      “The old buzzard devoted considerable thought to succession and seems to have successfully retained control of Iran from his new throne deep in the bowels of Hell.”

      I can’t recall any successful regime in history that communicated political directives by way of seance and oija boards.

      King Saul’s efforts were a notable failure.

    11. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 11:36 AM

      “Even you will eventually figure out why Vlad is now in the driver’s seat.”

      If Vlad is now seated how will the Europeans be able to “kiss his ass”??

    12. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 12:20 PM

      “You would appear much smarter if you had read last week’s The Jerusalem Post article.”

      “Just who still has available LNG capacity? Who desperately needs LNG?”

      Tell me you don’t read The Jerusalem Post without telling me you don’t read jpost.com. “You would appear much smarter” if you had.

      “The idea of laying a gas pipeline from Israel’s offshore reservoirs to Europe is back on the agenda, Energy and Infrastructure Minister Eli Cohen said Thursday.

      “’There has been very significant progress on the possibility of building a gas pipeline,’ he told The Jerusalem Post after meeting with energy ministers from Greece, Cyprus, and the United States in Athens. ‘Ths is an idea that was discussed in the past, and now it’s back in play. The Americans are now willing to take on a major role.'”

      https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-872979

    13. 10x25mm says:
      March 2, 2026 at 12:34 PM

      “The idea of laying a gas pipeline from Israel’s offshore reservoirs to Europe is back on the agenda, Energy and Infrastructure Minister Eli Cohen said Thursday.”

      It takes several years to lay natural gas pipelines underwater, particularly across some of the great depths of the eastern Mediterranean (5,000 feet average, 15,000 feet or so maximum). This won’t come to pass until 2030, at the earliest, if ever. You should have taken geography in high school before you dropped out.

      Regardless, the Israeli Energy Ministry ordered the shutdown of their Leviathan natural gas field and their natural gas reservoirs this morning. The Iranians are not just being hit, they are doing significant damage across the Mideast.

    14. Malthus says:
      March 2, 2026 at 8:04 PM

      “This won’t come to pass until 2030, at the earliest, if ever. You should have taken geography in high school before you dropped out.”

      It must embarrass you no end to be repeatedly refuted by a high school dropout.

    15. 10x25mm says:
      March 3, 2026 at 1:22 AM

      “It must embarrass you no end to be repeatedly refuted by a high school dropout.”

      Nord Stream II took six years to construct. It traverses 767 km of water with an average depth of 76 meters.

      East Med will have to traverse 1,900 km of water where the depths will be 1,500 to 4,500 meters.

      You live in a fantasy.

    16. Leland says:
      March 3, 2026 at 7:26 AM

      TAP/TANAP were being finished during Trump’s first administration and were the source of gas that Trump was trying to get Merkel to agree to use when she sided with Putin. They transport just shy of 1 bcf/d of gas from the Caspian to Italy.

      Of course, that was all before Guyana really came online.

    17. 10x25mm says:
      March 3, 2026 at 9:10 AM

      “TAP/TANAP were being finished during Trump’s first administration and were the source of gas that Trump was trying to get Merkel to agree to use when she sided with Putin. They transport just shy of 1 bcf/d of gas from the Caspian to Italy.

      Of course, that was all before Guyana really came online.”

      Europe uses 430 billion m³ of natural gas a year. TANAP is now delivering 10 billion m³ per year to Europe, after the Turks take their 6 billion m³ cut.

      Guyana will supposedly feed a 300 MW local power plant some time this year. It was supposed to be done in 2024. RFPs have been issued for a second power plant which may eventually supply a liquefaction plant producing LNG for export.

    18. Leland says:
      March 3, 2026 at 3:10 PM

      Europe uses 430 billion m³ of natural gas a year.

      Not according to the EU:
      In 2024, inland demand of natural gas in the EU increased by 0.6% compared with 2023, to raise to 12 802 111 terajoules.

      That’s 340 bcm/year. Now, you might think that’s hardly a difference, but you are talking about Qatar, which sends only 6% of its LNG production to Europe and none of that comes close to covering the 90 bcm delta between your number and the EU’s number.

      My point is that Europe has plenty of other ways to get its gas and was warned long ago to use them so they “wouldn’t be dependent on Vlad”. They chose poorly.

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